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Science Forum Index » Bio Evolution Forum » Evolution is NOT random...
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| Virgil... |
Posted: Fri May 16, 2008 7:52 am |
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In article <g0iael$1v04$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
urillan <urillan at (no spam) yahoo.com> wrote:
Quote: On May 14, 1:44 pm, Virgil <Vir... at (no spam) gmale.com> wrote:
In article <g0cmbb$1o1... at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
dkomo <dkomo... at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
Why do I say this? The only truly random processes in nature are
quantum processes and, as far I know, this quantum randomness plays no
role in genetic mutations. Mutations are chemical and thermodynamic
phenomena taking place in the macroscopic classical world above the
quantum realm.
Which of two simultaneous sperm cells to reach an ovum will fertilize
it, is certainly an event on a small enough scale so that quantum
randomness could occasionally play a role.
The fittest - fastest sperm get there first. So, for a given egg,
between the X sperm, it's random among the fittest sperm. Over a
large population, it's generally the fittest sperm.
Not that it matters because the it's not a single sperm determining it
all.
Which of two sperm cells wins, clearly can make a macroscopic difference.
The gender of the offspring, for one thing, is determined by that sperm
cell. |
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| Entertained by my own EIMC... |
Posted: Fri May 16, 2008 7:52 am |
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"r norman" <r_s_norman at (no spam) _comcast.net> wrote in message
news:g0iael$1uvu$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org...
Quote: On Wed, 14 May 2008 13:44:55 -0400 (EDT), Virgil <Virgil at (no spam) gmale.com
wrote:
In article <g0cmbb$1o1o$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
Why do I say this? The only truly random processes in nature are
quantum processes and, as far I know, this quantum randomness plays no
role in genetic mutations. Mutations are chemical and thermodynamic
phenomena taking place in the macroscopic classical world above the
quantum realm.
Which of two simultaneous sperm cells to reach an ovum will fertilize
it, is certainly an event on a small enough scale so that quantum
randomness could occasionally play a role.
Brownian motion is sufficient to explain the randomness, quantum
phenomena need not be invoked. Anyone who believes the "classical"
world of physics is deterministic does not understand the chaotic
nature of the system combined with the finiteness of our observational
and computational ability. Even if the philosophers say the classical
system is deterministic, there is no way we can use that to predict
the future so the world is for all realistic purposes as good as
random.
Yes, but (and no less obviously) in some cases we can perceive, more or less
mathematically yet nevertheless rationally reveal and explain, trends and
tendencies (some of which get to be called and considered scientifically
established principles/theories ;->) within "Nature's" in some ways both
infinite and impossible to precisely predict "self"-patterning.
[A less easily misinterpretable and definitely more general expression than
"Nature" is "What Is"; and the insertion of "self" could certainly have been
successfully subtracted from the previous paragraph.
However, what the heck! ] |
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| John W Edser... |
Posted: Fri May 16, 2008 7:52 am |
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r norman <r_s_norman at (no spam) _comcast.net wrote:
Quote: dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
Why do I say this? The only truly random processes in nature are
quantum processes and, as far I know, this quantum randomness plays no
role in genetic mutations. Mutations are chemical and thermodynamic
phenomena taking place in the macroscopic classical world above the
quantum realm.
Which of two simultaneous sperm cells to reach an ovum will fertilize
it, is certainly an event on a small enough scale so that quantum
randomness could occasionally play a role.
Brownian motion is sufficient to explain the randomness, quantum
phenomena need not be invoked.
JE:-
Randomness means measured _but not understood_ which is the only valid
scientific definition of randomness. This must remain separated from
just the mathematical use of the same term as a measure of what is probable.
In the sciences we strive to provide understanding. However, this is not
the case for mathematics which can only measure and calculate in an
entirely reversible way. The two combined provide an incredibly powerful
epistemology whereas separately, science loses its teeth and mathematics
ceases to be self consistent (as proven by Godel).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6del's_incompleteness_theorems
The most basic nature of mathematics is that everything remains
logically reversible across "=", ">" or "<" signs _when empirically this
is simply not the case_ (please refer to previous posts which addresses
the empirical and non reversible nature of multiplication which simply
does not exist within mathematics). Without at least one non reversible
sequitur we cannot make sense of anything. The most basic of these is time.
