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Science Forum Index » Agriculture Forum » Prions in many places
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Message |
| Narf |
Posted: Sun Jan 04, 2004 12:45 pm |
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Guest
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Quote: Not when those I have come across in sci.ag and elsewhere are
considered. Do you know how many farmers there are in the US?
The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
Quote: who bribe officials
to have laws written as they want them,
I suspect this is highly unlikely.
FYI, bribery is legal here. They call it "campaign financing"--exactly
the same effect. You can learn about it on CSPAN.
Quote: Untrue, and it's 1500C for burning, so specialist burners with emission
control are required.
Alas, we're going to have to be big men and admit we're both wrong.
It's 1000 degrees C.
See here:
www.astswmo.org/Meetings/2003%20Meetings/03%20Solid%20Waste%20Conference/
Presentations/obrien.ppt |
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| Oz |
Posted: Sun Jan 04, 2004 6:33 pm |
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Phred <ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com> writes
Quote:
You know, I've seen this sort of claim quite often, but I still don't
understand how it could be so. After all, 1000 F is well up in the
red heat of iron, and anything organic that lands on my stove
hotplate just burns away, even when you can't see the plate is red in
normal room lighting (i.e. probably less than 900 F). So how can a
prion protein survive anywhere near that sort of temperature?
For that you would have to look at the original trial work.
There will be a temp-time curve (or at least some points on it), the
particle sizes and so on.
Unfortunately I don't have a reference for this although it might be on
the UK govt BSE website.
I normally consider red heat as 800C, rather than 800F.
Prions are surprisingly resistant to several forms of degradation, its a
very stable structure. It's also worth remembering that timber beams can
(and often do) withstand astonishing temperatures for considerable
periods as the surface carbonisation is refractory and an insulator.
Basically you can destroy prions thermally, but you do need a carefully
designed burner able to supply a high enough temperature for an
adequately long time.
--
Oz
This post is worth absolutely nothing and is probably fallacious.
DEMON address no longer in use. |
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| Oz |
Posted: Sun Jan 04, 2004 6:38 pm |
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Guest
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Narf <Narf@hooomail.com> writes
Quote: The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
This doesn't seem to be supported by your evidence above,
rather the contrary in fact.
Quote: i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
I don't know of any farms run as franchises.
How would that work?
--
Oz
This post is worth absolutely nothing and is probably fallacious.
DEMON address no longer in use. |
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| Dean Hoffman |
Posted: Sun Jan 04, 2004 10:38 pm |
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On 1/4/04 11:45 AM, in article 2PKdnZBowOSizGWiRVn-hA@comcast.com, "Narf"
<Narf@hooomail.com> wrote:
Quote: The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
I think the USDA calls anyone who sells over $1000 worth of farm goods a
year a farmer. Obviously, that won't support a person.
U.S. farm population peaked at something like 32 million people back in
the early 1930s. It's been declining since. That just about coincides with
the more widespread use of tractors instead of draft animals.
A little more information here:
http://www.usda.gov/nass/aggraphs/fncht3.htm
U.S. totals are on page four:
www.usda.gov/news/pubs/fbook97/2c.pdf
My impression is that regular farms are consolidating. One guy will sell
out/retire and his neighbors will buy or rent the land. It would be almost
impossible for a common working guy to just up and decide to farm. The
investment is too great. A new farm tractor in my area will cost about
$150,000. (Nebraska, USA).
These corporations you refer to are sometimes family farm corporations.
There are some tax advantages. Also think about a scenario with, say, a
father and two sons farming in a partnership. All three are married. What
happens if one of the wives files for divorce?
I've never heard of franchise farming. Possibly you're referring to
sharecroppers or tenant farmers?
Dean
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| Phred |
Posted: Mon Jan 05, 2004 9:38 am |
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Guest
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In article <dp6YCRBbLK+$Ew0O@btopenworld.com>, Oz <acoohdb@btopenworld.com> wrote:
Quote: Phred <ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com> writes
You know, I've seen this sort of claim quite often, but I still don't
understand how it could be so. After all, 1000 F is well up in the
red heat of iron, and anything organic that lands on my stove
hotplate just burns away, even when you can't see the plate is red in
normal room lighting (i.e. probably less than 900 F). So how can a
prion protein survive anywhere near that sort of temperature?
