Main Page | Report this Page
 
   
Science Forum Index  »  Electronics - Design Forum  »  OT: Bad Research, Worse Reporting on Global Warming
Page 1 of 2    Goto page 1, 2  Next
Author Message
Richard The Dreaded Liber
Posted: Thu Feb 08, 2007 6:21 pm
Guest
http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_research_horrendous_report

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:->

Cheers!
Rich
Guest
Posted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 3:17 am
On Feb 8, 11:21 pm, Richard The Dreaded Libertarian <n...@example.net>
wrote:
Quote:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_researc...

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:-

The reporter seems to be arguing that the survey shows that the Bush
administration is only slightly pregnant.

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
James Arthur
Posted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 4:15 pm
Guest
On Feb 8, 11:17 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 8, 11:21 pm, Richard The Dreaded Libertarian <n...@example.net
wrote:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_researc...

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:-

The reporter seems to be arguing that the survey shows that the Bush
administration is only slightly pregnant.

Naw, the editorial's just pointing out that reporters are either
liars, or, more likely, just clueless. And that The People then
believe The Nonsense--since it came from a supposed authority figure--
and treat it as Fact.

Cheers,
James Arthur
Richard The Dreaded Liber
Posted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 5:50 pm
Guest
On Fri, 09 Feb 2007 12:15:56 -0800, James Arthur wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 8, 11:17 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:
On Feb 8, 11:21 pm, Richard The Dreaded Libertarian <n...@example.net

http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_researc...

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:-

The reporter seems to be arguing that the survey shows that the Bush
administration is only slightly pregnant.

Naw, the editorial's just pointing out that reporters are either
liars, or, more likely, just clueless. And that The People then believe
The Nonsense--since it came from a supposed authority figure-- and treat
it as Fact.

What? Do you mean those evil, nasty, ultra-biassed, left-wing liberal
weenies in the press have taken to doing what the politicians have been
doing since life evolved??!?!?!

The Swine!!!!!

Thanks,
Rich
Guest
Posted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 7:44 pm
On Feb 9, 9:15 pm, "James Arthur" <dagmargoodb...@yahoo.com> wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 8, 11:17 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:

On Feb 8, 11:21 pm, Richard The Dreaded Libertarian <n...@example.net
wrote:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_researc...

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:-

The reporter seems to be arguing that the survey shows that the Bush
administration is only slightly pregnant.

Naw, the editorial's just pointing out that reporters are either
liars, or, more likely, just clueless. And that The People then
believe The Nonsense--since it came from a supposed authority figure--
and treat it as Fact.

The reporters aren't clueless. The survey just repeats what a number
of people have been saying for a few years now - Dubbya and his
clueless crew of neocons don't know what they are talking about, and
don't believe anybody else does either, so they feel free to gnore
authorative advice and go shopping for advice that they like.

Don't you remember the famous (if non-existent) weapons of mass
destructon that justified the idiotic invasion of Irak?

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
Bill Bowden
Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 1:20 am
Guest
On Feb 9, 3:44 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 9, 9:15 pm, "James Arthur" <dagmargoodb...@yahoo.com> wrote:



On Feb 8, 11:17 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:

On Feb 8, 11:21 pm, Richard The Dreaded Libertarian <n...@example.net
wrote:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_researc...

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:-

The reporter seems to be arguing that the survey shows that the Bush
administration is only slightly pregnant.

Naw, the editorial's just pointing out that reporters are either
liars, or, more likely, just clueless. And that The People then
believe The Nonsense--since it came from a supposed authority figure--
and treat it as Fact.

The reporters aren't clueless. The survey just repeats what a number
of people have been saying for a few years now - Dubbya and his
clueless crew of neocons don't know what they are talking about, and
don't believe anybody else does either, so they feel free to gnore
authorative advice and go shopping for advice that they like.

Don't you remember the famous (if non-existent) weapons of mass
destructon that justified the idiotic invasion of Irak?

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen


So, what's so bad about global warming? San Francisco bay property
will be cheap as the sea level rises, and I can afford to buy some,
and argiculture will prosper under warmer conditions. Some parts of
China will do real well as they did in the past under warmer
conditions.

http://www.rff.org/rff/Publications/weathervane/Features/1997/The-Benefits-of-Climate-Change-Chinas-Take-on-Global-Warming.cfm

"Warm periods are the economically and culturally prosperous periods
of mankind," said Ren. "Desertification is caused by global cold, a
severe environment, along with man-created sabotage. The natural
factor is essential."

