First victims of global warming

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habshi

Posted: Sun Mar 30, 2008 5:20 am

Guest

All aid should be cut off to countries which do not adopt a
one child policy or zero population growth.,
Digging a few deep lakes , one mile deep can accomodate all
this extra water and stop sea levels from rising one meter this
century. Ghost can work out how many of these lakes we will need , its
surprisingly small.
Also National Geographic channel HD - six degrees could change
the world - showed that in hot temperatures , trees start consuming
oxygen and releasing carbon dioxide- so we could be suffocated.
excerpt dawn
ISLAMABAD, March 29: The Federal Food Committee (FFC) said on
Saturday that the Sindh government’s wheat stocks had plummeted
sharply and they were now sufficient only for seven days as the
government was facing serious difficulties in procuring wheat from
farmers because of low official rate.

The Sindh Food Department needs 119,000 metric tons of wheat to
sustain its daily wheat releases to mills up to April 15. On a daily
basis, the provincial food department issues 7,000 tons of wheat to
mills for grinding.

But, the province had only 28,568 metric tons of wheat available at
its godowns on Saturday.

The province can get its share of another 21,222 metric tons from
imported wheat, taking its stocks to 49,000 metric tons which will be
sufficient only for seven days.

excerpt guardian.co.uk
He said: 'These people are victims of global warming. The
accelerated melt of the Himalayan glacier is producing larger volumes
of water in the rivers, water that violently carves its way through
the flat delta where they live. The Sundarbans and the four million
people who inhabit the Indian side are dreadfully vulnerable. The area
has lost 72 square miles of land in the past few decades. This entire
region is holding back a disaster and could ultimately serve as a
warning of what is to come.'

The hamlet on Ghoramara in which Gita Pandhar, 25, lives is reached by
a narrow path along a mud dyke braced against the sea. Each day, to
get to the market, she must walk through two miles of deep, slippery
mud.

'When I was young, this was all rice-fields and herds of cows. It was
beautiful, a wonderful place to grow up, in isolation away from the
mainland. The farmland my grandfather first tended is now poisoned
with salt. All the arable land has been replaced by swamp. We used to
burn dung as fuel, but there is nowhere to graze and now we have to
cut the last of the wood here to cook with.'

Flooding is normal in the Sundarbans. Hundreds of waterways flow
through it, carrying 92 per cent of the water from Tibet, Bhutan,
India and Nepal. Most of this water arrives during the monsoon,
flooding on average 33 per cent of the countryside
Over the past few years, in a construction project that will
eventually reach across 2,050 miles, India has been quietly sealing
itself off from Bangladesh, its much poorer neighbour. Fence sections
totalling about 1,550 miles have been built since 2004, many
traversing the fringes of the Sundarbans.

Today the frontier between the countries is defined by two rows of
10ft barbed-wire barriers. In New Delhi the belief is that the fence
is being built to 'keep in' an anticipated flood of refugees from
Bangladesh, a crowded country more prone to devastating floods than
anywhere else on the planet.

'You've got an increasing population with a violently shrinking land
mass,' said Ajai Sahni, head of the New Delhi-based Institute for
Conflict Management, who worries that the Indian government is not
building the fence fast enough.

At night Ghoramara's landscape dramatically comes alive as water pours
its way onto the beaches and through the mud dykes protecting the
villages. At high tide, the water flows inland as the sea builds up,
submerging most of the mangroves. Everywhere you look narrow channels
of brackish water burrow into the land, snaking their way through the
dense brush. Each evening tens of thousands go to sleep in fear of the
sea.

In Rudranadar colony, a refugee camp for the latest exiles
from Ghoramara, families huddle around oil lamps in tiny huts.
Angurbala recalls the night she lost her home late last year:
'Everything changed when the water burst through our home. My grandson
drowned, the water took everything. We left for a government camp, but
here is no better. We were promised our own freshwater well, but the
land here on Sagar is also bad. Now all the water is salty and you
can't use
Dependra Das stretches out his arms to show his flaky skin,
covered in raw saltwater sores. His fingers submerged in soft black
clay for up to six hours a day, he spends his time frantically shoring
up a crude sea dyke surrounding his remote island home in the
Sundarbans, the world's largest delta.

Alongside him, across the beach in long lines, the villagers of
Ghoramara island, the women dressed in purple, orange and green saris,
do the same, trying to hold back the tide.

For the islanders, each day begins and ends the same way. As dusk
descends, the people file back to their thatched huts. By morning the
dyke will be breached and work will begin again.

mauryi@hotmail.com

Posted: Sun Mar 30, 2008 5:20 am

Guest

you are such a hindu parakeet in a sari...
you don't understand geology.

some places with less than 9 meter deep you get ground salt. this is
call salination.
in australia a stupid white person destroyed large area of natural
eucalytus forest thinking of using ground water to help his crop.

there arsenic,lead etc in the ground that are poisonous to human
the bengal area has high arsenic level just 6 metres deep and you
stated a mile deep pond. these peopl have to drink water containing
arsenic.. would you drink it? .

but in bollywood it might work

On Mar 30, 11:20 am, hab...@anony.com (habshi) wrote:

Quote:

habshi

Posted: Sun Mar 30, 2008 6:19 pm

Guest

Ganges carries about 100 cubic miles to the sea , so you would
need only 100 reservoris , one mile square , one mile deep in the
higher areas to store all its water , in Nepal or UP

mauryi@hotmail.com

Posted: Mon Mar 31, 2008 7:02 am

Guest

On Mar 31, 12:19 am, hab...@anony.com (habshi) wrote:

