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 Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 12:54 am |
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November 2 2009
The leftish Brookings Institution and the US Chamber of Commerce basically
agree that the energy taxes in the House Waxman-Markey bill could total $9
trillion over ten years.
As an economist, I look at these forecasts and wonder "How can we possibly
know?"
These estimates cover only the costs of the "user permits" that companies
will have to buy. They don't even try to measure the massive reduction in
our economic output as energy costs double and triple with scarcity.
Let's look at a couple of "case studies":
First, we use a lot of natural gas to make fertilizer, pulling 90 million
tons per year of natural nitrogen from the air (which is 78% N). The world
has only about one-third of the cow manure needed to nourish today's crops,
so nitrogen fertilizer is feeding 2 billion of the world's 6.5 billion
people through higher food yields per acre.
Imagine that ten years from now the carbon taxes have eliminated half of the
nitrogen fertilizer: global food production has fallen massively- say by
25-30 percent; world food prices have tripled; and storage bins are empty.
What price would we pay to keep the other half of the nitrogen fertilizer so
our kids won't starve?
Would farmers and the public defend the remaining fertilizer factories with
roadblocks-or even firearms?
Will governments overcome the "fertilizer fanatics" with force?
How would the governments convince troops to fire on their own people?
By giving the troops food the public can't get?
Moreover, the BBC has just admitted what careful observers already knew-the
planet hasn't warmed since 1998!
Many climatologists say we're in a 30-year cooling driven by Pacific Ocean
cycling.
Will "global warming" come to be viewed as just a "weapon of mass taxation"?
Second case:
Britain is supposed to lose 40 percent of its electrical generating capacity
in the next eight years. All but one of its nuclear plants is due for
decommissioning, and the EU declares that nine of its big coal-fired plants
emit too much CO2.
As the blackouts spread across a shivering winter countryside, will the UK
government carry through its fossil-reduction commitments while elderly
people are dying in their homes?
None of the taxes, remember, will bring fossil fuel use down enough to
actually forestall man-made global warming-even if the embattled Greenhouse
Theory was valid.
The energy taxes will be "all pain and no gain."
Remember, too that the "Green alternatives" aren't working out well.
Denmark's massive investment in wind turbines has produced electricity
mainly at night, when no one wants it.
Biofuels nearly doubled world food prices when the US corn ethanol plants
were all running. The proposed energy taxes will quickly drive gasoline and
corn back up to food-inflation levels again.
They're supposed to.
Meanwhile, the natural, moderate 1,500-year climate cycle predicts only
0.5ºC of warming over the next several centuries. The ice cores and seabed
fossils tell us this has all happened many times in the past-including five
natural global warmings in the last 9,000 years.
Politicians can pass fossil fuel taxes through today's "tame"
legislatures-but they can't make the public obey those laws after they
clearly begin to violate human rights and common sense.
http://www.pipelinenews.org/index.cfm?page=avery11.2.09.htm
Warmest Regards
Bon z0
"It is a remarkable fact that despite the worldwide expenditure of perhaps
US$50 billion since 1990, and the efforts of tens of thousands of scientists
worldwide, no human climate signal has yet been detected that is distinct
from natural variation."
Bob Carter, Research Professor of Geology, James Cook University, Townsville |
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