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Ian Parker...
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 10:06 am
Guest
On 6 May, 20:20, "Rob Dekker" <r... at (no spam) verific.com> wrote:
Quote:
"Ian Parker" <ianpark... at (no spam) gmail.com> wrote in messagenews:b1e6cbfc-4ec4-4fc0-ab98-b824905fe44c at (no spam) 34g2000hsh.googlegroups.com...
On 5 May, 22:28, "Rob Dekker" <r... at (no spam) verific.com> wrote:
"Ian Parker" <ianpark... at (no spam) gmail.com> wrote in messagenews:da7aa5d9-d59c-4ccd-a7fb-441932d285bc at (no spam) w7g2000hsa.googlegroups.com...
....
How can you wait for a "good strong" signal without SETI ?
There may be many strong signals out there, because we barely touched the (EM spectrum) surface with SETI.

Also, how 'strong' a signal is strong enough for you ?
Do they need to break into the dayly news to get your attention ?
Or, in case you don't watch the news, do they need to break into the next episode of Seinfelt ?

A strong signal is a signal of terrestrial broadcast strength. You are
watching Seinfelt and then you get a message from ET. A strong signal
can be picked up without special equipment, without mathematical
processing.

Is an interstellar broadcast of this strength possible? Emphatically
yes. If we assume a radio telescope 4AU across transmitting at 3cm.
This is 600 million km, or 20 * 10^12 lambda. This will give a 60km
(1.22lambda/d) spot at 100 light years. 600km at 1000ly. The galaxy
would only be about 60,000km. You might have to do some clever Fourier
Transform techniques to get rid of dark matter and other lensing
effects, but basically it could be done.

Nice. A radio telescope (array) 4 AU across, that works up till 10 GHz (3cm). Wow. I would give a leg to get my hands on that on.

It still seems far-fetched and a lot of trouble and energy use for an ETI to send broacast strength signals to 100s of billions of
other stars/planets in the Galaxy.
It would be a total waste of energy for the billions of years that we were in the single-cell/multi-cell level with our life status.

With that many targets, and that much risk of beaming to a deaf planet, the "Contact" scenario seems plausible : They would listen
to emerging communicating civilisations by eavesdropping on their transmissions before switching the beacon on. In our case (60
years of broadcast), this means they would have to be less than 30 light-years away for us to receive their signal now. There are
only a few dozen stars in a 30 light-years radius.
For ETIs further away, we probably won't hear their strong beacon for thousands of years.
So you would be waiting for thousands of years.

On the other hands, if they have that 4 AU antenna, it would be fairly easy (relatively low energy use) to send out a weak beacon to
every star system in the Galaxy.
Finding such beacons is what SETI is about for now.



I think you can guaranatee a broadcast quality signal at least. This
coupled with the fact that you will have a significant fraction of the
energy enitted by a star to play with. In fact if they really wanted
to they could even fry us. No sir, there is no problem with a
broadcast strength signal.

Sure, with some emagination, but why fry a planet halfway through the Galaxy ?



On the same lines they will also have learnt all the languages that
are currently used for broadcasting. No need to put pulsar distances
on a la Voyager. Plain English or plain Spanish will do the trick.

Re-broadcasting the received signal seems plausible. I'm sure you watched "Contact" ?

In terms of the 4AU radio telescope, all I am doind is assuming that

ET will be able to manoever spacecraft to within a wavelength of each
other. The telescope is not a solid mass, it is a set of small phase
locked telescopes. We are starting to achieve similar things. I recall
that in an earlier posting I talked about the preponderance of fiber
optic technology. The driving force is a telescope the size of the
Earth + Particle Physics.

There is thus nothing inherently impossible about what I am proposing.
It is a logical culmination of ET (Emergent Technology). Of course ET
(Extra Terrestrial) will have had a few thousand years (at least)
start.

As far as halfway across the galaxy is concerned, this is purely a
statistical assumption. If we take a random point on Earth, odds are
it will be 10,000km away (a quadrant). Half of the Earth's surface is
in the nearest quadrant.


- Ian Parker
Rob Dekker...
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 2:20 pm
Guest
"Ian Parker" <ianparker2 at (no spam) gmail.com> wrote in message news:b1e6cbfc-4ec4-4fc0-ab98-b824905fe44c at (no spam) 34g2000hsh.googlegroups.com...
Quote:
On 5 May, 22:28, "Rob Dekker" <r... at (no spam) verific.com> wrote:
"Ian Parker" <ianpark... at (no spam) gmail.com> wrote in messagenews:da7aa5d9-d59c-4ccd-a7fb-441932d285bc at (no spam) w7g2000hsa.googlegroups.com...
.....
How can you wait for a "good strong" signal without SETI ?
There may be many strong signals out there, because we barely touched the (EM spectrum) surface with SETI.

Also, how 'strong' a signal is strong enough for you ?
Do they need to break into the dayly news to get your attention ?
Or, in case you don't watch the news, do they need to break into the next episode of Seinfelt ?

A strong signal is a signal of terrestrial broadcast strength. You are
watching Seinfelt and then you get a message from ET. A strong signal
can be picked up without special equipment, without mathematical
processing.

Is an interstellar broadcast of this strength possible? Emphatically
yes. If we assume a radio telescope 4AU across transmitting at 3cm.
This is 600 million km, or 20 * 10^12 lambda. This will give a 60km
(1.22lambda/d) spot at 100 light years. 600km at 1000ly. The galaxy
would only be about 60,000km. You might have to do some clever Fourier
Transform techniques to get rid of dark matter and other lensing
effects, but basically it could be done.

Nice. A radio telescope (array) 4 AU across, that works up till 10 GHz (3cm). Wow. I would give a leg to get my hands on that on.

It still seems far-fetched and a lot of trouble and energy use for an ETI to send broacast strength signals to 100s of billions of
other stars/planets in the Galaxy.
It would be a total waste of energy for the billions of years that we were in the single-cell/multi-cell level with our life status.

With that many targets, and that much risk of beaming to a deaf planet, the "Contact" scenario seems plausible : They would listen
to emerging communicating civilisations by eavesdropping on their transmissions before switching the beacon on. In our case (60
years of broadcast), this means they would have to be less than 30 light-years away for us to receive their signal now. There are
only a few dozen stars in a 30 light-years radius.
For ETIs further away, we probably won't hear their strong beacon for thousands of years.
So you would be waiting for thousands of years.

On the other hands, if they have that 4 AU antenna, it would be fairly easy (relatively low energy use) to send out a weak beacon to
every star system in the Galaxy.
Finding such beacons is what SETI is about for now.