If time is reversible, as it is within mathematics, then no frame of
reference exists for anything so "anything goes". Each non reversible
sequitur provides a constant of some kind which has to be defined
outside and not inside of mathematics. These critical constants provide
the only bulwark we can employ within mathematics against a veritable
storm of reversibility. If every proposed theory constant become reduced
to just a variable via the common process of modeling oversimplification
then no frame of reference can now be supplied only allowing the
mathematical identification of the term "randomness" and not any
scientific use of it.
My point is that _we simply do not know why anything remains logically
non reversible_, all that we know is that some things are minimally
providing time, such that those which are not, cannot be validly
considered in splendid isolation to those that are. Consider what
comprises one minimal independent unit of information: one sentence in
any language, i.e not one word or just one letter simply because each of
these has to be defined using at least one sentence. One minimal unit of
information absolutely requires two things non reversibly linked as
subject and predicate such that the subject remains a proper sub set of
the predicate and not the reverse. This can be found in any sentence
within any language except mathematics. It is the more critical non
reversible relationship which provides _sense_ allowing the probable
events of mathematics.
Only two types of logical sequiturs are known: reversible and non
reversible. Both are employed within a rational argument and not just
the one. These can be combined as only four statement types which in
turn remain related to each other in just 3 possible ways providing 12
tests (as illustrated in the traditional square of opposition which is
over a 1000 years old). To the left of each proposition type there is a
non verification and to the right a verification such that any one of
these cannot be deleted without deleting all three. The diagonals
represent refutation. Any theory/hypothesis presents a composite of
these four proposition types.
Quote: Anyone who believes the "classical"
world of physics is deterministic does not understand the chaotic
nature of the system combined with the finiteness of our observational
and computational ability.
JE:-
What we consider to be random is only the product of our ignorance
of this universe. The fact that we can measure probabilities comes with
the compliment of defined non probabilities _which can be falsified by
nature_.
Quote: Even if the philosophers say the classical
system is deterministic, there is no way we can use that to predict
the future so the world is for all realistic purposes as good as
random.
JE:-
We use science to reliably predict the future all of the time.
Regards,
John Edsger
Independent Researcher
edser at (no spam) ozemail.com.au |
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| Virgil... |
Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 11:53 am |
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In article <g0khkc$5o4$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
John W Edser <edser at (no spam) ozemail.com.au> wrote:
Quote: In the sciences we strive to provide understanding. However, this is not
the case for mathematics which can only measure and calculate in an
entirely reversible way. The two combined provide an incredibly powerful
epistemology whereas separately, science loses its teeth and mathematics
ceases to be self consistent (as proven by Godel).
Godel only proved that consistent mathematics at a sufficiently complex
level cannot prove itself consistent, which is quite different from what
you claim.
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| dkomo... |
Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 11:53 am |
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Virgil wrote:
Quote: In article <g0iael$1v0g$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
Let's forget about the idea of "replay". I used that word because Gould
initially brought it up -- "replaying the tape of life". Consider the
following thought experiment. Imagine we have a trillion absolutely
identical worlds. In each world we focus in on a bunch of pick-up
sticks standing on end. The trillion bunches are absolutely identical.
At exactly the same instant across all trillion worlds, the pick-up
sticks are allowed to fall as they will.
Now, answer the following question. After the pick-up sticks have come
to rest in a pile, will the trillion piles be identical? Why or why not?
That begs the question of whether, on a quantum level, such identity is
even possible.
How can two allegedly identical electrons subjected to allegedly
identical environments act differently, as QT suggests they may?
And if electrons can act differently, why can't pick-up sticks also?
The pick-up sticks are macroscopic objects subject to the laws of
classical physics, which worked quite well for more than two centuries
after Newton until the discoveries of atomic physics. The trillion
piles of pick-up sticks will be absolutely identical in their
macroscopic configuration. It's hard to imagine any quantum fluctuation
strong enough to cause one set of pick-up sticks to fall in a different
pattern.