-Bill
Eeyore
Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 3:35 am
Guest
Bill Bowden wrote:

Quote:
So, what's so bad about global warming? San Francisco bay property
will be cheap as the sea level rises, and I can afford to buy some

You're planning on living another couple of hundred years are you ?

Graham
James Arthur
Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 1:09 pm
Guest
On Feb 9, 3:44 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 9, 9:15 pm, "James Arthur" <dagmargoodb...@yahoo.com> wrote:



On Feb 8, 11:17 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:

On Feb 8, 11:21 pm, Richard The Dreaded Libertarian <n...@example.net
wrote:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_researc...

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:-

The reporter seems to be arguing that the survey shows that the Bush
administration is only slightly pregnant.

Naw, the editorial's just pointing out that reporters are either
liars, or, more likely, just clueless. And that The People then
believe The Nonsense--since it came from a supposed authority figure--
and treat it as Fact.

The reporters aren't clueless. The survey just repeats what a number
of people have been saying for a few years now

Sure they're clueless. Either that, or they are liars, which I
choose not to believe. As the article points out, a survey with a
response rate of 17% cannot justify the conclusions they reported as
FACT.

Quote:
- Dubbya and his
clueless crew of neocons don't know what they are talking about, and
don't believe anybody else does either, so they feel free to gnore
authorative advice and go shopping for advice that they like.

Why does President Bush even matter? He's got no control at all
over global warming. Hating him over it seems silly.

The problem in global warming is that of other issues of pop-
culture: everyone's debating the weight of the experts, rather than
the weight of the evidence. Alas, the evidence isn't clear: the
Earth's warming, but we need to blame someone, don't we?

Quote:
Don't you remember the famous (if non-existent) weapons of mass
destructon that justified the idiotic invasion of Irak?

Did you know that, during the Clinton Administration, Al Gore
journeyed & returned to recommend the U.S. _not_ adopt Kyoto if it
contained the provisions which caused the next administration to
oppose it?

Did you know that the President can only make treaties with the
consent of 2/3rds of the Senate, which, in 1997 resolved 95-to-0 in
opposition Kyoto if it were to contain the provisions which it
ultimately contained?[1]

That Mr. Gore then signed the treaty, symbolically, but it was never
submitted to the Senate for approval? And why? Because Mssrs. Gore
and Clinton knew it would never be ratified. They swindled Kyoto; if
you want to hate/blame/castigate someone over it, they're your boys.


Silly silly stuff.

Cheers,
James Arthur


[1] http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/
roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=105&session=1&vote=00205
[2] Sen. Hagel explains: http://epw.senate.gov/107th/Hagel_072402.htm
James Arthur
Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 1:14 pm
Guest
On Feb 9, 9:55 pm, "Bill Bowden" <wrongaddr...@att.net> wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 9, 3:44 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:



On Feb 9, 9:15 pm, "James Arthur" <dagmargoodb...@yahoo.com> wrote:

On Feb 8, 11:17 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:

On Feb 8, 11:21 pm, Richard The Dreaded Libertarian <n...@example.net
wrote:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20070207/cm_rcp/bad_researc...

Think that'll throw any fat onto the fire? >:-

The reporter seems to be arguing that the survey shows that the Bush
administration is only slightly pregnant.

Naw, the editorial's just pointing out that reporters are either
liars, or, more likely, just clueless. And that The People then
believe The Nonsense--since it came from a supposed authority figure--
and treat it as Fact.

The reporters aren't clueless. The survey just repeats what a number
of people have been saying for a few years now - Dubbya and his
clueless crew of neocons don't know what they are talking about, and
don't believe anybody else does either, so they feel free to gnore
authorative advice and go shopping for advice that they like.

Don't you remember the famous (if non-existent) weapons of mass
destructon that justified the idiotic invasion of Irak?

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen

So, what's so bad about global warming? San Francisco bay property
will be cheap as the sea level rises, and I can afford to buy some,
and argiculture will prosper under warmer conditions. Some parts of
China will do real well as they did in the past under warmer
conditions.

http://www.rff.org/rff/Publications/weathervane/Features/1997/The-Ben...

"Warm periods are the economically and culturally prosperous periods
of mankind," said Ren. "Desertification is caused by global cold, a
severe environment, along with man-created sabotage. The natural
factor is essential."

-Bill


Looking at the CO2 records, ice ages normally follow high levels of
CO2. Mankind's activities could be thwarting that. Maybe the other
Bill's got a ski trip planned he's not telling anyone about?