For that you would have to look at the original trial work.
There will be a temp-time curve (or at least some points on it), the
particle sizes and so on.
Yes, I gathered it must be something to do with the pieces of "meat"
containing prions that have to be heated enough so the prions inside
are themselves are destroyed, within a probability distribution
approaching certainty. ;-)
Quote: Unfortunately I don't have a reference for this although it might be on
the UK govt BSE website.
I normally consider red heat as 800C, rather than 800F.
Fair enough. I was using the terminology from the engineering
reference I gave <http://shopswarf.orcon.net.nz/tempcol.html> and in
that the "red" range is about 400 to 1000C. In particular:
800C (1472F) is "Dull cherry-red"
885F (474C) is "Red heat, visible in twilight" (like my mower exhaust
the other evening -- though that was probably closer to "visible in
dark" i.e. 400C (752F) .
As stated, I couldn't see red in the element of my stove-top
incinerator under room lighting so I assumed it was less than 900F,
but it's possible it was a bit higher.
Quote: Prions are surprisingly resistant to several forms of degradation, its a
very stable structure. It's also worth remembering that timber beams can
(and often do) withstand astonishing temperatures for considerable
periods as the surface carbonisation is refractory and an insulator.
Actually, it's surprising how many "extremely fragile" bugs turn out
to be rather more resilient than science predicted -- the
leucaena rumen bug story is a nice demonstration of this.
Quote: Basically you can destroy prions thermally, but you do need a carefully
designed burner able to supply a high enough temperature for an
adequately long time.
Cheers, Phred.
--
ppnerkDELETE@THISyahoo.com.INVALID |
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| Phred |
Posted: Mon Jan 05, 2004 9:56 am |
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Guest
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In article <2PKdnZBowOSizGWiRVn-hA@comcast.com>,
Narf <Narf@hooomail.com> wrote:
Quote:
Not when those I have come across in sci.ag and elsewhere are
considered. Do you know how many farmers there are in the US?
The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
[...]
Is there a misprint in the above, or just a change in the way things
are defined? It seems strange that there could be an *increase* of
over 90,000 farmers in the year 1992/93, then a gradual decrease of
about 40,000 over the next nine years. Maybe that 1992 figure should
be 2,207,840?
Also, where did that 37 million acres of farmland go? "Rural
residential" development?
Cheers, Phred.
--
ppnerkDELETE@THISyahoo.com.INVALID |
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| Ron |
Posted: Mon Jan 05, 2004 12:58 pm |
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ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com (Phred) wrote in message news:<bt99m9$3s2ch$1@ID-151056.news.uni-berlin.de>...
Quote: In article <lNadncSJaI2GhGWiRVn-iw@comcast.com>,
Flarf <Flarf@hotetetemail.com> wrote in response to another:
The logic of penalising a farmer following US govt approved feeding
strategy (or buying in ready made feed) is about as sensible as
penalising someone who catches measles.
Farming here in the USA is run by big corporations who bribe officials
to have laws written as they want them, so actually, penalizing farmers
for doing the wrong thing makes some sense since the rules are skewed,
but really it's the politicians who should be penalized (won't happen)
and I would guess it's the small farmers who are actually targetted
anyway. The best solution for consumers is, buy from your local farmers
and know exactly what they are doing. That, and become a vegetarian.
1) Disposal by burning is environmentally, ecologically and financially
wasteful and should only be done in extremis.
The prion proteins in question don't go away below 1000 degree F.
You know, I've seen this sort of claim quite often, but I still don't
understand how it could be so. After all, 1000 F is well up in the
red heat of iron, and anything organic that lands on my stove
hotplate just burns away, even when you can't see the plate is red in
normal room lighting (i.e. probably less than 900 F). So how can a
prion protein survive anywhere near that sort of temperature?