--dkomo at (no spam) cris.com |
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| John W Edser... |
Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 11:53 am |
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r norman <r_s_norman at (no spam) _comcast.net> wrote
Quote: You are arguing for a Laplacian demon with full knowledge of the
position and momentum of all particles in a Newtonian deterministic
universe. In your thread of the same subject line in talk.origins I
describe a series of reasons why the universe is not deterministic in
this sense. Yes, it ultimately is based on either quantum randomness
in how the wave function is interpreted or else it is based on
uncertainty where a particle does not really _have_ a simultaneous
position and momentum, not merely that we can't measure it. In a
conceptual framework, even were the universe a Newtonian mechanism, I
argue that no finite system can have the knowledge of all the
particles to compute the system. So the universe may be deterministic
to some conceptual infinite power, to a god, but not to any
conceivable science.
JE:
The random element means WE CAN MEASURE IT (using mathematics) BUT WE
SIMPLY DO NOT UNDERSTAND IT (using the sciences). Mathematics is not a
science. Just because we can measure probability does not mean that we
understand it. Todays confusion between science and mathematics has sown
the seeds for a destructive Post Modern epistemology which was and
remains based on the misuse of mathematics. Today's Neo Darwinistic
evolutionary theory establishment is Post Modern because it predicates
itself on things like probabilities, i.e. something that we can measure
_but do not understand_. Science is all about understanding in a
falsifiable way and not just, not understanding.
Regards,
John Edser
Independent Researcher
edser at (no spam) ozemail.com.au |
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| r norman... |
Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 11:53 am |
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Guest
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On Fri, 16 May 2008 13:52:11 -0400 (EDT), Virgil <Virgil at (no spam) gmale.com>
wrote:
Quote: In article <g0iael$1uvu$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
r norman <r_s_norman at (no spam) _comcast.net> wrote:
On Wed, 14 May 2008 13:44:55 -0400 (EDT), Virgil <Virgil at (no spam) gmale.com
wrote:
In article <g0cmbb$1o1o$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
Why do I say this? The only truly random processes in nature are
quantum processes and, as far I know, this quantum randomness plays no
role in genetic mutations. Mutations are chemical and thermodynamic
phenomena taking place in the macroscopic classical world above the
quantum realm.
Which of two simultaneous sperm cells to reach an ovum will fertilize
it, is certainly an event on a small enough scale so that quantum
randomness could occasionally play a role.
Brownian motion is sufficient to explain the randomness, quantum
phenomena need not be invoked. Anyone who believes the "classical"
world of physics is deterministic does not understand the chaotic
nature of the system combined with the finiteness of our observational
and computational ability. Even if the philosophers say the classical
system is deterministic, there is no way we can use that to predict
the future so the world is for all realistic purposes as good as
random.
While I quite agree that there are random processes at scales sto large
for quantum effects to be relevant, my point is that there are events in
which quantum effects ARE relevant, despite dkomo's claim to the contrary
Absolutely. In the thread on talk.origins I expand on how quantum
events can have significant impact on macroscopic systems, certainly
enough to destroy any claim on determinism. |
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| dkomo... |
Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 11:53 am |
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r norman wrote:
Quote: On Thu, 15 May 2008 17:37:25 -0400 (EDT), dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net
wrote:
r norman wrote:
On Tue, 13 May 2008 14:23:39 -0400 (EDT), dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net
wrote:
So why do people keep discussing it as though it were? Evolution is a
deterministic process taking place in a deterministic world. The only
"randomness" about it is in our own minds due to our inability to
completely understand, track and predict what is going on. This
randomness is epistemological and relative, and is not a real feature of
nature.
Why do I say this? The only truly random processes in nature are
quantum processes and, as far I know, this quantum randomness plays no
role in genetic mutations. Mutations are chemical and thermodynamic
phenomena taking place in the macroscopic classical world above the
quantum realm.