Cheers,
James Arthur
Fred Bloggs
Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 1:24 pm
Guest
The damned thing is an *opinion* piece written for uneducated and
uneducable riffraff and rabble, and the entire premise is completely
WRONG. Perception cab be EXTREMELY important among this particular
sample population because it is indicative of the INTIMIDATION campaign
and its influence. David Byrne is well-known to be a local Limbaugh
wannabe feeding the local retards:

"Dennis Byrne is a syndicated Wise Man, otherwise known as pundit or
columnist. This man really blows me away. He speaks with the usual
arrogance of the species variant known as Older White Male with a
Soapbox, but he is more remarkable than many in his ability to assert as
fact his opinions, with nothing to back them up."

Scum like Byrne have been around forever, if he didn't have newspaper he
would be selling elixirs from the back of truck in the rest stop parking
lot....
James Arthur
Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 4:45 pm
Guest
On Feb 10, 9:24 am, Fred Bloggs <nos...@nospam.com> wrote:
Quote:
The damned thing is an *opinion* piece written for uneducated and
uneducable riffraff and rabble, and the entire premise is completely
WRONG. Perception cab be EXTREMELY important among this particular
sample population because it is indicative of the INTIMIDATION campaign
and its influence. David Byrne is well-known to be a local Limbaugh
wannabe feeding the local retards:

"Dennis Byrne is a syndicated Wise Man, otherwise known as pundit or
columnist. This man really blows me away. He speaks with the usual
arrogance of the species variant known as Older White Male with a
Soapbox, but he is more remarkable than many in his ability to assert as
fact his opinions, with nothing to back them up."

Scum like Byrne have been around forever, if he didn't have newspaper he
would be selling elixirs from the back of truck in the rest stop parking
lot....


None of those things are relevant. Either disaffected people are
more likely to respond to a voluntary survey, or not.

Well, the latter proves to be the case.

"Every one who hates the government, raise your hand."
"Okay, all of you guys come over here and take a survey."

This isn't a representative sample, and you can't extrapolate
meaningful conclusions about the remaining, general population.
That's the complaint.

It's right up there with the old gag of handing out cigarettes to a
crowd, then surveying them to see what brand everyone's smoking.

Cheers,
James Arthur
Fred Bloggs
Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 6:17 pm
Guest
James Arthur wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 10, 9:24 am, Fred Bloggs <nos...@nospam.com> wrote:

The damned thing is an *opinion* piece written for uneducated and
uneducable riffraff and rabble, and the entire premise is completely
WRONG. Perception cab be EXTREMELY important among this particular
sample population because it is indicative of the INTIMIDATION campaign
and its influence. David Byrne is well-known to be a local Limbaugh
wannabe feeding the local retards:

"Dennis Byrne is a syndicated Wise Man, otherwise known as pundit or
columnist. This man really blows me away. He speaks with the usual
arrogance of the species variant known as Older White Male with a
Soapbox, but he is more remarkable than many in his ability to assert as
fact his opinions, with nothing to back them up."

Scum like Byrne have been around forever, if he didn't have newspaper he
would be selling elixirs from the back of truck in the rest stop parking
lot....



None of those things are relevant. Either disaffected people are
more likely to respond to a voluntary survey, or not.

That was not Byrne's argument, it was over "perception" and he
emphasizes that all throughout his opignion piece.

Quote:

Well, the latter proves to be the case.

"Every one who hates the government, raise your hand."
"Okay, all of you guys come over here and take a survey."

This isn't a representative sample, and you can't extrapolate
meaningful conclusions about the remaining, general population.
That's the complaint.

The complaint was over including "perceived" political pressure in the
statistic. It is not a gag, word gets around, if you produce a report
that is contradictory of the "official" line, your funding gets pulled,
it's that simple, things like this are not isolated. You might notice
that every single one of these people work for organizations that are
headed by *political* appointees or people who are very much eager to
please a *political* appointee.

Quote:

It's right up there with the old gag of handing out cigarettes to a
crowd, then surveying them to see what brand everyone's smoking.

I really don't know care if the survey was scientific or not, it is
well-known the administration has been pulling this crap since they
usurped control of the US government. They have quite literally broken
millions of laws, ransacked the US treasury for personal gain, murdered
millions of innocent people, and turned this country into a shambles.
The only redeeming aspect of all this is the American people are getting
just what they deserve since they're so damned dumb to elect scum like this.
James Arthur
Posted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 2:22 pm
Guest
On Feb 10, 2:17 pm, Fred Bloggs <nos...@nospam.com> wrote:
Quote:
James Arthur wrote:

"Every one who hates the government, raise your hand."
"Okay, all of you guys come over here and take a survey."