Prions become a chrystal structure when misfolded.
Quote: Ref: <http://shopswarf.orcon.net.nz/tempcol.html> for tabulated colour
temperatures.
[ Incidentally, that whole Shopswarf site is very interesting. As the
introductory page at <http://shopswarf.orcon.net.nz/> says:
"A Miscellany of Machine Shop Information For Those Who Prefer Chips
That Rust, Together With An Archive of Old Machine Tools.... "
You can find data on everything from Bolt Head Identification, through
Tonnage Required for Punching Holes, to a chart of comparative
standards for Wire Gauges.]
Burning is vital. Remember the reason why these prions are dangerous
is that they don't easily break down and they collect in the brain,
forming the sponge structure.
2) Since poultry and pigs are immune (orally) it can be safely fed to
them, as has been the case for decades if not centuries. This allows
recycling and a sensible use of a valuable source or energy, proteins
and minerals.
Reuse of prion proteins is a very bad idea.
Cheers, Phred. |
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| Oz |
Posted: Mon Jan 05, 2004 1:02 pm |
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Ron <banmilk@hotmail.com> writes
Quote: You know, I've seen this sort of claim quite often, but I still don't
understand how it could be so. After all, 1000 F is well up in the
red heat of iron, and anything organic that lands on my stove
hotplate just burns away, even when you can't see the plate is red in
normal room lighting (i.e. probably less than 900 F). So how can a
prion protein survive anywhere near that sort of temperature?
Prions become a chrystal structure when misfolded.
So does water when cooled ....
--
Oz
This post is worth absolutely nothing and is probably fallacious.
DEMON address no longer in use. |
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| Torsten Brinch |
Posted: Mon Jan 05, 2004 1:32 pm |
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On 5 Jan 2004 09:58:51 -0800, banmilk@hotmail.com (Ron) wrote:
Quote: ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com (Phred) wrote in message news:<bt99m9$3s2ch$1@ID-151056.news.uni-berlin.de>...
In article <lNadncSJaI2GhGWiRVn-iw@comcast.com>,
The prion proteins in question don't go away below 1000 degree F.
You know, I've seen this sort of claim quite often, but I still don't
understand how it could be so. After all, 1000 F is well up in the
red heat of iron, and anything organic that lands on my stove
hotplate just burns away, even when you can't see the plate is red in
normal room lighting (i.e. probably less than 900 F). So how can a
prion protein survive anywhere near that sort of temperature?
Prions become a chrystal structure when misfolded.
Assuming the prion theory, we are looking at clumps of organic matter,
which - however crystally-structured - undoubtedly will be degraded
already at temperatures well below 1000F (~540C), into something we
have no reason to believe can be infectious.
If I remember correctly, there has been a study which on the face of it
showed samples completely ashed at 600C after 5-15 minutes heat
treatment still being able to transmit disease in test animals after
intracranial injection.
However, when a study appears to show something like this, we must
question the study, its methodology, the interpretation of results, the
prion hypothesis etc. etc. |
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| Oz |
Posted: Mon Jan 05, 2004 1:50 pm |
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Torsten Brinch <iaotb@inet.uni2.dk> writes
Quote: If I remember correctly, there has been a study which on the face of it
showed samples completely ashed at 600C after 5-15 minutes heat
treatment still being able to transmit disease in test animals after
intracranial injection.
However, when a study appears to show something like this, we must
question the study, its methodology, the interpretation of results, the
prion hypothesis etc. etc.
Considering the calibre of many doing prion research,
I am not inclined to argue.
--
Oz
This post is worth absolutely nothing and is probably fallacious.
DEMON address no longer in use. |
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| Dean Hoffman |
Posted: Mon Jan 05, 2004 7:46 pm |
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On 1/5/04 8:56 AM, in article btbtuf$5brrh$3@ID-151056.news.uni-berlin.de,
"Phred" <ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com> wrote:
Quote: In article <2PKdnZBowOSizGWiRVn-hA@comcast.com>,
Narf <Narf@hooomail.com> wrote:
Not when those I have come across in sci.ag and elsewhere are
considered. Do you know how many farmers there are in the US?