So evolution plays out as part of the Newtonian clockwork universe and
statements like these: "If evolution was rerun a trillion times we would
get a trillion different results" and similar ideas from Stephen Gould
are utter bullshit.
To rerun the "tape of life" you first have to rewind it. The rewind is
completely deterministic because the laws of physics are
time-reversible. Now when you play the tape forward you get exactly the
same results as before. Replay it a trillion times and you get the same
result each time.
I think Gould's replaying of the tape of life is a fantasy like the
fantasy we create when we ponder what would have happened if Nazi
Germany had won WWII or if the South had won the American Civil War. In
the real world, evolution of life on earth could have taken only a
single path, which is the path that it actually did take. Neither an
Intelligent Designer nor true randomness played any part.
This displays a rather complete naivety about how the real world
works. Brownian motion meets whatever criterion of randomness you
might choose, as does Johnson (nyguist or thermal) noise in a
resistor, neither of which need involve quantum indeterminacy. You
can't replay the way bunched pick-up sticks fall. There are ample
examples of randomness in living systems and evolutionary systems.
You've listed examples of epistemological randomness. These are
probabilistic theories of physical phenomena, but they are probabilistic
simply because we can't analytically handle these phenomena easily any
other way. So we use statistics.
My question has to do with whether evolution is at its core truly random
beyond our statistically based and incomplete theories about it.
Let's forget about the idea of "replay". I used that word because Gould
initially brought it up -- "replaying the tape of life". Consider the
following thought experiment. Imagine we have a trillion absolutely
identical worlds. In each world we focus in on a bunch of pick-up
sticks standing on end. The trillion bunches are absolutely identical.
At exactly the same instant across all trillion worlds, the pick-up
sticks are allowed to fall as they will.
Now, answer the following question. After the pick-up sticks have come
to rest in a pile, will the trillion piles be identical? Why or why not?
The way you answer this question will allow us to determine whether
you're the one who's naive and doesn't know how the world works, LOL.
Getting back to evolution, now let's imagine a trillion absolutely
identical universes each containing an earth teeming with life at some
point many millions of years ago. After millions of years of evolution
from that exact point in time, will those earths contain identical life
organisms or not? *That's* what my original post was trying to get at.
People discuss it as random because it meets all our criteria for
random.
I have no problem with epistemological randomness and the theories based
on it, as long as people don't confuse those theories with the actual
world of nature.
You are arguing for a Laplacian demon with full knowledge of the
position and momentum of all particles in a Newtonian deterministic
universe. In your thread of the same subject line in talk.origins I
describe a series of reasons why the universe is not deterministic in
this sense. Yes, it ultimately is based on either quantum randomness
in how the wave function is interpreted or else it is based on
uncertainty where a particle does not really _have_ a simultaneous
position and momentum, not merely that we can't measure it. In a
conceptual framework, even were the universe a Newtonian mechanism, I
argue that no finite system can have the knowledge of all the
particles to compute the system. So the universe may be deterministic
to some conceptual infinite power, to a god, but not to any
conceivable science.
The universe itself is that finite(?) system. The universe has all the
knowledge it needs to compute the next state of its existence for the
next Planck time after the given present state. As Seth Lloyd and some
other physicists have pointed out, the universe can be viewed as a vast
cosmic computer.
For the pick-up sticks example, the answer I was looking for is that all
trillion piles will be identical in macroscopic configuration. Quantum
fluctuations will have no effect as the sticks fall because the sticks
are simply much too large and have too much mass.
Again, since living things are macroscopic objects, and are affected by
macroscopic forces in the world around them, is not their evolution as
completely determined as are paths of the falling sticks across the
trillion worlds?
--dkomo at (no spam) cris.com |
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| Guy A Hoelzer... |
Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 7:49 am |
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Guest
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in article g0iaem$1v12$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org, John Edser at
edser at (no spam) ozemail.com.au wrote on 5/15/08 2:37 PM:
Quote:
Guy A Hoelzer <hoelzer at (no spam) unr.edu> wrote
dkomo,
I'm afraid that I disagree with many of
your assertions in this post and, of
course, your conclusions. If the
foundation of thermodynamics is credible,
and I think it is, then the arrow of time
is not reversible. As far as we
know that arrow has never been reversed
and can never be reversed. I also
think that you set up a straw man by
limiting the notion of randomness to
quantum phenomena. The way the term
"random" has been used historically did
not imply effects without causation. It
merely implies that there is no
meaningful connection, or opportunity for
information transfer, between the
source of causation and the effected
system.
