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Science Forum Index » Agriculture Forum » "PEAK AGRICULTURE"
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| Glenn |
 Posted: Sat Feb 09, 2008 3:35 pm |
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"PEAK AGRICULTURE"
From:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusian_catastrophe
"At the time Malthus wrote, and for 150 years thereafter, most societies
had populations at or beyond their agricultural limits.[citation needed]
After World War I, the growth rate of the world's population accelerated
rapidly, resulting in predictions by Paul R. Ehrlich and many others of
an imminent Malthusian catastrophe. However, the so-called Green
Revolution produced a contemporaneous exponential increase in the
world's food supply, and the date of the predicted Malthusian collapse
had been temporarily forestalled, until the peaking of agricultural
production began to occur in the 1990s in several world regions.
"Pimentel and Nielsen, working independently, found that the human
population has passed the numerical point where all can live in comfort,
and that we have entered a stage where many of the world's citizens and
future generations are trapped in misery.[3] There is evidence that a
catastrophe is underway as of at least the 1990s; for example, by the
year 2000, children in developing countries were dying at the rate of
approximately 11,000,000 per annum from strictly preventable
diseases.[4][5] This data suggests that by the standard of misery, the
catastrophe is underway. The term 'misery' can generally be construed
as: high infant mortality, low standards of sanitation, malnutrition,
inadequate drinking water, widespread diseases, war, and political unrest.
"Regarding famines, data demonstrates the world's food production has
peaked in some of the very regions where food is needed the most. For
example in South Asia, approximately half of the land has been degraded
such that it no longer has the capacity for food production.[5] In China
there has been a 27% irreversible loss of land for agriculture, and
continues to lose arable land at the rate of 2,500 square kilometres per
year.[6] In Madagascar, at least 30% of the land previously regarded as
arable is irreversibly barren. On the other hand, recent data shows the
number of overweight people in the world now outnumbers that of
malnourished, and the rising tide of obesity continues to expand in both
rich and poor countries.[7]
"Many technologically developed countries have by 2006 passed through
the demographic transition, a complex social development in which total
fertility rates drop in response to lower infant mortality, more
education of women, increased urbanization, and a wider availability of
effective birth control causing the demographic-economic paradox. By the
end of the 21st century, these countries could avoid population declines
by permitting large-scale immigration. On the assumption that the
demographic transition is now spreading to less developed countries, the
United Nations Population Fund estimates that human population may peak
in the late 21st century rather than continue to grow until it exhausted
available resources.[8] Some have expressed doubt about the validity of
the UN projections, claiming that they are below the projections by
others.[5] The most important point is that none of the projections show
the population growth beginning to decline before 2050. Indeed, the UN
"high" estimate does not decline at all, even out to 2300, indicating
the potential for a Malthusian catastrophe.[8]
[end quote]
Note the statement:
"This data suggests that by the standard of misery, the catastrophe is
underway. The term 'misery' can generally be construed as: high infant
mortality, low standards of sanitation, malnutrition, inadequate
drinking water, widespread diseases, war, and political unrest."
Just because SOME FEW populations of the world (Such as the United
States) are not suffering from "high infant mortality, low standards of
sanitation, malnutrition, inadequate drinking water, widespread
diseases, war, and political unrest", that does NOT change the FACT that
much of the world's poorer populations ARE!
In point of fact, much of the world is engaged in war and political
unrest. Much of the world IS suffering from high infant mortality, low
standards of sanitation, malnutrition, inadequate drinking water,
widespread diseases -- such as AIDS.
Not only has the world reached "Peak Oil," but we have also reached
"Peak Agriculture."
The following references/links are offered as a starting point for your
research.
[1.] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusian_catastrophe
[2.] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_contamination
[3.] http://www.guardian.co.uk/australia/story/0,,1941942,00.html
[4.] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming
[5.] http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/12/5/184641/855
[6.] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laki_%28volcano%29
[7.] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquake
[8] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
[9] http://www.energybulletin.net/2544.html
[10] http://dieoff.org/page224.htm (Olduvai Theory)
[11] http://www.dieoff.com/
War, and Rumor of War
"...For nation shall rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom:
and there shall be famines, and pestilences, and earthquakes, in divers
places. All these are the beginning of sorrows." Mat 24:7-8, Rev 6:1-6,
20:7-8
WW1, WW2, the World wide Flu Pandemic, Nuclear Weapons, Polio, AIDS, Gog
and Magog conquered by God-less Communism, Geologic Gradualism,
Evolution, Big Bang 14 byo expanding universe, Mormonism, Jehovah's
Witnesses, etc., ad infinitum.
The Sea And Waves Roaring
What causes the sea and waves to roar? Wind. The Greenhouse Effect, or
"Global Warming", has caused an unpredictable change in the world's
weather. "Atypical" or "Unseasonable" weather causes crop failure, which
causes Famine.
The First three Seals have been opened.
The fourth Seal is soon. The Affliction will follow. Mat 24:9-13.
There is more:
www.thelittlebookopened.org/main/about/signs.html
Glenn
--
www.thelittlebookopened.org [Key words:] "The Little Book";
Glenn McClary, servitum, gaedhealic, oldwetdog |
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