Quote:

I think you can guaranatee a broadcast quality signal at least. This
coupled with the fact that you will have a significant fraction of the
energy enitted by a star to play with. In fact if they really wanted
to they could even fry us. No sir, there is no problem with a
broadcast strength signal.

Sure, with some emagination, but why fry a planet halfway through the Galaxy ?

Quote:

On the same lines they will also have learnt all the languages that
are currently used for broadcasting. No need to put pulsar distances
on a la Voyager. Plain English or plain Spanish will do the trick.


Re-broadcasting the received signal seems plausible. I'm sure you watched "Contact" ?

Quote:

- Ian Parker
Rob Dekker...
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 4:09 pm
Guest
"Ian Parker" <ianparker2 at (no spam) gmail.com> wrote in message news:ba82e399-e2d2-4ecb-b85b-3980393c2854 at (no spam) 34g2000hsh.googlegroups.com...
.....
Quote:
Re-broadcasting the received signal seems plausible. I'm sure you watched "Contact" ?

In terms of the 4AU radio telescope, all I am doind is assuming that
ET will be able to manoever spacecraft to within a wavelength of each
other. The telescope is not a solid mass, it is a set of small phase
locked telescopes. We are starting to achieve similar things. I recall
that in an earlier posting I talked about the preponderance of fiber
optic technology. The driving force is a telescope the size of the
Earth + Particle Physics.

There is thus nothing inherently impossible about what I am proposing.
It is a logical culmination of ET (Emergent Technology). Of course ET
(Extra Terrestrial) will have had a few thousand years (at least)
start.

You are right, and I do not contest that at all.
But you mentioned that SETI is a waste of time and that we should wait for a strong signal.

The thing is, what do we do if that very strong signal does NOT appear.
What conclusion can we draw then ?
Seems that the only conclusion we can draw is that no ETI has set up intergallactic radio/TV broadcasts.
(Thank heaven ! I was already concerned about 5,689 channels of ETI advertisements and infomercials).

But maybe they set up a modest beacon. Maybe that transmits some info about what is important to know about ETI life in the Galaxy.
If we do not look for that beacon and it is there, then we miss out on the most significant piece of information in the history of
mankind.
Is that a waste of time ??

Quote:

As far as halfway across the galaxy is concerned, this is purely a
statistical assumption. If we take a random point on Earth, odds are
it will be 10,000km away (a quadrant). Half of the Earth's surface is
in the nearest quadrant.


- Ian Parker
METIfan...
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 9:53 pm
Guest
On May 7, 7:13 am, Matt Giwer <jul... at (no spam) tampabay.REMover.rr.com> wrote:
Quote:
Ian Parker wrote:
On 3 May, 07:27, Matt Giwer <jul... at (no spam) tampabay.REMover.rr.com> wrote:
Ian Parker wrote:
...
Yes but we don't even see that. Don't suppose there have been no
searches for IR radiation round stars. Beta Pictoris has some rubble
round it, but it is condensing asteroid like masterial, NOT Dyson
habitats.
As I think I have said before Dyson civilizations will have radio
teledcopes at least 4AU across and fragmented optical telescopes,
possibly thousands of kilometers across. Hence, if they are there at
all, they know everything about us. This is why SETI is such a
complete waste of time.
� � � � The problem with what we think we would expect from a Dyson civilization is
that it is based upon out technology today whereas by definition a Dyson
civilization would be unimaginably ahead of us.
� � � � There is no way we could possibly know what to look for.
� � � � Thermodynamics does not apply in the sub-atomic interaction of matter to
energy. There is no reason to assume an energy to matter conversion would
generate any waste heat at all. So if they are converting unneeded solar energy
back to matter by a fundamental process even the IR radiation we not occur.. It
would be a sphere whose temperature would be 0 degrees. Or perhaps 4.7 degrees
on average.
Thermodynamics applies universally. Sub atomic as well as molecular.

I do not see how it can be applied to neutron decay. The process is not lossy.
Quantum phenomena regularly violent every aspect of thermo. Even for entropy I
do not see what constitutes "order" at the partical level. If the matter of
interactions expressed by Feynman diagrams it is no clear from when a change in
entropy is to be observed and in which direction.

The only reason why we do not associate it with sub atomic particles
is that there are not many particles involved in a single acelerator
based interacton. Thermodynamics is statistical. If you have a large
number of particles at accelerattor energies, if you have a Big Bang
in effect thermodynamics certainly applies. During the first 3 minutes
there was a defined temperature, a high temperature, but a
temperature.

So all that is required is to find processes which do not require accelerators.

Thermodynamics in fact applies to information. James Cleark Maxwell
proposed a daemon that would let fast moving atoms pass and stop slow
moving ones. The refutation of this is that to make a decision you
need a multiple of kT.

As a house can appear on this side of an event horizon I sort of think the
demon has met his match.

Maxwell's daemon tells us (indirectly) that information obeys the laws
of thermodynamics. Indeed Marcus Hutter has shown that compression is
not only associated with thermodynamic entropy, but is an indication
of the presence of AI itself.
Of course you can postulatre all kinds of magical powers for advanced
extraterrestrial civilizations. However to break the 2nd law you do in
fact need to break causality itself.

Or run causality in reverse locally. Perhaps with that supermassive rotating
object which drags information into the past.

If there are conservation laws it would seem they should apply over all time
not in every arbitrary interval of time. But does information exist as we might
describe it? Position and speed are not independent pieces of information. It is
only one quanta of information else by measuring position the speed information
is not conserved.

--
The leading cause of suicide in the US is military service.
-- The Iron Webmaster, 3991
http://www.giwersworld.org/environment/aehb.phtmla2

The HOPE is the HOPE

You hope the search for extraterrestrial life finds nothing,
I hope the search for extraterrestrial life finds ALL

and no man can neither falsify nor prove one's case

because the HOPE is only the HOPE...
Matt Giwer...
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 10:13 pm
Guest
Ian Parker wrote:
Quote:
On 3 May, 07:27, Matt Giwer <jul... at (no spam) tampabay.REMover.rr.com> wrote:
Ian Parker wrote:
...
Yes but we don't even see that. Don't suppose there have been no
searches for IR radiation round stars. Beta Pictoris has some rubble
round it, but it is condensing asteroid like masterial, NOT Dyson
habitats.
As I think I have said before Dyson civilizations will have radio
teledcopes at least 4AU across and fragmented optical telescopes,
possibly thousands of kilometers across. Hence, if they are there at
all, they know everything about us. This is why SETI is such a
complete waste of time.
� � � � The problem with what we think we would expect from a Dyson civilization is
that it is based upon out technology today whereas by definition a Dyson
civilization would be unimaginably ahead of us.
� � � � There is no way we could possibly know what to look for.
� � � � Thermodynamics does not apply in the sub-atomic interaction of matter to
energy. There is no reason to assume an energy to matter conversion would
generate any waste heat at all. So if they are converting unneeded solar energy
back to matter by a fundamental process even the IR radiation we not occur.. It
would be a sphere whose temperature would be 0 degrees. Or perhaps 4.7 degrees
on average.