JE:-
Hi Guy,
Yes, "random" simply means measured but
NOT UNDERSTOOD.
I would extend this view in a way I think is critical to the concept of
randomness. Your definition would seem to imply, perhaps unintentionally,
that their is information in randomness of value if only it could be
understood. I'm sure that often accounts for some of the apparent
randomness, but I'm also sure that it never accounts for all of it. I think
there is plenty of variation consequent to causations that is utterly
meaningless to any particular system. The symbols composing this message
are, for example, truly meaningless and without directional impact on say
the evolution of cod fish. Even if cod had the wherewithal to decode the
meaning of this message, it would be foolish for them to bother. The effort
would involve a net cost with no benefit. This is roughly, I think, why
systems evolve to ignore (be insensitive and robust to) so much of the
variation (including potential information) they encounter. Most of it is
truly random with regard to the functioning of the system, whether it might
be useful to other systems or is so fundamentally random that it has no
meaning for any system.
In addition, the fluctuations in randomness (broadly defined as above) can
serve as a source of raw energy to fuel the metabolism of a system. The
Brownian motion of particles can, for example, drive a steam engine or a
tornado. Randomness can, therefore, be essential to a system even if the
system does not extract any information from its variation.
Cheers,
Guy |
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| Glen M. Sizemore... |
Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 7:49 am |
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Guest
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"dkomo" <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote in message
news:g0nk4b$1p7q$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org...
Quote: r norman wrote:
On Thu, 15 May 2008 17:37:25 -0400 (EDT), dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net
wrote:
r norman wrote:
On Tue, 13 May 2008 14:23:39 -0400 (EDT), dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net
wrote:
So why do people keep discussing it as though it were? Evolution is a
deterministic process taking place in a deterministic world. The only
"randomness" about it is in our own minds due to our inability to
completely understand, track and predict what is going on. This
randomness is epistemological and relative, and is not a real feature
of
nature.
Why do I say this? The only truly random processes in nature are
quantum processes and, as far I know, this quantum randomness plays no
role in genetic mutations. Mutations are chemical and thermodynamic
phenomena taking place in the macroscopic classical world above the
quantum realm.
So evolution plays out as part of the Newtonian clockwork universe and
statements like these: "If evolution was rerun a trillion times we
would
get a trillion different results" and similar ideas from Stephen Gould
are utter bullshit.
To rerun the "tape of life" you first have to rewind it. The rewind is
completely deterministic because the laws of physics are
time-reversible. Now when you play the tape forward you get exactly
the
same results as before. Replay it a trillion times and you get the
same
result each time.
I think Gould's replaying of the tape of life is a fantasy like the
fantasy we create when we ponder what would have happened if Nazi
Germany had won WWII or if the South had won the American Civil War.
In
the real world, evolution of life on earth could have taken only a
single path, which is the path that it actually did take. Neither an
Intelligent Designer nor true randomness played any part.
This displays a rather complete naivety about how the real world
works. Brownian motion meets whatever criterion of randomness you
might choose, as does Johnson (nyguist or thermal) noise in a
resistor, neither of which need involve quantum indeterminacy. You
can't replay the way bunched pick-up sticks fall. There are ample
examples of randomness in living systems and evolutionary systems.
You've listed examples of epistemological randomness. These are
probabilistic theories of physical phenomena, but they are probabilistic
simply because we can't analytically handle these phenomena easily any
other way. So we use statistics.
My question has to do with whether evolution is at its core truly random
beyond our statistically based and incomplete theories about it.
Let's forget about the idea of "replay". I used that word because Gould
initially brought it up -- "replaying the tape of life". Consider the
following thought experiment. Imagine we have a trillion absolutely
identical worlds. In each world we focus in on a bunch of pick-up
sticks standing on end. The trillion bunches are absolutely identical.