The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
[...]
Is there a misprint in the above, or just a change in the way things
are defined? It seems strange that there could be an *increase* of
over 90,000 farmers in the year 1992/93, then a gradual decrease of
about 40,000 over the next nine years. Maybe that 1992 figure should
be 2,207,840?
Also, where did that 37 million acres of farmland go? "Rural
residential" development?
Cheers, Phred.
I think the USDA considers anyone who sells over $1000 worth of ag
products a year a farmer. That has been consistent over the years as far as
I know.
One thing I've wondered about is the difference between a farm and a ranch.
I don't know if the USDA considers them separately.
North central Nebraska had a lot of grassland that was torn up and
converted to farm ground in the late 1970s. Corn prices were really high so
ranches were at least partially converted to farm ground. That area is
known as the Sandhills and isn't a good place to farm for a number of
reasons. Crop prices dropped and farming stopped in that area. I'm
guessing that applied to a lot of areas in the U.S. The Nebraska Sandhills
is, I guess, a unique geological region if anyone is interested.
The math for 1992 seems to work out OK. There must be some explanation
besides a misprint.
There is more information here:
http://meltingpot.fortunecity.com/minnesota/491/usfacts.html
Look at the section Change by Sales Class at the link below:
http://www.usda.gov/factbook/chapter3.htm
The average farm size in my area of Nebraska is 500 acres. If one farmer
quits, his farm is absorbed into neighboring operations. Farmers are like
royalty around here. You have to be born one or marry one to be one. Yep,
there's no difference between a king sitting on his throne and a farmer
sitting on his.
Dean
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| Phred |
Posted: Tue Jan 06, 2004 9:28 am |
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In article <BC1F6196.48D0C%dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com>,
Dean Hoffman <dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com> wrote:
Quote: On 1/5/04 8:56 AM, in article btbtuf$5brrh$3@ID-151056.news.uni-berlin.de,
"Phred" <ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com> wrote:
In article <2PKdnZBowOSizGWiRVn-hA@comcast.com>,
Narf <Narf@hooomail.com> wrote:
Not when those I have come across in sci.ag and elsewhere are
considered. Do you know how many farmers there are in the US?
The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
[...]
Is there a misprint in the above, or just a change in the way things
are defined? It seems strange that there could be an *increase* of
over 90,000 farmers in the year 1992/93, then a gradual decrease of
about 40,000 over the next nine years. Maybe that 1992 figure should
be 2,207,840?
Also, where did that 37 million acres of farmland go? "Rural
residential" development?
I think the USDA considers anyone who sells over $1000 worth of ag
products a year a farmer. That has been consistent over the years as far as
I know.
One thing I've wondered about is the difference between a farm and a ranch.
I don't know if the USDA considers them separately.
North central Nebraska had a lot of grassland that was torn up and
converted to farm ground in the late 1970s. Corn prices were really high so
ranches were at least partially converted to farm ground. That area is
known as the Sandhills and isn't a good place to farm for a number of
reasons. Crop prices dropped and farming stopped in that area. I'm
guessing that applied to a lot of areas in the U.S. The Nebraska Sandhills
is, I guess, a unique geological region if anyone is interested.
The math for 1992 seems to work out OK. There must be some explanation
besides a misprint.
Yeah. Well, maybe. If you're dealing with a spreadsheet and you
input A and B and let it calculate C=B/A the C will still be
consistent with your A and B, even if both are wrong.
FWIW, following up on this, I "corrected" the number of farmers to my
suggested value of 2,207,804, which is much more consistent with the
rest of the series. The "Acres" [per farmer] then become 443, which
is also more consistent with the rest of the series. I suspect my
hypothesis of a misprint is wrong, as you pointed out, and the truth
is there is a typo in the original data file. ;-)
I presume you Yanks have the same concept of "a throne" as we do? :)
P.S. If you're from Nebraska, did you ever have anything to do with
Charlie Gardner at the Uni in Lincoln? (Well, you wouldn't unless you
were into agriculture yourself, especially corn. Charlie was quite a
renowned geneticist/corn breeder, and a real good bloke.)