Thermodynamics applies universally. Sub atomic as well as molecular.

I do not see how it can be applied to neutron decay. The process is not lossy.
Quantum phenomena regularly violent every aspect of thermo. Even for entropy I
do not see what constitutes "order" at the partical level. If the matter of
interactions expressed by Feynman diagrams it is no clear from when a change in
entropy is to be observed and in which direction.

Quote:
The only reason why we do not associate it with sub atomic particles
is that there are not many particles involved in a single acelerator
based interacton. Thermodynamics is statistical. If you have a large
number of particles at accelerattor energies, if you have a Big Bang
in effect thermodynamics certainly applies. During the first 3 minutes
there was a defined temperature, a high temperature, but a
temperature.

So all that is required is to find processes which do not require accelerators.

Quote:
Thermodynamics in fact applies to information. James Cleark Maxwell
proposed a daemon that would let fast moving atoms pass and stop slow
moving ones. The refutation of this is that to make a decision you
need a multiple of kT.

As a house can appear on this side of an event horizon I sort of think the
demon has met his match.

Quote:
Maxwell's daemon tells us (indirectly) that information obeys the laws
of thermodynamics. Indeed Marcus Hutter has shown that compression is
not only associated with thermodynamic entropy, but is an indication
of the presence of AI itself.

Of course you can postulatre all kinds of magical powers for advanced
extraterrestrial civilizations. However to break the 2nd law you do in
fact need to break causality itself.

Or run causality in reverse locally. Perhaps with that supermassive rotating
object which drags information into the past.

If there are conservation laws it would seem they should apply over all time
not in every arbitrary interval of time. But does information exist as we might
describe it? Position and speed are not independent pieces of information. It is
only one quanta of information else by measuring position the speed information
is not conserved.

--
The leading cause of suicide in the US is military service.
-- The Iron Webmaster, 3991
http://www.giwersworld.org/environment/aehb.phtml a2
Ian Parker...
Posted: Wed May 07, 2008 12:59 am
Guest
On 7 May, 04:13, Matt Giwer <jul... at (no spam) tampabay.REMover.rr.com> wrote:
Quote:
Ian Parker wrote:
On 3 May, 07:27, Matt Giwer <jul... at (no spam) tampabay.REMover.rr.com> wrote:
Ian Parker wrote:
...
Yes but we don't even see that. Don't suppose there have been no
searches for IR radiation round stars. Beta Pictoris has some rubble
round it, but it is condensing asteroid like masterial, NOT Dyson
habitats.
As I think I have said before Dyson civilizations will have radio
teledcopes at least 4AU across and fragmented optical telescopes,
possibly thousands of kilometers across. Hence, if they are there at
all, they know everything about us. This is why SETI is such a
complete waste of time.
� � � � The problem with what we think we would expect from a Dyson civilization is
that it is based upon out technology today whereas by definition a Dyson
civilization would be unimaginably ahead of us.
� � � � There is no way we could possibly know what to look for.
� � � � Thermodynamics does not apply in the sub-atomic interaction of matter to
energy. There is no reason to assume an energy to matter conversion would
generate any waste heat at all. So if they are converting unneeded solar energy
back to matter by a fundamental process even the IR radiation we not occur.. It
would be a sphere whose temperature would be 0 degrees. Or perhaps 4.7 degrees
on average.
Thermodynamics applies universally. Sub atomic as well as molecular.

        I do not see how it can be applied to neutron decay. The process is not lossy.
Quantum phenomena regularly violent every aspect of thermo. Even for entropy I
do not see what constitutes "order" at the partical level. If the matter of
interactions expressed by Feynman diagrams it is no clear from when a change in
entropy is to be observed and in which direction.

The only reason why we do not associate it with sub atomic particles
is that there are not many particles involved in a single acelerator
based interacton. Thermodynamics is statistical. If you have a large
number of particles at accelerattor energies, if you have a Big Bang
in effect thermodynamics certainly applies. During the first 3 minutes
there was a defined temperature, a high temperature, but a
temperature.

        So all that is required is to find processes which do not require accelerators.
Well if you heat something up you don't require an accelerator. Mind

you are talkink about Big Bang temperatures.

I know this is slightly off topic, but one of the things that is not
yet understood about the BB is why there is matter. In a hot box you
have equal amounts of matter and antimatter. There must be some
symmetry breaking interaction of baryonic quarks, possibly with a
guage particle which is of too high an energy to have been seen yet.
Quote:



Quote:
Thermodynamics in fact applies to information. James Cleark Maxwell
proposed a daemon that would let fast moving atoms pass and stop slow
moving ones. The refutation of this is that to make a decision you
need a multiple of kT.

        As a house can appear on this side of an event horizon I sort of think the
demon has met his match.

Ah, you have are thinking about Hawking and the entropy of Black
Holes. BTW the radiation given off by a BH is random and of high
entropy.
Quote:

Maxwell's daemon tells us (indirectly) that information obeys the laws
of thermodynamics. Indeed Marcus Hutter has shown that compression is
not only associated with thermodynamic entropy, but is an indication
of the presence of AI itself.
Of course you can postulatre all kinds of magical powers for advanced
extraterrestrial civilizations. However to break the 2nd law you do in
fact need to break causality itself.

        Or run causality in reverse locally. Perhaps with that supermassive rotating
object which drags information into the past.

Many people have speculated that the expansion of the Universe is what
gives rise to the arrow of time. If you have a sealed hot box it will
maintain its entropy. It has a temperature and is in equilibrium. As
soon as you allow it to expand there will be more quantum states in
the future. Thus to put it in a nutshell, if quark soup expands it
will produce galaxies, stars and the Universe we in fact observe. Can
the Universe condense into quark soup. Yes it can but it is so
unlikely as to be discounted. All intersactions are reversable - Yes -
in a strict dynamical sense. Are intersactions reversable in the
statistical sense? No, because we are going from a small number of
possible quantum states to a very much larger number. All states are
equally probable.

If I say all states are equally probable, if I have a Hermetian
Hamiltonian where each path is as likely as the one in the opposite
direction, entropy has to increase. If it did not increase we would
not have a causitive relationship.


