http://groups.google.com/group/sci.geo.earthquakes/browse_frm/thread/836c8d7555429109/845d79a372a54a47?lnk=gst&q=12%3A#845d79a372a54a47

When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/F7930EFB-6587-476A-BFB8-2765B0...

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/,.gif,br...

5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.geo.earthquakes/browse_frm/thread/...

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while,  perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:





When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/F7930EFB-6587-476A-BFB8-2765B0....

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.talk.weather/browse_frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.geo.earthquakes/browse_frm/thread/...

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:



When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/F7930EFB-6587-476A-BFB8-2765B0...

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.talk.weather/browse_frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.

12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes too.

12th April; 18:32. Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.talk.weather/browse_frm/month/2008-04
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.talk.weather/browse_frm/thread/9fff6168985d319c/7b1ca6d07d079602?lnk=gst&q=18%3A32#

5th May; 12:18. And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April.
And here we are already.

On May 5, 10:00 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:





5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.geo.earthquakes/browse_frm/thread/....

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while,  perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:

When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/F7930EFB-6587-476A-BFB8-2765B0....

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.talk.weather/browse_frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.

12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes
too. I forgot to mention that but then it is already written in the
annals of the great Weatherlawyer and further discourse is mere
repetition to my fans and other followers.

Here is an extract that might be worth watching for:

7       Mar     17:14   This and the one following are the same spell except by
half an our. Quarter each side of the hour. Unstable and tending
toward anticyclonic
14      Mar     10:46   5 and 11 of the clock. And all's well unless there is a
super-cyclone. Who can say?

21      Mar     18:40   Another unstable spell and this one tending to wet.
(Seven o'clock.)

29      Mar     21:47   10 o'clock. An awkward bugger.
6       Apr     03:55   4 o'clock and the same as the previous one. (Whatever that
might be.)

12      Apr     18:32    Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.

20      Apr     10:25   And a repeat to within 40 minutes of the spell for the
29th March. How close that is I can not say.

28      Apr     14*:12  This one is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.

5       May     12:18   And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April. And here
we are already.

12      May     03:47   This is one similar to the spell for 6th April.

20      May     02*:11  This one too is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.
28      May     02*:57  And this one more likely a thundery spell, though not
that dissimilar to the preceding.

And now we begin the Atlantic hurricane season.

3       Jun     19:23   This should install one. Quite a corker of a spell for it
too.

10      Jun     15:04   Whilst this is an anticyclonic as is the following one.
18      Jun     17:30   So no hurricanes here unless...

26      Jun     12:10   Hurricane maybe. Not too bad a one though.
3       Jul     02*:19  Maybe this one too. Except for that proclivity for
Anticyclones on the US east coast.
10      Jul     04:35

18      Jul     07:59   I think this will be an hurricane spell but perhaps not
for the North Atlantic.
25      Jul     18:42   This one is though.

1       Aug     10:13   This one is one for the North pacific I imagine.
8       Aug     20*:20  I should be able to tell by this date just exactly what
to expect from these. So that will be something.

16      Aug     21:16   Thundery if a little too unstable for most tastes.

23      Aug     23:50   As for the 26th June.

30      Aug     19:58   And here is an 8 o'clock one. This should have had an
asterisk.
7       Sept    14*:04  After all this one did!

15      Sept    09:13   More sound of the fury signifying nothing?

22      Sept    05:04   And a summer break. Cold and sunny? In September?

29      Sept    08*:12  There are a ot of these about this year, are there not?

7       Oct     09:04   And more than a smattering of thunder spells too.

14      Oct     20*:03  Is this the last one of the season?
21      Oct     11:55 and       28th Oct        23:14   Or these two.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

5.3 M. 2008/05>>/05 >21:58. SOUTHERN IRAN

On May 5, 6:37 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

I was actually looking there and didn't see it..
What it was is that something was updating each time I looked so I

5.1 M. 2008/05/05. 00:27. Near the east coast of Honshu, Japan.
5.8 M. 2008/05/03. 19:02. Bougainville region, PNG.

Show us, with clarity that you have ever predicted anything

5.3 M. 2008/05>>/05 >21:58. SOUTHERN IRAN

Back on topic.

The 7.5 Earthquake that you proposed could happen in the next 2-3
days..... hasn't. Your prediction from 24th April was wrong. To even
achieve a continuing 50% accuracy will now require you to get the next
two predictions correct. I await them with interest.