Cheers, Phred.
--
ppnerkDELETE@THISyahoo.com.INVALID |
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| Torsten Brinch |
Posted: Tue Jan 06, 2004 12:11 pm |
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Guest
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On Tue, 06 Jan 2004 14:28:17 GMT, ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com (Phred)
wrote:
Quote: In article <BC1F6196.48D0C%dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com>,
Dean Hoffman <dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com> wrote:
On 1/5/04 8:56 AM, in article btbtuf$5brrh$3@ID-151056.news.uni-berlin.de,
"Phred" <ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com> wrote:
In article <2PKdnZBowOSizGWiRVn-hA@comcast.com>,
Narf <Narf@hooomail.com> wrote:
Not when those I have come across in sci.ag and elsewhere are
considered. Do you know how many farmers there are in the US?
The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
[...]
Is there a misprint in the above, or just a change in the way things
are defined? It seems strange that there could be an *increase* of
over 90,000 farmers in the year 1992/93, then a gradual decrease of
about 40,000 over the next nine years. Maybe that 1992 figure should
be 2,207,840?
Also, where did that 37 million acres of farmland go? "Rural
residential" development?
..
The math for 1992 seems to work out OK. There must be some explanation
besides a misprint.
..
FWIW, following up on this, I "corrected" the number of farmers to my
suggested value of 2,207,804, which is much more consistent with the
rest of the series. The "Acres" [per farmer] then become 443, which
is also more consistent with the rest of the series. I suspect my
hypothesis of a misprint is wrong, as you pointed out, and the truth
is there is a typo in the original data file.
Don't suspect, TEST! Your hypothesis would predict that 1990
and 1991 number of farms in the USDA dataset would be >2,200,000.
Lookup USDA dataset:
1990: 2,145,820
1991: 2,116,760
Ooops. |
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| Torsten Brinch |
Posted: Tue Jan 06, 2004 1:15 pm |
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Guest
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And, should anyone be interested in trivia ( -surely- not Phred ,
the definition of a farm in the USDA statistics was changed in 1995 --
and data for 1994 and 1993 (but not earlier years) retrospectively
adjusted to reflect the changed definition -- thus producing an abrupt
level difference from 1992 to 1993.
(The definition of a 'farms' was originally 'operations with at least
$1000 agricultural sales'. With the change, additionally 'operations
having 5 or more horses or ponies and no other agricultural sales'
were included in statistics as 'horse farms'.)
On Tue, 06 Jan 2004 18:11:01 +0100, Torsten Brinch <iaotb@inet.uni2.dk>
wrote:
Quote: On Tue, 06 Jan 2004 14:28:17 GMT, ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com (Phred)
wrote:
In article <BC1F6196.48D0C%dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com>,
Dean Hoffman <dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com> wrote:
On 1/5/04 8:56 AM, in article btbtuf$5brrh$3@ID-151056.news.uni-berlin.de,
"Phred" <ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com> wrote:
In article <2PKdnZBowOSizGWiRVn-hA@comcast.com>,
Narf <Narf@hooomail.com> wrote:
Not when those I have come across in sci.ag and elsewhere are
considered. Do you know how many farmers there are in the US?
The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
[...]
Is there a misprint in the above, or just a change in the way things
are defined? It seems strange that there could be an *increase* of
over 90,000 farmers in the year 1992/93, then a gradual decrease of
about 40,000 over the next nine years. Maybe that 1992 figure should
be 2,207,840?
Also, where did that 37 million acres of farmland go? "Rural
residential" development?
..
The math for 1992 seems to work out OK. There must be some explanation
besides a misprint.
..