- Ian Parker
Quote:

        If there are conservation laws it would seem they should apply over all time
not in every arbitrary interval of time. But does information exist as we might
describe it? Position and speed are not independent pieces of information. It is
only one quanta of information else by measuring position the speed information
is not conserved.
Ian Parker...
Posted: Wed May 07, 2008 1:01 am
Guest
On 6 May, 22:09, "Rob Dekker" <r... at (no spam) verific.com> wrote:
Quote:
"Ian Parker" <ianpark... at (no spam) gmail.com> wrote in messagenews:ba82e399-e2d2-4ecb-b85b-3980393c2854 at (no spam) 34g2000hsh.googlegroups.com...

....

Re-broadcasting the received signal seems plausible. I'm sure you watched "Contact" ?

In terms of the 4AU radio telescope, all I am doind is assuming that
ET will be able to manoever spacecraft to within a wavelength of each
other. The telescope is not a solid mass, it is a set of small phase
locked telescopes. We are starting to achieve similar things. I recall
that in an earlier posting I talked about the preponderance of fiber
optic technology. The driving force is a telescope the size of the
Earth + Particle Physics.

There is thus nothing inherently impossible about what I am proposing.
It is a logical culmination of ET (Emergent Technology). Of course ET
(Extra Terrestrial) will have had a few thousand years (at least)
start.

You are right, and I do not contest that at all.
But you mentioned that SETI is a waste of time and that we should wait for a strong signal.

The thing is, what do we do if that very strong signal does NOT appear.
What conclusion can we draw then ?
Seems that the only conclusion we can draw is that no ETI has set up intergallactic radio/TV broadcasts.
(Thank heaven ! I was already concerned about 5,689 channels of ETI advertisements and infomercials).

But maybe they set up a modest beacon. Maybe that transmits some info about what is important to know about ETI life in the Galaxy.
If we do not look for that beacon and it is there, then we miss out on the most significant piece of information in the history of
mankind.
Is that a waste of time ??





As far as halfway across the galaxy is concerned, this is purely a
statistical assumption. If we take a random point on Earth, odds are
it will be 10,000km away (a quadrant). Half of the Earth's surface is
in the nearest quadrant.

If we do NOT get a strong signal the conclusion is simple. We either

have a stealthy ET or a non existant ET. You can never completely
disprove a steathy ET, although by Occams razor ET should be deemed
not to exist.


- Ian Parker
American...
Posted: Wed May 07, 2008 4:24 am
Guest
On May 7, 6:59 am, Ian Parker <ianpark... at (no spam) gmail.com> wrote:
Quote:
On 7 May, 04:13, Matt Giwer <jul... at (no spam) tampabay.REMover.rr.com> wrote:



Ian Parker wrote:
On 3 May, 07:27, Matt Giwer <jul... at (no spam) tampabay.REMover.rr.com> wrote:
Ian Parker wrote:
...
Yes but we don't even see that. Don't suppose there have been no
searches for IR radiation round stars. Beta Pictoris has some rubble
round it, but it is condensing asteroid like masterial, NOT Dyson
habitats.
As I think I have said before Dyson civilizations will have radio
teledcopes at least 4AU across and fragmented optical telescopes,
possibly thousands of kilometers across. Hence, if they are there at
all, they know everything about us. This is why SETI is such a
complete waste of time.
� � � � The problem with what we think we would expect from a Dyson civilization is
that it is based upon out technology today whereas by definition a Dyson
civilization would be unimaginably ahead of us.
� � � � There is no way we could possibly know what to look for.
� � � � Thermodynamics does not apply in the sub-atomic interaction of matter to
energy. There is no reason to assume an energy to matter conversion would
generate any waste heat at all. So if they are converting unneeded solar energy
back to matter by a fundamental process even the IR radiation we not occur.. It
would be a sphere whose temperature would be 0 degrees. Or perhaps 4.7 degrees
on average.
Thermodynamics applies universally. Sub atomic as well as molecular.

        I do not see how it can be applied to neutron decay. The process is not lossy.
Quantum phenomena regularly violent every aspect of thermo. Even for entropy I
do not see what constitutes "order" at the partical level. If the matter of
interactions expressed by Feynman diagrams it is no clear from when a change in
entropy is to be observed and in which direction.

The only reason why we do not associate it with sub atomic particles
is that there are not many particles involved in a single acelerator
based interacton. Thermodynamics is statistical. If you have a large
number of particles at accelerattor energies, if you have a Big Bang
in effect thermodynamics certainly applies. During the first 3 minutes
there was a defined temperature, a high temperature, but a
temperature.

        So all that is required is to find processes which do not require accelerators.

Well if you heat something up you don't require an accelerator. Mind
you are talkink about Big Bang temperatures.

I know this is slightly off topic, but one of the things that is not
yet understood about the BB is why there is matter. In a hot box you
have equal amounts of matter and antimatter. There must be some
symmetry breaking interaction of baryonic quarks, possibly with a
guage particle which is of too high an energy to have been seen yet.



Thermodynamics in fact applies to information. James Cleark Maxwell
proposed a daemon that would let fast moving atoms pass and stop slow
moving ones. The refutation of this is that to make a decision you
need a multiple of kT.

        As a house can appear on this side of an event horizon I sort of think the
demon has met his match.

Ah, you have are thinking about Hawking and the entropy of Black
Holes. BTW the radiation given off by a BH is random and of high
entropy.



Maxwell's daemon tells us (indirectly) that information obeys the laws
of thermodynamics. Indeed Marcus Hutter has shown that compression is
not only associated with thermodynamic entropy, but is an indication
of the presence of AI itself.
Of course you can postulatre all kinds of magical powers for advanced
extraterrestrial civilizations. However to break the 2nd law you do in
fact need to break causality itself.

        Or run causality in reverse locally. Perhaps with that supermassive rotating
object which drags information into the past.

Many people have speculated that the expansion of the Universe is what
gives rise to the arrow of time. If you have a sealed hot box it will
maintain its entropy. It has a temperature and is in equilibrium. As
soon as you allow it to expand there will be more quantum states in
the future. Thus to put it in a nutshell, if quark soup expands it
will produce galaxies, stars and the Universe we in fact observe. Can
the Universe condense into quark soup. Yes it can but it is so
unlikely as to be discounted. All intersactions are reversable - Yes -
in a strict dynamical sense. Are intersactions reversable in the
statistical sense? No, because we are going from a small number of
possible quantum states to a very much larger number. All states are
equally probable.

If I say all states are equally probable, if I have a Hermetian
Hamiltonian where each path is as likely as the one in the opposite
direction, entropy has to increase. If it did not increase we would
not have a causitive relationship.

