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Science Forum Index » Chemistry Forum » The Epicycles of Global Warming...
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 Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 5:41 am |
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"When this farce is finally exposed, heads must roll. Not for being wrong
about the global warming hoax, because anybody can be wrong -- but for
politicizing normal scientific debate. Politicized science kills science.
This is one festering boil that has to be lanced."
March 10, 2008
The Epicycles of Global Warming
By James Lewis
When True Believers begin to harbor doubts, they don't immediately give up
the faith. It's too scary; too much pride and money has been invested; too
many jobs and reputations are on the line; and they need to find a new
reason to live. So they always try to add on new wrinkles and qualifications
to their crumbling story.
Today that's happening with the global warming cult.
"Human-caused global warming" has now officially been re-named "climate
change" to explain the inconvenient truth that the winter of 2007-8 was the
coldest in a century, in spite of all those tons of "greenhouse gas" being
spewed into the air from all the new factories in China and India. Worldwide
temps dropped 0.6 of a degree C in one year. That may not sound like a
lot, but it's more than all the ballyhooed warming in the preceding century.
If you want to see cult therapy at work, read John Tierney in The New York
Times. Tierney is a skeptic who now conducts recovery therapy for the
faithful on his Tierney Lab page. It looks like someone at the NYT has
finally caught on to the hoax but won't admit it. So they hired Tierney to
break it to the True Believers as gently as possible. Watch how the readers'
blogs are resisting his gentle skepticism; it scares them. They are just
Obama suckers who would have fallen for Bill Clinton, when he still had his
magic mojo.
In the 1960s social psychologists studied a doomsday cult which made the big
mistake of predicting the day of Armageddon. When that day came and went
without crisping the world, the cult leaders didn't admit they were wrong.
Instead, they discovered reasons why doomsday had been postponed. It was a
triumph of faith over facts. That's how stock market bubbles and busts work.
It's how the jihadi Armageddon cult of Tehran will crumble, if we're all
very lucky.
How can this super-cold winter happen? It's got all the faithful a little
worried. Climate modeling teams all over the world are sweating 24/7 to deal
with it. They are producing epicycles for their models, to hang on the
warming story.
"Epicycles" are cycles on top of cycles. When traditional astronomy began
to collapse in the years before Copernicus, True Believers reacted by adding
lots of little cycles on top of the great cycles of the planetary orbits, to
protect their faith. Trouble is, they had to add so many cycles on top of
cycles that eventually, the whole system became a laughingstock. Ultimately
you could explain anything you wanted -- after the fact.
The Polish astronomer Nicholas Koepernick -- called Copernicus -- pointed
out that a sun-centered planetary model could get rid of all those epicycles
with elegant simplicity. You only had to assume that the planets are going
around the sun, not the earth. Suddenly all those cycle-on-cycle orbits
simplified into near-circular ellipses. But he only saw the page proofs of
his book De Revolutionibus on his death bed. He didn't want to share the
fate of Giordano Bruno, who was burned at the stake, or Galileo Galilei, who
was put under house arrest by Pope Urban VIII and forbidden to publish in
the last years of his life. Because mobs of True Believers can get pretty
nasty before they give up. [See also this view of Galileo's troubles --
editor]
Today we see a spate of new computer models showing up in science journals,
each one attempting to rescue some piece of the ecological goose that laid
the golden egg. These are often not called "models." With utter dishonesty,
they are labeled "new studies of the climate." But they are not empirical
studies at all. They are little math models with new epicycles, but still
based on the same gross oversimplifications. To reassure the True Believers,
they always end with the same punch line: Yes, Virginia, there really is a
global warming faerie, and all the doom-sayers are right.
How good are the assumptions in these models? Well consider the fate of
Ferenc M. Miskolczi (pronounced Ferens MISkolshee), a first-rate Hungarian
mathematician, who has published a proof that "greenhouse warming" may be
mathematically impossible. His proof involves long equations, but the bottom
line is that the warming models assume that the atmosphere is infinitely
thick. Why? Because it simplifies the math. If on the other hand, you
assume the atmosphere is about 100 km thick (about 65 miles) -- which has
the big advantage of being true -- the greenhouse effect disappears! No more
global warming.
Miskolczi once worked for NASA, but resigned in disgust when they would not
allow him to publish his work. (It appeared in the peer-reviewed Hungarian
journal Weather, and looks legit). So it's the global warming faithful of
NASA Goddard Space Center, notably True Believer Godfather James Hansen --
who are always complaining to the media about Bush Administration
censorship -- but who have ended up censoring their own scientific skeptic.
Cosmic justice for NASA, you might say.
Censoring skeptics is an admission of weakness. That's why Pope had to shut
up Galileo -- he couldn't win on the facts. The science establishment is now
going after the Galileos of our time for the same reason, because orthodox
scientists are pretty frail human beings and don't really like to be wrong.
Reasoned skepticism is not something our papacy of politicized science wants
to hear. Off with their heads!
That's the real global warming tragedy -- a speculative bubble in science,
which happens all the time, has now been protected by the politicians, and
allowed into an ugly and expanding volcanic pressure point. It is
threatening to erupt and engulf climate modeling around the world.
Scientists are pretty ruthless with open failure.
Politicized science is a far bigger disaster than NASA's Challenger tragedy.
Americans understood the Challenger tragedy as a technical mistake at the
leading edge of space exploration. What we cannot understand or forgive is
corruption of scientific inquiry to push a money agenda.