FWIW, following up on this, I "corrected" the number of farmers to my
suggested value of 2,207,804, which is much more consistent with the
rest of the series. The "Acres" [per farmer] then become 443, which
is also more consistent with the rest of the series. I suspect my
hypothesis of a misprint is wrong, as you pointed out, and the truth
is there is a typo in the original data file. ;-)
Don't suspect, TEST! Your hypothesis would predict that 1990
and 1991 number of farms in the USDA dataset would be >2,200,000.
Lookup USDA dataset:
1990: 2,145,820
1991: 2,116,760
Ooops. |
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| Phred |
Posted: Wed Jan 07, 2004 8:57 am |
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Guest
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In article <9pulvv0uv4ugrta5nqmffn1ub6rr7um7en@4ax.com>,
Torsten Brinch <iaotb@inet.uni2.dk> wrote:
Quote: And, should anyone be interested in trivia ( -surely- not Phred  ,
the definition of a farm in the USDA statistics was changed in 1995 --
and data for 1994 and 1993 (but not earlier years) retrospectively
adjusted to reflect the changed definition -- thus producing an abrupt
level difference from 1992 to 1993.
(The definition of a 'farms' was originally 'operations with at least
$1000 agricultural sales'. With the change, additionally 'operations
having 5 or more horses or ponies and no other agricultural sales'
were included in statistics as 'horse farms'.)
As I'm not interested in trivia, I completely ignored this post. But
thanks for enlightening the rest of mankind anyway. ;-)
Quote: On Tue, 06 Jan 2004 18:11:01 +0100, Torsten Brinch <iaotb@inet.uni2.dk
wrote:
On Tue, 06 Jan 2004 14:28:17 GMT, ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com (Phred)
wrote:
In article <BC1F6196.48D0C%dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com>,
Dean Hoffman <dh0496@ineINbrasVALkaID.com> wrote:
On 1/5/04 8:56 AM, in article btbtuf$5brrh$3@ID-151056.news.uni-berlin.de,
"Phred" <ppnerkDELETETHIS@yahoo.com> wrote:
In article <2PKdnZBowOSizGWiRVn-hA@comcast.com>,
Narf <Narf@hooomail.com> wrote:
Not when those I have come across in sci.ag and elsewhere are
considered. Do you know how many farmers there are in the US?
The USDA says this:
-------------------------------------------------------------
: Number 1,000 Acres Acres
:
1992 : 2,107,840 978,503 464
1993 : 2,201,590 968,845 440
1994 : 2,197,690 965,935 440
1995 : 2,196,400 962,515 438
1996 : 2,190,500 958,675 438
1997 : 2,190,510 956,010 436
1998 : 2,191,360 953,500 435
1999 : 2,192,070 947,440 432
2000 : 2,172,280 943,090 434
2001 : 2,155,680 941,310 437
2002 : 2,158,090 941,480 436
I've heard is that consolidation has been happening,
i.e. small farms being bought up by farming corporations.
I don't know if that would be reflected in these numbers,
since the farms could be franchises.
[...]
Is there a misprint in the above, or just a change in the way things
are defined? It seems strange that there could be an *increase* of
over 90,000 farmers in the year 1992/93, then a gradual decrease of
about 40,000 over the next nine years. Maybe that 1992 figure should
be 2,207,840?
Also, where did that 37 million acres of farmland go? "Rural
residential" development?
..
The math for 1992 seems to work out OK. There must be some explanation
besides a misprint.
..
FWIW, following up on this, I "corrected" the number of farmers to my
suggested value of 2,207,804, which is much more consistent with the
rest of the series. The "Acres" [per farmer] then become 443, which
is also more consistent with the rest of the series. I suspect my
hypothesis of a misprint is wrong, as you pointed out, and the truth
is there is a typo in the original data file. ;-)
Don't suspect, TEST! Your hypothesis would predict that 1990
and 1991 number of farms in the USDA dataset would be >2,200,000.
Lookup USDA dataset:
1990: 2,145,820
1991: 2,116,760
Ooops.
Cheers, Phred.
--
ppnerkDELETE@THISyahoo.com.INVALID |
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