  - Ian Parker





        If there are conservation laws it would seem they should apply over all time
not in every arbitrary interval of time. But does information exist as we might
describe it? Position and speed are not independent pieces of information. It is
only one quanta of information else by measuring position the speed information
is not conserved.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

If you're talking about entropy here, is there also any use talking
about how macromolecule crystals, will diffract positronic energy at
lower resolution than some of the smaller molecular crystals, without
mentioning the specific polarization levels used for a 4D
crystallographic Hamiltonian? In the 4D case, I think you're confusing
the symmetry exhibited by the bound quark to an "unbound" one.

At specific frequency and intensity, the "color force" becomes
"unbounded", and gets "reflected" rather than "transited". What's left
that gets "transited" are the "chargeless" neutrons, thru virtual
transmigration!

Since ionic plasmas are the "carriers" of "discharging" entropic
systems, can we say that every single eigenvalue of the Hermitian
matrix is real, and that the Hermitian matrix is one that contains
itself WITHIN the Hamiltonian matrix, but only w.r.t. ONE directivity
for a singly isolated "frequency and wavelength of decompression"?

Not unless there are MORE THAN ONE "Hermitians" at work here!

American
Jochem Huhmann...
Posted: Wed May 07, 2008 1:54 pm
Guest
"simple_language at (no spam) yahoo.com" <simple_language at (no spam) yahoo.com> writes:

[BIG SNIP]

Quote:
But in the absence of any such evidence, I conclude that the silence
of the night sky is golden, and that in the search for
extraterrestrial life, no news is good news.

You could have put a bit more effort into that and shorten it a bit... So
what you're saying is: The universe seems to be quite void of visible
alien civilizations these centuries and you hope that the reason is that
life getting started is very improbable, so we are already
beyond that Great Filter and have nothing to fear now and automatically
get promoted to Galaxy Leader very soon?

I would say: Life is quite common on planets with the right environment
for it (judging from the fact that it didn't take long for life to pop
up here). But I think complex and even intelligent life is much rarer.
Our planet is about one billion years away from dying (when our sun will
start to expand) and if complex and intelligent and technological adept
life would've taken one or two billion years longer to appear (it took
quite a while already, with long periods of nothing really new appearing
at all) it would have gotten into a tight race between that and Earth
turning into a dry, hot rock with no trace of life at all anymore.

And then there's the question if life, once being intelligent and
technology-wise rising to what we're going through now, can *sustain*
that long enough to survive natural resources (like fossil fuels) going
dry. After all to go the stars or even to send signals powerful enough
to be recognized you have to keep that up for a while and this means
using the available resources of a planet wise enough to tap into space
resources as long as your planet isn't totally stripped down. *This* is
another Great Filter. Looking at what happens down on Earth right now I
wouldn't bet on us making it through that filter. And maybe the last
life that made it through this did it a few millions years ago and isn't
there anymore. This would explain much without making us in any way
special. Maybe we're just too common an example of life. There could
have been a lot of planets going trough that now and then, flaring up
troughout the billions of years for a moment, going into space a bit,
sending stuff and noise and going dark again. We are still being in a
state of rising brilliant light, not knowing if this a rising sun or
just a flash of light irrelevant in the great shape of things.

So I think that life is common, complex life rarer, intellligent life
even rarer and life that is intelligent enough and sane enough to
*sustain* a technology age over millions of years without collapsing is
extremely rare. Easily rare enough that in our galaxy there're long
times between each such civilizations, long enough that each of them
looks up and finds the skies silent and empty. And asking itself "what's
the reason for the skies being that empty?".

I hope that we find that life is common and the Great Filter lies yet
before us. This way we might be prepared to the fact that all hardships
that life and mankind went through will be tiny against the things we'll
have to struggle against in the next centuries. "We" (whoever that is)
will have to get used to the fact that we have to manage our future to
survive and to not only survive but to make progress and to get over
whatever our planet has to offer. And the sooner we get the fact that
the currently wide open window is about to start closing very fast, the
better.

I think that either we will be launching spacecrafts and satellites a
hundred of years from now (which will mean we got over it) or we will be
heading back fast to being just another kind of animal roving that
planet for a short time, and no one out there will ever know or care.

And I have no doubt that such tragedies are more common than the
powerful aliens you're looking for and that there were many civilizations
which were on the right way and which had some worldwide networks
including things like Usenet and that this very discussion has happened
millions of times all over the universe already...


Jochem

--
"A designer knows he has arrived at perfection not when there is no
longer anything to add, but when there is no longer anything to take away."
- Antoine de Saint-Exupery
Alain Fournier...
Posted: Wed May 07, 2008 10:18 pm
Guest
Here are my comments about this thread, not answering to a particular poster and answering to all.

Here are the topics I will discuss.
1- The likeliness of emergence of life.
2- The emergence of sex.
3- The emergence of a species capable of technology.
4- Differences in evaluating the likeliness of the above and the "Great Filters" (in the sense
described by Mr. simple_language) of the past.
5- We have survived all "Great Filters".

1- About the likelihood of the emergence of life:
Several people here have repeated the fallacious argument that because life has appeared rapidly on
Earth that we can conclude that the emergence of life is not difficult and should be common. Things
that happen fast are not more likely to happen than things that happen slowly. If you jump from a 1m
high stool you are not more likely to hit the ground than if you jump from a 4 km high plane. The fact
that it takes less than 1 second to hit the ground from the stool and about 1 minute from the plane
doesn't change the fact that in both cases you will hit the ground. One could argue that life appeared
rapidly *because* it is a very unlikely event. Maybe the emergence of life needs an ocean of molten
lava to be hit by two asteroids simultaneously and life has emerged early because such conditions are
virtually impossible except in the chaos of planetary formation. I know, you are thinking that is not
very likely, that is my point, maybe you need some very unlikely events for life and very unlikely
events are more frequent in a chaotic situation (as in planetary formation). I'm not saying that this
is how life starts, I'm just saying that we can't conclude that life emerges frequently on planets because
it did so early on Earth. I know that many people, some of which with impressive credentials, have
held that argument, it still doesn't make it valid.

It doesn't seem that life has started spontaneously many times here on Earth, in fact it probably
did so only once. Therefore it doesn't seem to be such a very likely event.