At exactly the same instant across all trillion worlds, the pick-up
sticks are allowed to fall as they will.
Now, answer the following question. After the pick-up sticks have come
to rest in a pile, will the trillion piles be identical? Why or why not?
The way you answer this question will allow us to determine whether
you're the one who's naive and doesn't know how the world works, LOL.
Getting back to evolution, now let's imagine a trillion absolutely
identical universes each containing an earth teeming with life at some
point many millions of years ago. After millions of years of evolution
from that exact point in time, will those earths contain identical life
organisms or not? *That's* what my original post was trying to get at.
People discuss it as random because it meets all our criteria for
random.
I have no problem with epistemological randomness and the theories based
on it, as long as people don't confuse those theories with the actual
world of nature.
You are arguing for a Laplacian demon with full knowledge of the
position and momentum of all particles in a Newtonian deterministic
universe. In your thread of the same subject line in talk.origins I
describe a series of reasons why the universe is not deterministic in
this sense. Yes, it ultimately is based on either quantum randomness
in how the wave function is interpreted or else it is based on
uncertainty where a particle does not really _have_ a simultaneous
position and momentum, not merely that we can't measure it. In a
conceptual framework, even were the universe a Newtonian mechanism, I
argue that no finite system can have the knowledge of all the
particles to compute the system. So the universe may be deterministic
to some conceptual infinite power, to a god, but not to any
conceivable science.
The universe itself is that finite(?) system. The universe has all the
knowledge it needs to compute the next state of its existence for the
next Planck time after the given present state.
Humans do, indeed, make calculations and computations, and then they respond
in various ways to the products of these activities. The notion, however,
that the Universe makes computations and subsequently responds to the
products of those "activities" strikes me as utter nonsense.
Quote: As Seth Lloyd and some
other physicists have pointed out, the universe can be viewed as a vast
cosmic computer.
And a sow's ear could be viewed as a silk purse. But that doesn't make it
so.
<snip> |
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| Virgil... |
Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 7:49 am |
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Guest
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In article <g0nk4a$1p7k$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
Quote: It's hard to imagine any quantum fluctuation
strong enough to cause one set of pick-up sticks to fall in a different
pattern.
Not for me. If any one stick were to be exactly in balance on its
pointed end, which, while highly improbable, is not impossible, then its
direction of eventual fall is unpredictable, and could be effected by
quantum events. |
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| Lorentz... |
Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 7:49 am |
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Guest
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On May 17, 5:53 pm, John W Edser <ed... at (no spam) ozemail.com.au> wrote:
Quote: r norman <r_s_norman at (no spam) _comcast.net> wrote
Today's Neo Darwinistic
evolutionary theory establishment is Post Modern because it predicates
itself on things like probabilities, i.e. something that we can measure
_but do not understand_. Science is all about understanding in a
falsifiable way and not just, not understanding.
This is false. The use of probability theory is not Post
Modern. Post Modern is the belief that reality is determined by the
collective belief of human beings. It is a belief that scientific
theory is a construct of the human mind. The physical reality behind
properly constructed probabilities exist independent of the collective
human mind.
The misconception described is based on a false tautology with a
partial truth. Yes, we USE a value for probability of an event in the
absence of a deterministic equation for that event. His logic is that
when a deterministic equation is found, the probability value ceases
to mean anything. However, the reality is that the probability STILL
represents part of the reality, regardless of whether people use the
deterministic equation or not. The probability describes the
redundancy of the initial conditions. This redundancy exists whether
or not people are there. The priorities set by the user of the
probability are themselves part of the physical conditions of the real
world.
One can consider blackjack. The cards really exist. Yes, there
is a partial deterministic way to "beat the game." One can in
principle "count cards." "Counting cards" reflects a method of
changing the probabilities in favor of the person playing relative to
"intuition." There is a set of probabilities for "counting" that
exist, and a set of probabilities for "intuition" that exists. Both
sets reflect part of the physical reality of a deck of cards.
