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Science Forum Index » Geology - Earthquakes Forum » A magnitude 5 for Aysén, CHILE?
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| Guest |
 Posted: Wed May 16, 2007 6:15 pm |
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After the 6.3 of 04.21.2007 in Aysen, they were some quakes, but all
under 4. People there, are with any orientation, because the
"official" idea is that the predictions are not feasible. But you can
remember a different and positive case of mine, (See the prediction on
Kamchatka, Sep. 10th, 2005, this group and the comments Mar.02, 2006).
With this experience in mind, I expect some risk for a Magn. 5-5.4,
around the site -45.3; -72.6, from now till May, 31. And a nearly
more quite period for some months afterwards, (under 4).
Alexis. |
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| John Krempasky |
| Posted: Wed May 16, 2007 6:23 pm |
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Guest
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<betterapproach@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:1179357346.716259.102530@h2g2000hsg.googlegroups.com...
Quote: After the 6.3 of 04.21.2007 in Aysen, they were some quakes, but all
under 4. People there, are with any orientation, because the
"official" idea is that the predictions are not feasible. But you can
remember a different and positive case of mine, (See the prediction on
Kamchatka, Sep. 10th, 2005, this group and the comments Mar.02, 2006).
With this experience in mind, I expect some risk for a Magn. 5-5.4,
around the site -45.3; -72.6, from now till May, 31. And a nearly
more quite period for some months afterwards, (under 4).
Alexis.
Considering there's been a long-term swarm there (possibly volcano-related,
perhaps not) for months, this is like predicting that there may be downpours
in the Amazon from now till the end of May. |
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| Guest |
| Posted: Thu May 17, 2007 12:07 pm |
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On May 16, 7:23 pm, "John Krempasky" <johnk8spaml...@comcast.net>
wrote:
Quote: betterappro...@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:1179357346.716259.102530@h2g2000hsg.googlegroups.com...
After the 6.3 of 04.21.2007 in Aysen, they were some quakes, but all
under 4. People there, are with any orientation, because the
"official" idea is that the predictions are not feasible. But you can
remember a different and positive case of mine, (See the prediction on
Kamchatka, Sep. 10th, 2005, this group and the comments Mar.02, 2006).
With this experience in mind, I expect some risk for a Magn. 5-5.4,
around the site -45.3; -72.6, from now till May, 31. And a nearly
more quite period for some months afterwards, (under 4).
Alexis.
Considering there's been a long-term swarm there (possibly volcano-related,
perhaps not) for months, this is like predicting that there may be downpours
in the Amazon from now till the end of May.
John, Thanks for your interest.
I can precise: only one, about 5-5.4,(till May,31) and afterwards, 3
months , maximun Magn. 4 , but perhaps more than one, of course!
My interest is humanitarian, because, people there are very bad, and
many families are going away.
Alexis. |
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