2- About the emergence of sex.
People frequently skip this important evolutionary step. It is very important. Once you have sexual
reproduction, the pace of evolution increases dramatically. If your offspring have a single parent
then a great many evolutionary improvements will be discarded because they happened on a life form
who also had a flaw. With sex, your offspring with your evolutionary improvements will be
more successful than those with your flaws, therefore if you have flaws and improvements you
will transmit your improvements and through the generations, the flaws will be discarded. It isn't
easy to go from a non sexual species to a sexual species. This could be a filter. It took billions
of years to have sex after the emergence of life.

3- About intelligence evolution.
Even after the emergence of sex it took a few hundred million years to have a species smart enough
to build spaceships.

4- As I said in point 1, the time it takes for an event to happen isn't a good measure of its
likeliness. Lets look at the differences between points 1, 2 and 3.
It took billions of years to go from first life to first species reproducing through sex and
only hundreds of millions of years to go from first sexual species to humans. That in itself
doesn't show that the latter is less likely than the former. But in my opinion, once you have
sexual reproduction going to a technological species is very likely. You see, we didn't go from
earth worms to humans in a single step. You can't possibly expect the offspring of an earth
worm to be capable of building spaceships. What happened is that some low life form developed
neurons, and then other life forms more neurons, and other life forms arranged those neurons
a little better and then... It took thousands of small evolutionary steps to get humans.
You see, the evolution of intelligence didn't happen once, it happened millions of times.
Or at least millions of times there has been some small evolutionary step towards making
some animal smarter. Some of those small steps led to humans, other steps were in completely
different lineage. Obviously something that has happened millions of times here on Earth
is not the "Great Filter".

If we look at the emergence of sex which took billions of years things are a little more
murky. It is difficult to imagine the lowest life forms of circa 3.8 billion years ago
developing sex. It is difficult to imagine prokaryotes having sex. So there were several
evolutionary steps needed before having sex. Nonetheless, there was a defining moment.
There was a first species reproducing through sex. Going from non sexual reproduction to
sexual reproduction is much more of a quantum leap than going from no brains at all to a
human brains. The latter being done by a multitude of small steps but the former has one
big defining moment. Possibly, the emergence of sexual reproduction has happened only a
single time on Earth, so this might be a "Great Filter", not so for the emergence of
intelligence.

The same can be said about the emergence of life. It probably has happened only once on
Earth. If it was a very likely event, it would've happened several times. It might have
happened more than once, but there is some convincing evidence that if it has happened
more than once it did not happen many time. Therefore this too could be the "Great Filter".

5- I don't think it is likely that there is a "Great Filter" looming ahead of us, maybe
a small filter but not a "Great Filter".

The difference I make between a "Great Filter" and a small filter, is that a "Great
Filter" is something that can explain why we don't see ET civilizations every where.
A "Great Filter" is something that would let only one in a million planet go to the
next step towards a galactic civilization. The reason why I think such a "Great Filter"
can't be ahead of us is because we could already be a multi-world civilization. The
reason we don't have a colony on Mars is because of political choices that have been
made in the last 40 years not because we haven't yet advanced enough to do so. It
seams to me unlikely that no more than 1 in a million civilizations would make political
choices leading to a space colony at our technological level. Therefore, maybe we
will doom ourselves before being a galactic civilization, but that doesn't explain
why other haven't done it.

Also, some in this thread have talked about depleting our resources as a "Great Filter".
That is nonsense. If we had burnt the very last drop of petroleum and mined all the
steel in the top 20 km of the planet, that would not be a serious show stopper for
space colonization. If all the steel has been mined it just means that you need to
recycle some old steel. If all the petroleum has been burnt, you just need another
energy source, solar energy and wind power won't go away anytime soon.


Alain Fournier
Chris...
Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 6:17 am
Guest
I think you fear its discovery.

The Great Filter we have now is religion. Religious leaders (who merely make
money out of death) pounce on any evidence for the existance of aliens and
destroy it.

Several of my friends have suffered the consequences of being contactees and
have dissapeared. The ones I know ended up in the local nuthouse (ran by the
Church) and if they did not step down they were lobotomised and in some
cases their faces disfigured or their arms or legs broken or in other cases
cut off.

The evidence for extraterrestial visits is destroyed, their messangers cut
to pieces.

These atrocities are instigated and carried out by normal religious leaders
mostly christians. This is because any proof of the existance of aliens
would invalidate their faith. That is their faith in a life beyond the
grave. This is fear, fear of our own inevitable death.

There is historical evidence for extraterrestial vists by intelligent life
from another planet orbiting another star. My ancestor Gulliver Goddard owed
a farm near Basingstoke, Hampshire, UK (Goddards Farm) and in about 1660 a
black disc landed on his farm and he was befreinded by alien hominids. These
creatures lived in the farm with Gulluiver and in a Roman Palace nearby (The
Vine - now demoloshed I understand). The local gentry said it was not true
and one of the witneses was hanged as a heretic at Basing House. Goddard got
an army together led by Oliver Cromwell and the civil war was fought over
this. The royalists went to the farm and interrupted dinner where the aliens
were all shot dead by the hand cannon's the royalists had. The disc had been
hidden in a circular barn built round it. One alien got away and made it
back to his craft but he needed to refuel it with water. One royalist
followed him into the disc and shot him at the controls.

The rebellion culminated in the beheading of Charles I (then King of
England).

Gulliver was allowed to live and wrote about his contact in "Gullivers
Travels". The first edition of five copies was straight and told about his
travels into space, later editions were modified to make them acceptable to
the religious authorities at the time.

One story is almost intact and is told as a child's story about the planet
of goblins (hominids with compound eyes). I recall one episode where
Gulliver gave food and water to a old goblin couple who called at his door.

The Farm is still there and is up for sale as a working farm.

I went to the abandoned farm when I was a child of ten with the family where
the story was told to us children. The disc was still there and I looked
inside. I saw the dead Royalist's blue silk coat with gold braiding and hand
cannon on the floor where he ha starved to death when the automatic hatch
closed. The remains of the alien were there too.

The circular barn was built round it. I could just reach up and touch the
metal on the underside of the discuss shaped object which had an automatic
hatch with a lift in the centre of the underside of the disc which stood on
four legs.

The aliens recently (2006) returned, collected their dead (some were buried
in caskets in the farm and some (a family) at The Vine).

This story is from the margins of my memory.


--
Chris
http://www.myphilosophy.eu
<simple_language at (no spam) yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:da947645-72d9-4966-bcee-266aa7d34d40 at (no spam) a1g2000hsb.googlegroups.com...
source:
http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=20569

<Deleted>
Chris...
Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 6:40 am
Guest
The aliens my ancestor met "had no eyes and were very ugly". They were from
zeta reticulum. Their star is a triple star and it is never dark. There are
two stars close and one furher away. You get a triple sunset at dawn and
twilight at noon.

