Is it generally better to use a least square method or a maximum
likelihood method to calibrate an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process from
historical data? The site
In article <303576a0-67a8-4dd9-8c1a-38378d661e24@a23g2000hsc.googlegroups.com>,
<msmscarlatti@googlemail.com> wrote:
Quote:
Is it generally better to use a least square method or a maximum
likelihood method to calibrate an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process from
historical data? The site
gives an example of both options, but it's not clear which one is most
often adopted in practice.
The discretized version of an Ornstein-Uhlenbach model
is tha of a first-order Markov linear regression chain.
Maximum likelihood is a good process for this, with
asymptotic optimality, even if the "time" points are
not uniformly spaced. Maximum likelihood is definitely
better.
--
This address is for information only. I do not claim that these views
are those of the Statistics Department or of Purdue University.
Herman Rubin, Department of Statistics, Purdue University
hrubin@stat.purdue.edu Phone: (765)494-6054 FAX: (765)494-0558