However, their "use" depends on the initial conditions. If the
card player is afraid of the Mafia more than the results of his
intuition, he won't count. If the card player is afraid of the results
of his intuition more than the Mafia, he will count. If the person
want to understand the physical reality of a deck of cards, he may
want to play both ways at home. However, the existence of two sets of
probabilities is not created by the human mind, it is merely
discovered. The human mind itself is not created by the human mind.
The card player "discovers" his preferences. The history of the card
player is a real physical trajectory, and exists regardless of
"collective events."
This is not off-topic. Getting back to evolution:
Theories of natural history are not any more Post Modern than
blackjack. Even if one had exact physical theories that precisely
calculated the development of animals from initial conditions, it
would not in any way compromise the importance of either paleontology
or "neoDarwinist analysis." Because of redundancy in history, there
would still be an interest in what the initial conditions were. For
instance, one could calculate using this "deterministic theory"
several trajectories leading to the current diversity of animal life.
Some of these trajectories would involve a "Cambrian explosion" 550
MYA, and others would not. However, there would still be no way to
determine that there was a "Cambrian explosion" without paleontology.
There would still be no way to determine which of the possible
trajectories that pass through the "Cambrian explosion."
It is odd that some people should slam "Post Modernism" in one
post and quote Karl Popper in another post since Karl Popper is the
most popular "Post Modernist" alive. |
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| Virgil... |
Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 7:49 am |
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In article <g0nk4b$1p7q$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
Quote: For the pick-up sticks example, the answer I was looking for is that all
trillion piles will be identical in macroscopic configuration. Quantum
fluctuations will have no effect as the sticks fall because the sticks
are simply much too large and have too much mass.
A stick exactly balanced on its point might well eventually fall in
different directions in each of those trillion piles, and anything,
however large, which is in a position of unstable equilibrium can be
effected by quantum fluctuations. |
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| dkomo... |
Posted: Wed May 21, 2008 7:32 am |
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Glen M. Sizemore wrote:
Quote: "dkomo" <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote in message
news:g0nk4b$1p7q$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org...
r norman wrote:
On Thu, 15 May 2008 17:37:25 -0400 (EDT), dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net
wrote:
r norman wrote:
On Tue, 13 May 2008 14:23:39 -0400 (EDT), dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net
wrote:
So why do people keep discussing it as though it were? Evolution is a
deterministic process taking place in a deterministic world. The only
"randomness" about it is in our own minds due to our inability to
completely understand, track and predict what is going on. This
randomness is epistemological and relative, and is not a real feature
of
nature.
Why do I say this? The only truly random processes in nature are
quantum processes and, as far I know, this quantum randomness plays no
role in genetic mutations. Mutations are chemical and thermodynamic
phenomena taking place in the macroscopic classical world above the
quantum realm.
So evolution plays out as part of the Newtonian clockwork universe and
statements like these: "If evolution was rerun a trillion times we
would
get a trillion different results" and similar ideas from Stephen Gould
are utter bullshit.
To rerun the "tape of life" you first have to rewind it. The rewind is
completely deterministic because the laws of physics are
time-reversible. Now when you play the tape forward you get exactly
the
same results as before. Replay it a trillion times and you get the
same
result each time.
I think Gould's replaying of the tape of life is a fantasy like the
fantasy we create when we ponder what would have happened if Nazi
Germany had won WWII or if the South had won the American Civil War.
In
the real world, evolution of life on earth could have taken only a
single path, which is the path that it actually did take. Neither an
Intelligent Designer nor true randomness played any part.
This displays a rather complete naivety about how the real world
works. Brownian motion meets whatever criterion of randomness you
might choose, as does Johnson (nyguist or thermal) noise in a
resistor, neither of which need involve quantum indeterminacy. You
can't replay the way bunched pick-up sticks fall. There are ample
examples of randomness in living systems and evolutionary systems.
You've listed examples of epistemological randomness. These are
probabilistic theories of physical phenomena, but they are probabilistic
simply because we can't analytically handle these phenomena easily any
other way. So we use statistics.