The aliens have four arms and two legs ending in a talon. They have compound
eyes with antenna growing out of the eyes and a humanoid mouth parts. Their
face is like a moth.

They have families and worship one God.

Each of the suns in their system has planets and life occured on all of
them, two evolved intelligent space travellers, one was a spider man (the
aliens have a 4th pair of legs which are under their skin). The other planet
had snake people the third inhabited planet is "rather primitive".

An alien who visited by home told me. I have also had information given to
me by the science reseach council and a web site.

zeta is 38 light years away.

--
Chris
http://www.myphilosophy.eu
"Chris" <noreply at (no spam) noserver.com> wrote in message
news:6vfVj.16822$Kq.5071 at (no spam) newsfe09.ams2...
Quote:
I think you fear its discovery.

The Great Filter we have now is religion. Religious leaders (who merely
make money out of death) pounce on any evidence for the existance of
aliens and destroy it.

Several of my friends have suffered the consequences of being contactees
and have dissapeared. The ones I know ended up in the local nuthouse (ran
by the Church) and if they did not step down they were lobotomised and in
some cases their faces disfigured or their arms or legs broken or in other
cases cut off.

The evidence for extraterrestial visits is destroyed, their messangers cut
to pieces.

These atrocities are instigated and carried out by normal religious
leaders mostly christians. This is because any proof of the existance of
aliens would invalidate their faith. That is their faith in a life beyond
the grave. This is fear, fear of our own inevitable death.

There is historical evidence for extraterrestial vists by intelligent life
from another planet orbiting another star. My ancestor Gulliver Goddard
owed a farm near Basingstoke, Hampshire, UK (Goddards Farm) and in about
1660 a black disc landed on his farm and he was befreinded by alien
hominids. These creatures lived in the farm with Gulluiver and in a Roman
Palace nearby (The Vine - now demoloshed I understand). The local gentry
said it was not true and one of the witneses was hanged as a heretic at
Basing House. Goddard got an army together led by Oliver Cromwell and the
civil war was fought over this. The royalists went to the farm and
interrupted dinner where the aliens were all shot dead by the hand
cannon's the royalists had. The disc had been hidden in a circular barn
built round it. One alien got away and made it back to his craft but he
needed to refuel it with water. One royalist followed him into the disc
and shot him at the controls.

The rebellion culminated in the beheading of Charles I (then King of
England).

Gulliver was allowed to live and wrote about his contact in "Gullivers
Travels". The first edition of five copies was straight and told about his
travels into space, later editions were modified to make them acceptable
to the religious authorities at the time.

One story is almost intact and is told as a child's story about the planet
of goblins (hominids with compound eyes). I recall one episode where
Gulliver gave food and water to a old goblin couple who called at his
door.

The Farm is still there and is up for sale as a working farm.

I went to the abandoned farm when I was a child of ten with the family
where the story was told to us children. The disc was still there and I
looked inside. I saw the dead Royalist's blue silk coat with gold braiding
and hand cannon on the floor where he ha starved to death when the
automatic hatch closed. The remains of the alien were there too.

The circular barn was built round it. I could just reach up and touch the
metal on the underside of the discuss shaped object which had an automatic
hatch with a lift in the centre of the underside of the disc which stood
on four legs.

The aliens recently (2006) returned, collected their dead (some were
buried in caskets in the farm and some (a family) at The Vine).

This story is from the margins of my memory.


--
Chris
http://www.myphilosophy.eu
simple_language at (no spam) yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:da947645-72d9-4966-bcee-266aa7d34d40 at (no spam) a1g2000hsb.googlegroups.com...
source:
http://www.technologyreview.com/printer_friendly_article.aspx?id=20569

Deleted
jonathan...
Posted: Sat May 10, 2008 11:35 pm
Guest
"Mike Combs" <mikecombs at (no spam) nospam.com_chg_nospam_2_ti> wrote in message
news:fvd652$bdk$1 at (no spam) home.itg.ti.com...
Quote:
Bostrom views this much the same way I do. The only point I would add is that
if Gerard O'Neill was right about orbital habitats, technological races could
colonize the galaxy far more outrageously and thoroughly than we can imagine
when staying inside the confines of the planetary assumption. Which means the
lack of obvious visual indicators becomes even more problematic.


I don't see that at all. The assumption that advanced civilizations would
move out and colonize is flawed. So is the assumption that they would
travel or try to communicate. Just the opposite should be true.

Colonizing as a necessity is assumed why?
Because now we can't see how we can sustain ourselves
on this planet. We assume colonizing is the only way
to survive long term. A truly advanced civilization wouldn't
NEED to colonize. As they would've figured out how to sustain
themselves and their population growth within their own
natural environment.

As for traveling, remote sensing is a far faster and easier way of gaining
information. Not to mention, a truly advanced society would already
have the 'answers' to the grand questions. Rendering exploring and
contacting others moot. We don't have those 'answers' yet ad
feel the need to make contact.

Simple observation of the trends of humanity show that as we become
more advanced, the need to colonize, travel or communicate with
others diminish.

And the assumption life predates earth by any significant time period
is also weak. The observations show life evolved just about as soon
as possible in our case. The age of our sun is a very significant portion
of the age of the universe. It's likely we are an early example of life
in our galaxy. Life is most certainly evolving everywhere it can, just
at about the same time frames everywhere.

For those not keeping up with the latest cosmology, the discovery of
dark energy and matter are changing everything. Life on earth evolved
at a very unique time in the evolution of the universe, at the transition
point between a dark matter and dark energy dominated universe.
This transition point should define the ideal conditions for life as it
occurs when matter domination has matured.

The latest cosmology can be found here.
http://wwwphy.princeton.edu/~steinh/

Steinhardt and Turok, of Princeton and Cambridge
are rewriting the text books as we speak.

Excerpts below from....

A Quintessential Introduction to Dark Energy
Paul J. Steinhardt
Department of Physics, Princeton University, Princeton
http://wwwphy.princeton.edu/~steinh/steinhardt.pdf

"We live at a special time in the history of the universe.
The Copernican revolution taught us that there is nothing special about our
location in the universe. If space is uniform, then should not the same be
true for time? Hubble's discovery that the universe is expanding taught us
that the universe is evolving, but the notion had been that the evolution
has been steady over the last 15 billion years with no remarkable
changes. We now know that time is anti-Copernican. We live at a special
moment in cosmic history, the transition between a decelerating,
matter-dominated universe and an accelerating, dark energy dominated universe.
The progressive formation of ever-larger scale structure and increasing
complexity that characterized the matter-dominated universe has reached
an end, and now the universe is headed towards a period that is
ever-emptier and structureless."

