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0BZN0
Posted: Fri May 02, 2008 12:03 am
Guest
This is absolutely hilarious!!!!!!



May 02, 2008



http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/bbc_covers_all_climate_bases/



Three predictions from the BBC in less than a year, so take your pick:
the world is either warming, cooling or staying just right.







Three Recent Climate Predictions Reported By the BBC

May 02, 2008

http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/002997.html



Writing in Science, Met Office researchers project that at least half of
the years between 2009 and 2014 are likely to exceed existing records.



However, the Hadley Centre researchers said that the influence of
natural climatic variations were likely to dampen the effects of
emissions from human activities between now and 2009.



But over the decade as a whole, they project the global average
temperature in 2014 to be 0.3C warmer than 2004.



Currently, 1998 is the warmest year on record, when the global mean
surface temperature was 14.54C (58.17F).



BBC August 2007: Ten-year climate model unveiled



Global temperatures for 2008 will be slightly cooler than last year as a
result of the cold La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists
have said.



Mr Jarraud told the BBC that the effect was likely to continue into the
summer, depressing temperatures globally by a fraction of a degree.



This would mean that temperatures have not risen globally since 1998
when El Nino warmed the world.



A minority of scientists question whether this means global warming has
peaked and the earth has proved more resilient to greenhouse gases than
predicted.



Experts at the UK Met Office's Hadley Centre for forecasting in Exeter
said the world could expect another record temperature within five years
or less, probably associated with another episode of El Nino.



(Unmolested version)



BBC April 2008: Global temperatures 'to decrease'



The Earth's temperature may stay roughly the same for a decade, as
natural climate cycles enter a cooling phase, scientists have predicted.



A new computer model developed by German researchers, reported in the
journal Nature, suggests the cooling will counter greenhouse warming.



However, temperatures will again be rising quickly by about 2020, they
say.



BBC 1 May 2008: Next decade 'may see no warming'
--


Warmest Regards

Bonzo

: "They don't tell you, that, in their computer models, it's assumed
that CO2 drives global warming. In other words, you assume the result
and say the computer model proves we were right. It's garbage in,
garbage out. If you don't program the computers to cause temperatures to
rise with CO2, then you have nothing." Dr. Don J. Easterbrook, Professor
Emeritus Geology, Western Washington University
0BZN0
Posted: Fri May 02, 2008 12:05 am
Guest
And an interesting comment!!!!

Comments

The trick, Paul, is to say that the models individually may be wrong but
the 'model ensemble', that is the models collectively, can not be wrong
so long as the obs. temps. fall within the error bars of the 'model
ensemble'. Incredible.

Posted by: proteus at May 2, 2008 08:54 AM



ROTFLMAO



"0BZN0" <0BZN0@ddo.com> wrote in message
news:481aa0a7$1@dnews.tpgi.com.au...
Quote:
This is absolutely hilarious!!!!!!



May 02, 2008



http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/bbc_covers_all_climate_bases/



Three predictions from the BBC in less than a year, so take your pick:
the world is either warming, cooling or staying just right.







Three Recent Climate Predictions Reported By the BBC

May 02, 2008

http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/002997.html



Writing in Science, Met Office researchers project that at least half
of the years between 2009 and 2014 are likely to exceed existing
records.



However, the Hadley Centre researchers said that the influence of
natural climatic variations were likely to dampen the effects of
emissions from human activities between now and 2009.



But over the decade as a whole, they project the global average
temperature in 2014 to be 0.3C warmer than 2004.



Currently, 1998 is the warmest year on record, when the global mean
surface temperature was 14.54C (58.17F).



BBC August 2007: Ten-year climate model unveiled



Global temperatures for 2008 will be slightly cooler than last year as
a result of the cold La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists
have said.



Mr Jarraud told the BBC that the effect was likely to continue into
the summer, depressing temperatures globally by a fraction of a
degree.



This would mean that temperatures have not risen globally since 1998
when El Nino warmed the world.



A minority of scientists question whether this means global warming
has peaked and the earth has proved more resilient to greenhouse gases
than predicted.



Experts at the UK Met Office's Hadley Centre for forecasting in Exeter
said the world could expect another record temperature within five
years or less, probably associated with another episode of El Nino.