My question has to do with whether evolution is at its core truly random
beyond our statistically based and incomplete theories about it.
Let's forget about the idea of "replay". I used that word because Gould
initially brought it up -- "replaying the tape of life". Consider the
following thought experiment. Imagine we have a trillion absolutely
identical worlds. In each world we focus in on a bunch of pick-up
sticks standing on end. The trillion bunches are absolutely identical.
At exactly the same instant across all trillion worlds, the pick-up
sticks are allowed to fall as they will.
Now, answer the following question. After the pick-up sticks have come
to rest in a pile, will the trillion piles be identical? Why or why not?
The way you answer this question will allow us to determine whether
you're the one who's naive and doesn't know how the world works, LOL.
Getting back to evolution, now let's imagine a trillion absolutely
identical universes each containing an earth teeming with life at some
point many millions of years ago. After millions of years of evolution
from that exact point in time, will those earths contain identical life
organisms or not? *That's* what my original post was trying to get at.
People discuss it as random because it meets all our criteria for
random.
I have no problem with epistemological randomness and the theories based
on it, as long as people don't confuse those theories with the actual
world of nature.
You are arguing for a Laplacian demon with full knowledge of the
position and momentum of all particles in a Newtonian deterministic
universe. In your thread of the same subject line in talk.origins I
describe a series of reasons why the universe is not deterministic in
this sense. Yes, it ultimately is based on either quantum randomness
in how the wave function is interpreted or else it is based on
uncertainty where a particle does not really _have_ a simultaneous
position and momentum, not merely that we can't measure it. In a
conceptual framework, even were the universe a Newtonian mechanism, I
argue that no finite system can have the knowledge of all the
particles to compute the system. So the universe may be deterministic
to some conceptual infinite power, to a god, but not to any
conceivable science.
The universe itself is that finite(?) system. The universe has all the
knowledge it needs to compute the next state of its existence for the
next Planck time after the given present state.
Humans do, indeed, make calculations and computations, and then they respond
in various ways to the products of these activities. The notion, however,
that the Universe makes computations and subsequently responds to the
products of those "activities" strikes me as utter nonsense.
A computer goes: input->process->output. It's an information
transducer. It changes the information in the input to information
going out according to some algorithm.
Now take two molecules colliding. The information input are the two
trajectories in phase space of the molecules. The output information
are two different trajectories in phase space after the collision. The
process algorithm is classical mechanics. This simple collision has
"processed" and "transformed" information like a tiny computer.
Now enlarge the picture to the whole universe.
--dkomo at (no spam) cris.com |
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| dkomo... |
Posted: Wed May 21, 2008 7:32 am |
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Virgil wrote:
Quote: In article <g0nk4a$1p7k$1 at (no spam) darwin.ediacara.org>,
dkomo <dkomo871 at (no spam) comcast.net> wrote:
It's hard to imagine any quantum fluctuation
strong enough to cause one set of pick-up sticks to fall in a different
pattern.
Not for me. If any one stick were to be exactly in balance on its
pointed end, which, while highly improbable, is not impossible, then its
direction of eventual fall is unpredictable, and could be effected by
quantum events.
Highly improbable? About as improbable as the quantum fluctuation that
initiated the big bang. You wouldn't see this happen in any of the
trillion identical worlds, but you might see it if you had a trillion
raised to the power of a trillion worlds.
Just getting the stick to perfectly balance is a problem in itself.
There are inhomogeneities in the earth's gravitational field due to
density fluctuations in surrounding matter, not to mention density
inhomgeneities within the stick itself. Tiny inhomogeneities indeed but
orders of magnitude greater than any quantum fluctuations. Then there
is the problem of the stick getting struck billions of times every
second by molecules of the atmosphere. Then there are the corliolis
forces due to the earth's rotation. Finally, how long would the stick
have to stay balanced in order to experience the quantum fluctuation
before it was struck by one of the other other falling sticks? All
these effects are macroscopic and repeatable, and would have to be
negated before a quantum fluctuation could affect the way the stick falls.
Forget about it.
--dkomo at (no spam) cris.com |
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