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Dawlish...

Posted: Thu May 22, 2008 8:16 am

Guest

On May 22, 6:11 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

Quote:

On May 19, 6:41 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

On May 19, 7:50 am, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

In the North Atlantic the set up has clarified with a Low of some 993
about 20 west of the UK.

Over North America there is a variation of some 8 millibars all told,
with pressures given as low but they are 1008 to 1016 except for a Low
of 993 (again) over Labrador and Newfoundland.

That's a situation that is begging for super-cells is it not?
I can't get an update on the North Atlantic nor the Pacific on this
site yet:>https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/efs.html

But going from yesterday's criteria, there is definitely something
pending. I have no idea what though.

For what it's worth I have a crick in my neck or right shoulder.

5.1 05/19 14:49 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.9 05/19 14:26 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA

That's it for Halong.

03:47

12th to 20th Mayhttp://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phase2001gmt.html

On May 14, 9:28 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

Prezzie for you:

There is an high leaving the United States at the moment over the
Carolinas/Florida:

http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html

This will produce a 6.5 I think at the Andrianof Islands chain
somewhere on this arc:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Maps/10/180_50.php

6 to 6.5 M. probably. And it will occur at something like 90 degrees
from where it hits the steep slope I believe. I don't know if rat
Island is more likely in that case but it's going to be in that area.

Logically you might suspect that the reaction to these things is a
mirror effect in the largest bits. And ths may be seismic in nature?
Why not.

There is certainly that coincident I pointed out elsewhere about the
lapse rate in the appearance of mag 5 and greater quakes being related
to strong winds.

There seems to be something going on along those lines at the moment
with Halong.

I don't claim to know how or why, yet.

6.3 2008/05/20 13:54 Rat Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.
This was 6 days after I posted the original warning. And the day that
the spell ended.

No explanation or exculpation. I am not here for anyone's edification
or education but my own -though both can be had as a gift, depending
on the humility of the reader.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

It's a shame

Dawlish...

Posted: Thu May 22, 2008 8:31 am

Guest

On May 22, 7:16 pm, Dawlish <pjg... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

Quote:

On May 22, 6:11 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

On May 19, 6:41 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

On May 19, 7:50 am, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

In the North Atlantic the set up has clarified with a Low of some 993
about 20 west of the UK.

Over North America there is a variation of some 8 millibars all told,
with pressures given as low but they are 1008 to 1016 except for a Low
of 993 (again) over Labrador and Newfoundland.

That's a situation that is begging for super-cells is it not?
I can't get an update on the North Atlantic nor the Pacific on this
site yet:>https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/efs.html

But going from yesterday's criteria, there is definitely something
pending. I have no idea what though.

For what it's worth I have a crick in my neck or right shoulder.

5.1 05/19 14:49 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.9 05/19 14:26 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA

That's it for Halong.

03:47

12th to 20th Mayhttp://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phase2001gmt.html

On May 14, 9:28 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

Prezzie for you:

There is an high leaving the United States at the moment over the
Carolinas/Florida:

http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html

This will produce a 6.5 I think at the Andrianof Islands chain
somewhere on this arc:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Maps/10/180_50.php

6 to 6.5 M. probably. And it will occur at something like 90 degrees
from where it hits the steep slope I believe. I don't know if rat
Island is more likely in that case but it's going to be in that area.

Logically you might suspect that the reaction to these things is a
mirror effect in the largest bits. And ths may be seismic in nature?
Why not.

There is certainly that coincident I pointed out elsewhere about the
lapse rate in the appearance of mag 5 and greater quakes being related
to strong winds.

There seems to be something going on along those lines at the moment
with Halong.

I don't claim to know how or why, yet.

6.3 2008/05/20 13:54 Rat Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.
This was 6 days after I posted the original warning. And the day that
the spell ended.

