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Recreational Discussion: LOTTO IDIOCY AWARD 2001 GOES TO NUMEROLOGIST ION SALIUGroup: rec.gambling.lottery
Discussion: LOTTO IDIOCY AWARD 2001 GOES TO NUMEROLOGIST ION SALIU
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Colin Fairbrother
May 05, 2011 - 04:04:36 am EST
From my site: -
The Madness of Ion Saliu
http://lottoposter.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=677

Excerpt, "The following table easily done in Excel applies the formula
and contrasts the accurate figures with the wrong figures given by Ion
Salui. Whether he intentionally fudged the figures to deceive or to
promote his crackpot Pick 3 c*n-artist scheme (where he claims to
reduce the House Edge from 50% to 2.3%) or just through plain
incompetence I will leave to others to conclude. In my considered
opinion it is a combination of all three."

Colin Fairbrother



Parpaluck
May 05, 2011 - 11:08:47 am EST
On May 3, 11:25=A0am, Parpaluck wrote:
> On May 3, 4:31=A0am, F-Coli Fairbrothel
> wrote:
>
> Psycholin: Hallucinating and Stealing
>
> Psycholin is mad alright — in fact, he is madder than Madam Madness.
> But that’s not enough. He is also criminally inclined. He steals
> ideas, especially from SALIU.COM. He steals an idea or two, then he
> bursts into r.g.l. or other places. Psycholin presents stolen ideas as
> he had discovered them. Like those repeated combinations or
> lexicographic ordering. I made those things p****c many y***s ago,
> including source code! They are “simple things” for Psycholin! Of
> course they are simple after someone discovered them y***s and y***s
> ago!
>
> Psycholin even stole email addresses from a lottery forum. He used
> false names and emails to woo people to his forum (still under 500
> members after 5 y***s … 300 members being Psycholin himself, with fake
> emails!)
>
> Incredible coincidence! There is another Aussie, similarly mad and
> criminally inclined: Steven Hourmouzis. =A0He was incarcerated for stock
> market fraud. He also stole one of my roulette systems and sold it for
> an outrageous price. He is lucky he is still alive! I received several
> emails from stupidiots who paid for the system (instead of taking it
> for free from my website; people were really mad at Steven Hourmouzis,
> a.k.a. Stefano).
>
> =A0Also, both guys are drowned in a sea of hallucinations!
>
> Like this Psycholin here. Lately he discovered he is an “expert” in
> database programming! Ask him what a table is and he will answer “a
> table is something to eat”! In his hallucination, he keeps saying that
> he generates 6-49 lotto combinations using a database! Nothing could
> be more hallucinatory than that! But ask him to show a directory
> listing with his “database”, so that we can see the file size and
> date. It would be the same case as last y**r, with that hallucinatory
> lotto wheel!
>
> I saw a horror story at his lotto compost “forum”. A code snippet of =
a
> database! Too bad the psychiatrists have no good computer knowledge!
>
> Psycholin and programming?! It’s similar to a cow wearing bikini.
> Gerry revitalized Psychosama (John Griffin) for a short while.
> Psychosama published a mockery of a program. Only Psycholin was
> ecstatic about the high quality of John Griffin’s “program”! One of
> the best indicators of person who is totally mad: Total lack of sense
> of humor!
>
> http://groups.google.com/group/rec.gambling.lottery/browse_thread/thr...
>
> That’s the kind of “programming” Psycholin is good at! Incredible, =
but
> guys like Psycholin and Stefano are at large! Their pestilential
> insanity is enough of a nuisance. But add to that the criminal
> tendencies!
>
> Ion Saliu

Lotto Compost.c*m — Overestimation

“Psycholin even stole email addresses from a lottery forum. He used
false names and emails to woo people to his forum (still under 500
members after 5 y***s … 300 members being Psycholin himself, with fake
emails!) “

I overestimated that nest of insanity that infests the virtual world.
The passage should read:

“Lotto Compost.c*m is still under 300 members after 5 y***s … 290
members being Psycholin himself, registered with email addresses
stolen from lottery forums.”

Ion Saliu




Parpaluck
May 05, 2011 - 11:15:32 am EST
On May 5, 4:04=A0am, F-Coli Fairbrothel
wrote:
> From my site: -
> The Madness of Ion Saliuhttp://lotto composter.c*m/forum_posts.asp?TID=3D=
677
>
> snipped by Ion Saliu -- read the insanity "live" at your own risk!