This isn't a representative sample, and you can't extrapolate
meaningful conclusions about the remaining, general population.
That's the complaint.

The complaint was over including "perceived" political pressure in the
statistic.

You've recited the complaint the survey was designed (and claimed)
to vindicate. The editorial-writer's complaint was that, despite the
claims, it didn't.

Quote:
It is not a gag, word gets around, if you produce a report
that is contradictory of the "official" line, your funding gets pulled,
it's that simple, things like this are not isolated.

That's an allegation. The survey didn't support that conclusion.
If anything, since so few of this disaffected group reported actually
experiencing anything, it suggests the opposite.

Quote:
You might notice
that every single one of these people work for organizations that are
headed by *political* appointees or people who are very much eager to
please a *political* appointee.


It's right up there with the old gag of handing out cigarettes to a
crowd, then surveying them to see what brand everyone's smoking.

I really don't know care if the survey was scientific or not, it is
well-known

It's widely alleged, not "known." That's why they did the survey.
To find out.

But it didn't say what they wanted it to say. So they said it
anyhow.

Quote:
the administration has been pulling this crap since they
usurped control of the US government. They have quite literally broken
millions of laws, ransacked the US treasury for personal gain, murdered
millions of innocent people, and turned this country into a shambles.
The only redeeming aspect of all this is the American people are getting
just what they deserve since they're so damned dumb to elect scum like this.

More allegations. Murdered millions? Where are the graves?
Fred, you're sounding a little wacky.

Best,
James Arthur
Guest
Posted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:21 pm
On Feb 11, 7:22 pm, "James Arthur" <dagmargoodb...@yahoo.com> wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 10, 2:17 pm, Fred Bloggs <nos...@nospam.com> wrote:

James Arthur wrote:
"Every one who hates the government, raise your hand."
"Okay, all of you guys come over here and take a survey."

This isn't a representative sample, and you can't extrapolate
meaningful conclusions about the remaining, general population.
That's the complaint.

The complaint was over including "perceived" political pressure in the
statistic.

You've recited the complaint the survey was designed (and claimed)
to vindicate. The editorial-writer's complaint was that, despite the
claims, it didn't.

It is not a gag, word gets around, if you produce a report
that is contradictory of the "official" line, your funding gets pulled,
it's that simple, things like this are not isolated.

That's an allegation. The survey didn't support that conclusion.
If anything, since so few of this disaffected group reported actually
experiencing anything, it suggests the opposite.

You might notice
that every single one of these people work for organizations that are
headed by *political* appointees or people who are very much eager to
please a *political* appointee.

It's right up there with the old gag of handing out cigarettes to a
crowd, then surveying them to see what brand everyone's smoking.

I really don't know care if the survey was scientific or not, it is
well-known

It's widely alleged, not "known." That's why they did the survey.
To find out.

Try reading Chris Mooney's "the Republican War on Science"
ISBN-0-46-04675-4, copyright 2005.
That quotes chapter and verse.

Quote:
But it didn't say what they wanted it to say. So they said it
anyhow.

The survey said what everybody expected. The commentator quote in the
original post carped about the coverage, and accused the people who
published the survey of putting too much faith in the data from 17% of
the respondents - rather like Spiro Agnew claiing that the "silent
majority" was on his side.

This doesn't mean that Dubbya and his dim crew aren't out there
shopping for the advice they want to hear, rather than listening to
the best advice available.

<snipped Fred's perfectly reasonable comments about Dubbya and his dim
crew, and their unsavoury antics in Irak>

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
James Arthur
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 3:55 pm
Guest
On Feb 11, 6:21 pm, bill.slo...@ieee.org wrote:
Quote:
On Feb 11, 7:22 pm, "James Arthur" <dagmargoodb...@yahoo.com> wrote:

But it didn't say what they wanted it to say. So they said it
anyhow.

The survey said what everybody expected.

The point is that the survey can't validly say anything; no
conclusions about the general population are possible. To say
otherwise misrepresents the survey.

Otherwise, one could conclude as validly that "Only 0.7 percent of
scientists polled felt pressured to change their reports."

And that's not a particularly noteworthy number--one could easily
imagine a 0.7 percent kook rate, even amongst this august assemblage
of professional prognosticators.

Best regards,
James Arthur
 
Page 1 of 2    Goto page 1, 2  Next   All times are GMT - 5 Hours
The time now is Fri Oct 10, 2008 8:42 pm