"The fine-tuning and cosmic coincidence problems are vexing. They are often
posed
as a paradox: Why should the acceleration begin just as humans evolve? In
desperation, some cosmologists and physicists have been led to give renewed
attention to anthropic models (Weinberg 2000). But many continue to seek
a dynamical explanation which does not require the fine-tuning of initial
conditions
or mass parameters and which is decidedly nonanthropic."



I see nothing at all inconsistent with the idea the universe is, or will be,
full of life. Yet we never make contact.

Jonathan





Quote:

Are We Alone in the Galaxy?
http://writings.mike-combs.com/alone.htm


--


Regards,
Mike Combs
----------------------------------------------------------------------
We must be staunch in our conviction that freedom is not the sole prerogative
of a lucky few, but the inalienable and universal right of all human beings...
It would be cultural condescension, or worse, to say that any people prefer
dictatorship to democracy.

Ronald Reagan at Westminster Abbey, 1982

Ian Parker...
Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 12:30 am
Guest
On 11 May, 05:35, "jonathan" <H... at (no spam) write.instead.net> wrote:
Quote:
"Mike Combs" <mikeco... at (no spam) nospam.com_chg_nospam_2_ti> wrote in message

news:fvd652$bdk$1 at (no spam) home.itg.ti.com...

Bostrom views this much the same way I do.  The only point I would add is that
if Gerard O'Neill was right about orbital habitats, technological races could
colonize the galaxy far more outrageously and thoroughly than we can imagine
when staying inside the confines of the planetary assumption.  Which means the
lack of obvious visual indicators becomes even more problematic.

I don't see that at all. The assumption that advanced civilizations would
move out and colonize is flawed. So is the assumption that they would
travel or try to communicate. Just the opposite should be true.

Colonizing as a necessity is assumed why?
 Because now we can't see how we can sustain ourselves
on this planet. We assume colonizing is the only way
to survive long term. A truly advanced civilization wouldn't
NEED to colonize. As they would've figured out how to sustain
themselves and their population growth within their own
natural environment.

As for traveling, remote sensing is a far faster and easier way of gaining
information. Not to mention, a truly advanced society would already
have the 'answers' to the grand questions. Rendering exploring and
contacting others moot. We don't have those 'answers' yet ad
feel the need to make contact.

Simple observation of the trends of humanity show that as we become
more advanced, the need to colonize, travel or communicate with
others diminish.

And the assumption life predates earth by any significant time period
is also weak. The observations show life evolved just about as soon
as possible in our case.   The age of our sun is a very significant portion
of the age of the universe. It's likely we are an early example of life
in our galaxy. Life is most certainly evolving everywhere it can, just
at about the same time frames everywhere.

For those not keeping up with the latest cosmology, the discovery of
dark energy and matter are changing everything. Life on earth evolved
at a very unique time in the evolution of the universe, at the transition
point between a dark matter and dark energy dominated universe.
This transition point should define the ideal conditions for life as it
occurs when matter domination has matured.

The latest cosmology can be found here.http://wwwphy.princeton.edu/~steinh/

Steinhardt and Turok, of Princeton and Cambridge
are rewriting the text books as we speak.

Excerpts below from....

A Quintessential Introduction to Dark Energy
Paul J. Steinhardt
Department of Physics, Princeton University, Princetonhttp://wwwphy.princeton.edu/~steinh/steinhardt.pdf

"We live at a special time in the history of the universe.
The Copernican revolution taught us that there is nothing special about our
location in the universe. If space is uniform, then should not the same be
true for time? Hubble's discovery that the universe is expanding taught us
that the universe is evolving, but the notion had been that the evolution
has been steady over the last 15 billion years with no remarkable
changes. We now know that time is anti-Copernican. We live at a special
moment in cosmic history, the transition between a decelerating,
matter-dominated universe and an accelerating, dark energy dominated universe.
The progressive formation of ever-larger scale structure and increasing
complexity that characterized the matter-dominated universe has reached
an end, and now the universe is headed towards a period that is
ever-emptier and structureless."

"The fine-tuning and cosmic coincidence problems are vexing. They are often
posed
as a paradox: Why should the acceleration begin just as humans evolve? In
desperation, some cosmologists and physicists have been led to give renewed
attention to anthropic models (Weinberg 2000). But many continue to seek
a dynamical explanation which does not require the fine-tuning of initial
conditions
or mass parameters and which is decidedly nonanthropic."

I see nothing at all inconsistent with the idea the universe is, or will be,
full of life. Yet we never make contact.

Several points.


1) We will need to colonize from the point of view of self defense. If
we don't get in first someone else will. If I were a Native American
and somehow history was reversed and I had a technological lead over
Europe I would feel obliged to colonize Europe. In 1421 the Chinese
risked oblivion in the same way.

2) If we had a 4AU diameter radio telescope you could listen to a
mobile phone on Alpha Centuri. If there is life out there it WILL be
found. That is unless it is so advanced as to be able to make itself
stealthy. Something which is a theroreical possibility though not
likely in fact.

3) The question of coincidences and the Anthropic Principle is a
subject for a posting in itself. Clearly a weak anthopic principle
exists in that we would not be here observing if the Universe were not
friendly to life.

There is probably NO other intelligent species within about 1000 LY of
us and we will have to just get used to this fact.


- Ian Parker
Matt Giwer...
Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 11:10 pm
Guest
Ian Parker wrote:
....
Quote:
Several points.

1) We will need to colonize from the point of view of self defense. If
we don't get in first someone else will. If I were a Native American
and somehow history was reversed and I had a technological lead over
Europe I would feel obliged to colonize Europe. In 1421 the Chinese
risked oblivion in the same way.

2) If we had a 4AU diameter radio telescope you could listen to a
mobile phone on Alpha Centuri. If there is life out there it WILL be
found. That is unless it is so advanced as to be able to make itself
stealthy. Something which is a theroreical possibility though not
likely in fact.

3) The question of coincidences and the Anthropic Principle is a
subject for a posting in itself. Clearly a weak anthopic principle
exists in that we would not be here observing if the Universe were not
friendly to life.

There is probably NO other intelligent species within about 1000 LY of
us and we will have to just get used to this fact.

One thing we have learned for a fact is that no two people think alike The idea
of making an assumption about what an entire intelligent species would do is
rather unfounded. For example making contact with others. If there are only 100
people per billion with an interest in it there are going to be people saying
hello.

--
You can always trust a Zionist to be a Zionist.
-- The Iron Webmaster, 3988
http://www.giwersworld.org/disinfo/occupied-2.phtml a6
 
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