Quote:

Ganges carries about 100 cubic miles to the sea , so you would
need only 100 reservoris , one mile square , one mile deep in the
higher areas to store all its water , in Nepal or UP

and you considered equake equation that occurs every 4/8 years in all
this???
central, thar desert and all the way to bihar is quake zones.

the ganges has plenty of sewage and half cremated bodies. this a great
soup of disease out break.. you know only 15 % of the bharat
population has toilet.

keep dancing son bha bha son....in the gulap sari

habshi

Posted: Mon Mar 31, 2008 5:43 pm

Guest

So what? There are plenty of dams in earthquake zones.
These lakes however would be dug into the soil , so even in a quake
they wont spill. Flood water would be stored and then pumped out when
needed.

habshi

Posted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 6:28 pm

Guest

Riceflation and agflation
Kazi Mahmudur Rahman, Ashiq Iqbal and Hasanuzzaman

Global food prices registered an unprecedented 40 per cent increase
during 2007. This is fraught with the potential danger of causing
large-scale discontent if the situation gets out of hand. Hence, it is
urgent for all countries facing this situation to take energetic steps
with the objective of reigning in the price-hike of food and other
essentials. In 2007, rice price in Bangladesh rose by 42.6 per cent on
average whilst wheat price posted a rise of 55.4 per cent. Prices of
other essentials rose in tandem soybean oil and milk powder increased
by 42.8 per cent and 48.9 per cent respectively in Bangladesh.

The current world-wide price-hike of essential agro-commodities was
termed as “agflation” by The Economist. Bangladesh's governments have
traditionally relied on imports in order to offset the national
demand-supply gap for many agro products (rice, onion, edible oil,
etc). Recent data indicates that approximately 2.5 per cent
(pre-cyclone Sidr estimate) of Bangladesh's staple crop (rice) is from
imports and it is worth stressing here that natural calamities have,
to some extent, increased this dependency percentage.

Bangladesh's international sources of rice import are limited to
India, Thailand and Vietnam. Between February 2007 and February 2008,
prices of 5 per cent broken rice imports increased by 59.1 per cent,
43.6 per cent and 46.1 per cent respectively in these three major
importing sources. Added to the increased global price are two more
factors: (a) higher transport cost resulting mainly from higher world
fuel prices, which have spiraled prices of agro-products upwards; and
(b) traditional market structure of our economy, where starting from
the producers to the end-users (consumers), there is presence of a
large number of 'middle-men' or market intermediaries, who have a fair
amount of say on market prices and influence the overall competitive
environment in the market.

Farmers tend to receive an insignificant equivalent part of the retail
price at consumer level, in the supply-chain of essential commodities
in Bangladesh. In economics terminology, perfect information is one of
the basic prerequisites for perfect competition.

Increasing global population, soaring demand for bio-fuels and animal
feed, and unfavorable weather conditions can be considered as four of
the principle factors that has had a negative impact on global demand
for agricultural products. Utilization of cereals production as feed
is forecasted to increase by nearly 2 per cent during 2007-2008 which
can be largely attributed to the Chinese appetite for pork. Industrial
usage of cereals is also on the increase. The fear is that the rapidly
growing bio-fuel sector will eat into the cereals supply in the global
market. In 2000, about 15 million tons of America's maize crop was
turned into ethanol; it was expected to be around 85 million tons in
2007.

It is difficult to measure demand-supply situation in Bangladesh in
absence of reliable data on total demand for food grains for human
consumption, as seed and as fodder. However, it is possible to make
rational calculations based on the existing market scenario.
Bangladesh suffered from a loss of 1.4 million tons of rice due to the
two floods and the horrifying cyclone-Sidr in 2007; she will need to
rely on other rice exporting countries to meet the nationwide demand
for rice. No doubt, Bangladesh is at a critical juncture as far as
food security is concerned. On the one hand her domestic supplies have
been damaged, while on the other hand, prices of agro-commodities in
the international market have continued to increase. Can the price
escalation be attributed to the individuals' rational expectations
against agflation?

When one assumes rational expectations, they assume that individuals
are correct on average. Farmers will be rational if they choose to
produce the goods which are in short supply at present and
subsequently, they will increase their production in the hope of
making more profits in the following period. Bangladeshi consumers,
they will be irrational to expect a downturn of this current trend of
riceflation.

For a country such as Bangladesh which is prone to natural disasters
and addicted to rice, consequences of increasing rice price are clear
and catastrophic. In the short to medium term, bumper harvests are the
likely way out to offset the rising price of rice, which can take
place only if new land is brought to cultivation. The medium-to-long
term solution is to raise productivity. The care-taker government had
encouraged farmers to grow hybrid rice after the twin floods and
cyclone-Sidr damaged Bangladesh's staple crop rice - in the Aus and
Aman seasons. According to official sources, arable land for hybrid
rice in the current Boro season are over 10 lakh hectares, which was
3.90 lakh hectares in the previous season.

One could speculate is the current trend of riceflation supply
(shortage) or demand (excess) driven? Or, is it an inflation driven
agflation (riceflation)? To what extent government policies aimed at
curbing riceflation will impact on the rising price of rice, given
that our import-dependency percentage is relatively low, remains to be
seen once the boro rice arrives into the market. For now, it can be
safely assumed that consumers' expectations, based on the existing
market scenario, is likely to fuel the ongoing riceflation in
Bangladesh.

The authors are researchers at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD).
Authors are solely responsible for contents of the article which do
not necessarily represent institutional views.

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