When this farce is finally exposed, heads must roll. Not for being wrong
about the global warming hoax, because anybody can be wrong -- but for
politicizing normal scientific debate. Politicized science kills science.
This is one festering boil that has to be lanced.
James Lewis blogs at dangeroustimes.wordpress.com/
Page Printed from:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/03/the_epicycles_of_global_warmin.html
at May 10, 2008 - 06:21:39 AM EDT |
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| Roger Coppock... |
| Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 10:46 am |
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This old obvious lie again!
Being an "American Thinker" must mean
repeating this and other lies over and
over again.
On May 10, 3:41 am, <d.... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:
Quote: "When this farce is finally exposed, heads must roll. Not for being wrong
about the global warming hoax, because anybody can be wrong -- but for
politicizing normal scientific debate. Politicized science kills science.
This is one festering boil that has to be lanced."
March 10, 2008
The Epicycles of Global Warming
By James Lewis
[ . . . ]
"Human-caused global warming" has now officially been re-named "climate
change" to explain the inconvenient truth that the winter of 2007-8 was the
Nope, the change from "Global Wamring" to "climate change"
was the result of a memo from Republican strategist
Frank Luntz to the Bush administration. This video even
has Mr. Luntz at admitting to it.
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=522784499045867811
Here is the Luntz memo:
http://www.nrdc.org/media/docs/050325.pdf |
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| Borek... |
| Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 2:29 pm |
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On Sat, 10 May 2008 12:41:57 +0200, <d.086 at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:
Quote: The Polish astronomer Nicholas Koepernick -- called Copernicus --
pointed
out that a sun-centered planetary model could get rid of all those
epicycles
with elegant simplicity. You only had to assume that the planets are
going
around the sun, not the earth. Suddenly all those cycle-on-cycle orbits
simplified into near-circular ellipses.
Funny thing is that this a common disbelief - AFAIR in "De revolutionibus"
Kopernik ADDED more epicycles than he removed  Don't ask me about
details as I don't remeber them.
Borek
--
http://www.chembuddy.com/?left=CASC&right=concentration_and_solution_calculator
http://www.chembuddy.com/?left=Buffer-Maker&right=buffer-calculator |
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| hanson... |
| Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 7:42 pm |
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"Roger Coppock" <rcoppock at (no spam) adnc.com> wrote in message
news:5af1fb6f-583b-4f4b-8b89-411409d1cc42 at (no spam) k1g2000prb.googlegroups.com...
Quote:
On May 10, 3:41 am, <d.... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.environment/msg/84885aa92d536246
wherein it says
"When this farce is finally exposed, heads must roll. Not for being wrong
about the global warming hoax, because anybody can be wrong -- but for
politicizing normal scientific debate. Politicized science kills science.
This is one festering boil that has to be lanced."
March 10, 2008
The Epicycles of Global Warming
By James Lewis
"Human-caused global warming" has now officially been re-named "climate
change" to explain the inconvenient truth that the winter of 2007-8 was the
coldest in a century, ...
[these last 3 inconvenient words were conveniently snipped by Roger]
Quote:
"Roger Coppock" <rcoppock at (no spam) adnc.com> wrote in message
Nope, the change from "Global Wamring" to "climate change"
was the result of a memo from Republican strategist
Frank Luntz to the Bush administration. This video even
has Mr. Luntz at admitting to it.
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=522784499045867811
Here is the Luntz memo:
http://www.nrdc.org/media/docs/050325.pdf
Quote:
This old obvious lie again! Being an "American Thinker"
must mean repeating this and other lies over and over again.
Roger listen.
You as a little green idiot, a class 3 enviro, should never
ever accuse anybody of "Lies". Davy d086 at (no spam) hotmail.com
has a very valid opinion while you operate under the strict
guidelines of what he, Davy, refers to as, "the festering boil",
namely your green Bible which says that:
Quote:
= "It doesn't matter what is true ... it only matters what people
= believe is true. -- Paul Watson, Sea Shepard/ex-Greenpeace, &...
= "A lot of environmental [sci/soc/pol] messages are simply not
= accurate. We use hype." -- Jerry Franklin, Ecologist, UoW, and...
= "If you don't know an answer, a fact, a statistic, then .... make it
= up on the spot ... for the mass-media today ... the truth is irrelevant."
= -- Paul Watson in Earthforce: An Earth Warrior's Guide to Strategy.
= "We make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little
= mention of any doubts we may have [about] being honest."
= -- Stephen Schneider (Stanford prof. who first sought fame as
= a global cooler, but has now hit the big time as a global warmer)
= "It is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presen-
= tations" -- Al Gore, Chairman, Gen. Investment Management Bank
and more here:
<http://groups.google.com/group/sci.environment/msg/c385a6d1f3f7f9dd>
Quote:
But thanks for the laughs, guys!.... ahahaha.... ahahanson |
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| V-for-Vendicar... |
| Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 9:00 pm |
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<d.086 at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:VZeVj.258608$pM4.192284 at (no spam) pd7urf1no...
Quote: "When this farce is finally exposed, heads must roll. Not for being wrong
about the global warming hoax, because anybody can be wrong -- but for
politicizing normal scientific debate. Politicized science kills science.
This is one festering boil that has to be lanced."
I guarantee that heads will roll. KKKonservative heads. The heads of
Denialist Traitors. |
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