(Unmolested version)



BBC April 2008: Global temperatures 'to decrease'



The Earth's temperature may stay roughly the same for a decade, as
natural climate cycles enter a cooling phase, scientists have
predicted.



A new computer model developed by German researchers, reported in the
journal Nature, suggests the cooling will counter greenhouse warming.



However, temperatures will again be rising quickly by about 2020, they
say.



BBC 1 May 2008: Next decade 'may see no warming'
--


Warmest Regards

Bonzo

: "They don't tell you, that, in their computer models, it's assumed
that CO2 drives global warming. In other words, you assume the result
and say the computer model proves we were right. It's garbage in,
garbage out. If you don't program the computers to cause temperatures
to rise with CO2, then you have nothing." Dr. Don J. Easterbrook,
Professor Emeritus Geology, Western Washington University
0BZN0
Posted: Fri May 02, 2008 12:09 am
Guest
And another interesting comment.
Coppcock are you there???

Statistical induction is a wonderful tool, developed in the late 19th
and early 20th centuries by people such as Francis Galton, Karl Pearson,
and Ronald Fisher. It resolved David Hume's 18th century criticism of
induction.

Alas, with the advent of computers and statistical packages, many kinds
of 'scientists' dabble in cookbook statistics, without a sound
background, either in statistics, or even in basic logic. The result is
a 'scientific' literature riddled with dodgy conclusions, because the
referees lack the insight to spot them. Most referees do not even ask to
look at the raw data.

How about a return to the medieval university's first year trivium of
logic, grammar, and rhetoric? Logic for clear thinking, grammar for
clear expression, and rhetoric because poachers make the best
gamekeepers.

Posted by: Green Davey Gam Esq. at May 2, 2008 02:59 PM



I just can't help myself .....



HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA ...



"0BZN0" <0BZN0@ddo.com> wrote in message
news:481aa0a7$1@dnews.tpgi.com.au...
Quote:
This is absolutely hilarious!!!!!!



May 02, 2008



http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/bbc_covers_all_climate_bases/



Three predictions from the BBC in less than a year, so take your pick:
the world is either warming, cooling or staying just right.







Three Recent Climate Predictions Reported By the BBC

May 02, 2008

http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/002997.html



Writing in Science, Met Office researchers project that at least half
of the years between 2009 and 2014 are likely to exceed existing
records.



However, the Hadley Centre researchers said that the influence of
natural climatic variations were likely to dampen the effects of
emissions from human activities between now and 2009.



But over the decade as a whole, they project the global average
temperature in 2014 to be 0.3C warmer than 2004.



Currently, 1998 is the warmest year on record, when the global mean
surface temperature was 14.54C (58.17F).



BBC August 2007: Ten-year climate model unveiled



Global temperatures for 2008 will be slightly cooler than last year as
a result of the cold La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists
have said.



Mr Jarraud told the BBC that the effect was likely to continue into
the summer, depressing temperatures globally by a fraction of a
degree.



This would mean that temperatures have not risen globally since 1998
when El Nino warmed the world.



A minority of scientists question whether this means global warming
has peaked and the earth has proved more resilient to greenhouse gases
than predicted.



Experts at the UK Met Office's Hadley Centre for forecasting in Exeter
said the world could expect another record temperature within five
years or less, probably associated with another episode of El Nino.



(Unmolested version)



BBC April 2008: Global temperatures 'to decrease'



The Earth's temperature may stay roughly the same for a decade, as
natural climate cycles enter a cooling phase, scientists have
predicted.



A new computer model developed by German researchers, reported in the
journal Nature, suggests the cooling will counter greenhouse warming.



However, temperatures will again be rising quickly by about 2020, they
say.



BBC 1 May 2008: Next decade 'may see no warming'
--


Warmest Regards

Bonzo

: "They don't tell you, that, in their computer models, it's assumed
that CO2 drives global warming. In other words, you assume the result
and say the computer model proves we were right. It's garbage in,
garbage out. If you don't program the computers to cause temperatures
to rise with CO2, then you have nothing." Dr. Don J. Easterbrook,
Professor Emeritus Geology, Western Washington University
 
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