Psycholin, Lizard of Odds, Wizard of Insanity

Indeed, there is obstinacy in insanity. Psycholin is one of the most
conspicuous cases in the history of self-destructing madness. One must
continue apply the “shock therapy” to the Psycholins. Especially when
the insane is on the attack, steals, and continues to attack and
steal.

One does not have to reveal the times of the response against the
insane. Keep the squeeze on, without revealing a timetable. The
attacks can be also discovered via the antennae. Every normal person
has “antennae” — the insane don’t. Let them know that “Just when =
you
think he's forgotten you'll run into an iron fist.” Indeed, my iron
fist is out there; Psycholin is the extricable punching bag.

Psycholin appeals now to the infamous Lizard of Odds. The same guy who
was ecstatic about the Fundamental Formula of Gambling (FFG — it
“kills” Duncopath again!) Soon, he turned hostile towards FFG. No
doubt, it was the result of pressure from his patrons: Casino
executives. Lizard was also on the payroll of the casinos (indication
is he still is). The same Lizard who said matter-of-factish that
getting 200 ‘heads’ in a row is equal to getting 1 ‘head’! In his
second email to me, he dropped the 200-high bar to 20 ‘heads’ in a row
being equal to 1 ‘head’ (in a row, of course!)

Psycholin committed now the most severe case of INSANITY. The post he
refers to in the previous message is a cruel offense to MATHEMATICS.
That post alone at his “message board’ must be a most compelling
reason to confine him. Confine and restrain him as prior to 2004 when
he was turned loose. That act of mercy dumped an unacceptable amount
of pestilence over the cyber world. Attacks on everybody all over the
Internet. Not to mention plagiarism, piracy, identity theft (theft of
email addresses)… Psycholin is an unacceptable lapse of the medical
establishment and law enforcement.


Ion Saliu
http://saliu.com/bbs/messages/204.html
(“The so-called Wizard of Odds had first very high praise for Ion
Saliu and his gambling theories founded on theory of probability”)





Parpaluck
May 05, 2011 - 12:31:25 pm EST
On May 5, 11:15=A0am, Parpaluck wrote:
> On May 5, 4:04=A0am, F-Coli Fairbrothel
> wrote:
>
> > From my site: -
> > The Madness of Ion Saliuhttp://lottocomposter.c*m/forum_posts.asp?TID=
=3D677
>
> > snipped by Ion Saliu -- read the insanity "live" at your own risk!
>
> Psycholin, Lizard of Odds, Wizard of Insanity
>
> Indeed, there is obstinacy in insanity. Psycholin is one of the most
> conspicuous cases in the history of self-destructing madness. One must
> continue apply the “shock therapy” to the Psycholins. Especially when
> the insane is on the attack, steals, and continues to attack and
> steal.
>
> One does not have to reveal the times of the response against the
> insane. Keep the squeeze on, without revealing a timetable. The
> attacks can be also discovered via the antennae. Every normal person
> has “antennae” — the insane don’t. Let them know that “Just whe=
n you
> think he's forgotten you'll run into an iron fist.” Indeed, my iron
> fist is out there; Psycholin is the extricable punching bag.
>
> Psycholin appeals now to the infamous Lizard of Odds. The same guy who
> was ecstatic about the Fundamental Formula of Gambling (FFG — it
> “kills” Duncopath again!) Soon, he turned hostile towards FFG. No
> doubt, it was the result of pressure from his patrons: Casino
> executives. Lizard was also on the payroll of the casinos (indication
> is he still is). The same Lizard who said matter-of-factish that
> getting 200 ‘heads’ in a row is equal to getting 1 ‘head’! In his
> second email to me, he dropped the 200-high bar to 20 ‘heads’ in a ro=
w
> being equal to 1 ‘head’ (in a row, of course!)
>
> Psycholin committed now the most severe case of INSANITY. The post he
> refers to in the previous message is a cruel offense to MATHEMATICS.
> That post alone at his “message board’ must be a most compelling
> reason to confine him. Confine and restrain him as prior to 2004 when
> he was turned loose. That act of mercy dumped an unacceptable amount
> of pestilence over the cyber world. Attacks on everybody all over the
> Internet. Not to mention plagiarism, piracy, identity theft (theft of
> email addresses)… Psycholin is an unacceptable lapse of the medical
> establishment and law enforcement.
>
> Ion Saliuhttp://saliu.com/bbs/messages/204.html
> (“The so-called Wizard of Odds had first very high praise for Ion
> Saliu and his gambling theories founded on theory of probability”)

Here is the post Psycholin posted on his own lotto compost.c*m, today,
5/5/2011. It might “disappear’, as he usually does when caught in a
flagrant spasm of insanity. Probably he trusts a few benevolent people
who plea with him to “erase the fingerprints” . . .