No explanation or exculpation. I am not here for anyone's edification
or education but my own -though both can be had as a gift, depending
on the humility of the reader.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

It's a shame- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

........you did not specify the "day that the spell ended" when you
actually posted this. You subsequently said that you had given up on
this event and said you were going "back to the drawing board", but
with generosity, I gave you a week for your prediction to verify,
thus: well done! The first of your prognostications to achieve outcome
in the last month.

1 out of 4, 25%.

I was generous in the timescale, and I did say at the time that a
6-6.5 earthquake occurring in this area, over the timescale of a week,
could not, on its own be easily separated from chance.

This particular reader, when reading your posts shows a sight more
humility than you, but is prepared to monitor what you do and will do
whether you like it, or not. I will be fair, but, crucially, I will be
judgemental and I will compare what you are doing to the possibility
of what you say occurring by chance. I would also like you, yourself,
to point out when your forecasts are incorrect and not just when you
feel you have had a success - like now. That certainly hasn't happened
over the last month and I hope you will rectify that, or you mustn't
expect to be taken seriuosly. However, having said that, I will take
you seriously, if you demonstrate success in your forecasting, which
can easily be interpreted as being greater than could be achieved by
guesswork (chance). I note you have been saying things in another
group, but I will do my monitoring on here, as I just can't be
bothered to go chasing your forecasts. If you don't post your
forecasts on here, fair enough, after this kind of success rate, many
would associate you with the crackpot fringe and, as such, you
forecasts and posts wouldn't be missed by most.

Dave R....

Posted: Thu May 22, 2008 1:57 pm

Guest

Wow The geezer is back! with more incredible artifacts worthy of the dustbin
but its amazing how funny these snippets can be

1. In the North Atlantic the set up has clarified with a Low.
2. For what it's worth I have a crick in my neck or right shoulder
3. That's it for Halong
4. Logically you might suspect that the reaction to these things is a
mirror effect in the largest bits
5. I am not here for anyone's edification or education but my own -though
both can be had as a gift

My gift would be a bloody great sledgehammer - collect it from Rat Island
ROFL
Dave R.

"Weatherlawyer" <Weatherlawyer at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:57b05000-757d-4656-a274-eb0517666a14 at (no spam) a1g2000hsb.googlegroups.com...

Quote:

On May 19, 6:41 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:
On May 19, 7:50 am, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

In the North Atlantic the set up has clarified with a Low of some 993
about 20 west of the UK.

Over North America there is a variation of some 8 millibars all told,
with pressures given as low but they are 1008 to 1016 except for a Low
of 993 (again) over Labrador and Newfoundland.

That's a situation that is begging for super-cells is it not?
I can't get an update on the North Atlantic nor the Pacific on this
site yet:>https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/efs.html

But going from yesterday's criteria, there is definitely something
pending. I have no idea what though.

For what it's worth I have a crick in my neck or right shoulder.

5.1 05/19 14:49 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.9 05/19 14:26 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA

That's it for Halong.

03:47

12th to 20th May
http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phase2001gmt.html

On May 14, 9:28 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:
Prezzie for you:

There is an high leaving the United States at the moment over the
Carolinas/Florida:

http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html

This will produce a 6.5 I think at the Andrianof Islands chain
somewhere on this arc:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Maps/10/180_50.php

6 to 6.5 M. probably. And it will occur at something like 90 degrees
from where it hits the steep slope I believe. I don't know if rat
Island is more likely in that case but it's going to be in that area.

Logically you might suspect that the reaction to these things is a
mirror effect in the largest bits. And ths may be seismic in nature?
Why not.

There is certainly that coincident I pointed out elsewhere about the
lapse rate in the appearance of mag 5 and greater quakes being related
to strong winds.

There seems to be something going on along those lines at the moment
with Halong.

I don't claim to know how or why, yet.

6.3 2008/05/20 13:54 Rat Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.
This was 6 days after I posted the original warning. And the day that
the spell ended.

No explanation or exculpation. I am not here for anyone's edification
or education but my own -though both can be had as a gift, depending
on the humility of the reader.

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