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Science Forum Index » Environment Forum » Global Warming Hysteria Leads To Bad Science...
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 Posted: Sun May 04, 2008 11:39 pm |
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May 1, 2008
Roy Spencer
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=MWJlODMxYmUzYWNmZGZiM2NhNmExYTYyNDUzYmViZjQ=&w=MQ==
QUOTE: "While it is claimed that this makes the water more acidic, this
is misleading. Since seawater has a pH around 8.1, it will take an awful
lot of CO2 it to even make the water neutral (pH=7), let alone acidic
(pH less than 7)."
QUOTE: "The view that nature was in some sort of preferred, yet fragile,
state of balance before humans came along is arbitrary and
philosophical - even religious."
QUOTE: "The automatic assumption that mankind's production of CO2 by
burning of fossil fuels is bad for the environment needs to be
critically examined."
More Carbon Dioxide, Please
Raising a scientific question.
There seems to be an unwritten assumption among environmentalists - and
among the media - that any influence humans have on nature is, by
definition, bad. I even see it in scientific papers written by climate
researchers. For instance, if we can measure some minute amount of a
trace gas in the atmosphere at the South Pole, well removed from its
human source, we are astonished at the far-reaching effects of mankind's
"pollution."
But if nature was left undisturbed, would it be any happier and more
peaceful? Would the carnivores stop eating those poor, defenseless
herbivores, as well as each other? Would fish and other kinds of sea
life stop infringing on the rights of others by feasting on them? Would
there be no more droughts, hurricanes, floods, heat waves, tornadoes, or
glaciers flowing toward the sea?
In the case of global warming, the alleged culprit - carbon dioxide -
just happens to be necessary for life on Earth. How can Al Gore say with
a straight face that we are treating the atmosphere like an "open sewer"
by dumping carbon dioxide into it? Would he say the same thing if we
were dumping more oxygen into the atmosphere? Or more nitrogen?
As a climate researcher, I am increasingly convinced that most of our
recent global warming has been natural, not manmade. If true, this would
mean that global temperatures can be expected to peak in the coming
years (if they haven't already), and global cooling will eventually
ensue.
Just for the sake of argument, let us assume that manmade global warming
really is a false alarm. In that case, we would still need to ask: What
are the other negative effects of pumping more CO2 into the atmosphere?
Well, plant physiologists have known for a long time that most
vegetation loves more carbon dioxide. It grows faster, is more
drought-tolerant, and is more efficient in its water use. While the
pre-industrial CO2 concentration of the atmosphere was only about 280
parts per million (ppm) by volume, and now it is around 380 ppm, some
greenhouses pump it all the way up to around 1,000 ppm. How can
environmentalists claim that helping vegetation to grow is a bad thing?
The bigger concern has been the possible effect of the extra CO2 on the
world's oceans, because more CO2 lowers the pH of seawater. While it is
claimed that this makes the water more acidic, this is misleading. Since
seawater has a pH around 8.1, it will take an awful lot of CO2 it to
even make the water neutral (pH=7), let alone acidic (pH less than 7).
Still, the main worry has been that the extra CO2 could hurt the growth
of plankton, which represents the start of the oceanic food chain. But
recent research (published on April 18 in Science Express) has now
shown, contrary to expectations, that one of the most common forms of
plankton actually grows faster and bigger when more CO2 is pumped into
the water. Like vegetation on land, it loves the extra CO2, too!
It is quite possible that the biosphere (vegetation, sea life, etc.) has
been starved for atmospheric CO2. Before humans started burning fossil
fuels, vegetation and ocean plankton had been gobbling up as much CO2
out of the atmosphere as they could, but it was like a vacuum cleaner
trying to suck through a stopped-up hose.
Now, no matter how much CO2 we pump into the atmosphere each year, the
biosphere takes out an average of 50 percent of that extra amount. Even
after we triple the amount of CO2 we produce, nature still takes out 50
percent of the extra amount.
I think it is time for scientists to consider the possibility that more
CO2 in the atmosphere might, on the whole, be good for life on Earth.
Oh, I'm sure there will be some species which are hurt more than helped,
but this is true of any change in nature. There are always winners and
losers.
For instance, during a strong El Niņo event, trillions of animals in the
ocean die as the usual patterns of ocean temperature are disrupted. When
Mother Nature does something like this it is considered natural. Yet, if
humans were to do such a thing, it would be considered an environmental
catastrophe. Does anyone else see something wrong with this picture?
The view that nature was in some sort of preferred, yet fragile, state
of balance before humans came along is arbitrary and philosophical -
even religious. It is entirely possible that there are other, more
preferable states of balance in nature which are more robust and less
fragile than whatever the state of nature was before we came along.
You would think that science is the last place you would find such
religious opinions, yet they dominate the worldview of scientists.
Natural scientists tend to worship nature, and they then teach others to
worship nature, too . . . all under the guise of "science."
And to the extent that this view is religious, then making environmental
laws based upon that view could be considered a violation of the
establishment of religion clause of the First Amendment to the
Constitution.
The automatic assumption that mankind's production of CO2 by burning of
fossil fuels is bad for the environment needs to be critically examined.
Unfortunately, scientists who question that point of view are
immediately branded as shills for Big Oil.
But since I am already accused of this (falsely, I might add), I really
don't mind being one of the first scientists to raise the issue.
- Dr. Roy W. Spencer is a Principal Research Scientist at the University
of Alabama in Huntsville. He is author of the new book, Climate
Confusion: How Global Warming Hysteria Leads to Bad Science, Pandering
Politicians, and Misguided Policies that Hurt the Poor.
--
Regards
Bonzo
"A lot of environmental messages are simply not accurate. But that's the
way we sell messages in this society. We use hype. And we use those
pieces of information that sustain our position." Professor Jerry
Franklin, Ecologist, University of Washington |
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