Topic: ION SALIU AND HIS FUNDAMENTAL FORMULA OF GAMBLING
Posted: Today at 3:39am
THE MADNESS OF ION SALIU AND HIS
FUNDAMENTAL FORMULA OF GAMBLING
by Colin Fairbrother
In 1996 Ion Saliu published a table which used a simple formula that
relied on using the log rule that
logb(mn) =3D n • logb(m) and purported to show the results for various
degrees of certainty. He has variously lauded this simple equation as
a great achievment despite the "calculated" data given being
hopelessly wrong. In reality it would barely warrant a pat on the head
and a wry smile from a 3rd y**r high school teacher.
Basically the formula is where n is the number of events: -

Degree of Certainty =3D (1 - Probability of Event)n

As given by Ion Saliu it is: -

N =3D log(1 - Degree of Certainty) / log(1 - Probability of Event)

The following table is easily done in Excel and applies the formula
exactly the same way for each line. Compare the accurate figures with
the wrong figures given by Ion Salui and what a difference. Whether he
intentionally fudged the figures to deceive or to promote his crackpot
Pick 3 c*n-artist scheme (where he claims to reduce the House Edge
from 50% to 2.3%) or just through plain incompetence I will leave to
others to conclude. In my considered opinion it is a combination of
all three.

Probability of Success ProbEvent ProbSuccess Number Events Ion Saliu
Number of hands 5% Royal Drought 0.050000000000 0.999975240000 120989
Coin 50% 0.500000000000 0.500000000000 1 1
Coin 75% 0.500000000000 0.750000000000 2 2
Coin 90% 0.500000000000 0.900000000000 7 3
Coin 95% 0.500000000000 0.950000000000 14 4
Coin 99% 0.500000000000 0.990000000000 69 6
Coin 99.9% 0.500000000000 0.999000000000 693 9
Pick 3 Straight 10% 0.001000000000 0.100000000000 3 105
Pick 3 Straight 25% 0.001000000000 0.250000000000 5 287
Pick 3 Straight 50% 0.001000000000 0.500000000000 10 692
Pick 3 Straight 75% 0.001000000000 0.750000000000 24 1385
Pick 3 Straight 90% 0.001000000000 0.850000000000 43 2301
Pick 3 Straight 95% 0.001000000000 0.950000000000 135 2994
Pick 3 Straight 99% 0.001000000000 0.990000000000 687 4602
Pick 3 Straight 99.3113% 0.001000000000 0.993113000000 1000
Pick 3 Straight 99.9% 0.001000000000 0.999000000000 6904 6904
Any Win 6/49 Lotto 0.018637400000 0.920000000000 48
Any Win 6/45 + 2 Bonus Lotto (Aus Sat) 0.011802300000 0.780000000000
18

My thanks to Michael Shackleford, The Wizard of Odds for pointing out
the simplicity of the equation at his site. ie "That is just an
obvious extension of the rule that log(ab)=3Db=D7log(a). It is not worthy
of any special term. I suppose the formula might be helpful in
answering some questions about the probability of a succession of
losses."
Colin Fairbrother
Lotto Draws have no relationship to one another; the integers serve
just as identifiers. Any prediction calculation on one history of
draws for a same type game is just as irrelevant as another.




Colin Fairbrother
May 06, 2011 - 12:14:14 am EST
An explanation of how one can solve for the exponent (which then
becomes the number of events) for the simple probability equation that
gives the probability of 26 blacks in succession as occurred on one of
the roulette wheels at Monte Carlo August 18, 1913. The table has been
updated to include more sample values.

THE MADNESS OF ION SALIU AND HIS SPURIOUS CLAIM TO
THE SO CALLED FUNDAMENTAL FORMULA OF GAMBLING
http://lottoposter.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=677&PN=1

Worth noting is this excerpt, "The following table is easily done in
Excel and applies the formula exactly the same way for each line.
Compare the accurate figures from myself with the red colored wrong
figures given by Ion Salui and what a difference. For a Coin Toss he
gives a degree of certainty of 75% for two tosses when it is actually
only 65%. For three tosses he gives 90% when in fact it is only 83%.
Whether he intentionally fudged the figures to deceive or to promote
his crackpot Pick 3 c*n-artist scheme (where he claims to reduce the
House Edge from 50% to 2.3%) or just through plain incompetence I will
leave to others to conclude. In my considered opinion it is a
combination of all three."

Colin Fairbrother



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