On May 7, 8:46 am, Dawkish <pigsn... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:



Back on topic.

Quite right, let us put the past behind us and you can go and boil
your head while I think about editing my posts to make you look even
more bumptious than you are.

low gramur snipped.

Blast!
I was going to reply regardless but I have forgotten what you drooled
and can't be asked to look.

The 7.5 Earthquake that you proposed could happen in the next 2-3
days..... hasn't. Your prediction from 24th April was wrong. To even
achieve a continuing 50% accuracy will now require you to get the next
two predictions correct. I await them with interest.

But in Weather Law a Cat 4 hurricane can be regarded as a stand-in for
an earthquake of from 7.5 M to 7.8 or 9ish.
(Bearing in mind that not only is perturbation considered but the time
at high oscillation is taken into account. If the same was true for
hurricanes, the time interval would put it well into the teens.)

Other outcomes also to be considered are volcanic eruptions with a
large output of matter. Large cells of F 3 and 4 tornadoes covering
many counties even a number of states. Above cloud lightning and
lesser storms in higher latitudes.

Search and see (if you can find someone to show you how) the one thing
all the above have in common is that they occur at a region where the
surface pressure is near 1010 millibars. Usually between two or more
fairly flaccid weather systems.

Generally an hurricane force in the temperate climes is the equivalent
of a Cat 3 or 4 cyclone.

I will not be dictated to by you in the use of English.

Now look at this, you recalcitrant scion of a ne'er do well:

5.3 M.  2008/05/06. 23:28       -7.9    123.2   Banda Sea
5.3 M.  2008/05/06. 12:42       -20.4   168.8   Loyalty Islands
5.1 M.  2008/05/06. 10:06       -20.3   168.8   Loyalty Islands
5.3 M.  2008/05/05. 21:58       28.4    54.1    Southern Iran

If you take the matched pair out of this equation you get a lapse of
over 24 hours for the next pair:

06. 23:28       -7.9    123.2   Banda Sea
05. 21:58       28.4    54.1    Southern Iran

And a storm in the west (Asian) Pacific:http://www.hurricanezone.net/tcgraphics/wp0308.gif

No hurricane yet (it is classed as a gale on the Beaufort Scale) it
will grow more powerful or the earthquake I said would arrive some
days ago is at last going to avail itself for our edification.

One more axiom for Clueless:

When the classical methods of weather-forecasting show error or
uncertainty and there is something of the same ilk with my efforts
too, then the likelihood (the North Atlantic having a positive NAO
(according to my way of classifying said anomaly (not that I think it
is anomalous, in the true meaning of the word))) is that an earthquake
of Mag 7 or larger is due.

This one is SOOOO due....

You have much to learn and I have much to teach, so go and wipe your
bottom, clean it and report back so I can give your arse another
kicking. Sodue.

On May 7, 3:01 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:



On May 7, 8:46 am, Dawkish <pigsn... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

Back on topic.

Quite right, let us put the past behind us and you can go and boil
your head while I think about editing my posts to make you look even
more bumptious than you are.

low gramur snipped.

Blast!
I was going to reply regardless but I have forgotten what you drooled
and can't be asked to look.

The 7.5 Earthquake that you proposed could happen in the next 2-3
days..... hasn't. Your prediction from 24th April was wrong. To even
achieve a continuing 50% accuracy will now require you to get the next
two predictions correct. I await them with interest.

But in Weather Law a Cat 4 hurricane can be regarded as a stand-in for
an earthquake of from 7.5 M to 7.8 or 9ish.
(Bearing in mind that not only is perturbation considered but the time
at high oscillation is taken into account. If the same was true for
hurricanes, the time interval would put it well into the teens.)

Other outcomes also to be considered are volcanic eruptions with a
large output of matter. Large cells of F 3 and 4 tornadoes covering
many counties even a number of states. Above cloud lightning and
lesser storms in higher latitudes.

Search and see (if you can find someone to show you how) the one thing
all the above have in common is that they occur at a region where the
surface pressure is near 1010 millibars. Usually between two or more
fairly flaccid weather systems.

Generally an hurricane force in the temperate climes is the equivalent
of a Cat 3 or 4 cyclone.

I will not be dictated to by you in the use of English.

Now look at this, you recalcitrant scion of a ne'er do well:

5.3 M. 2008/05/06. 23:28 -7.9 123.2 Banda Sea
5.3 M. 2008/05/06. 12:42 -20.4 168.8 Loyalty Islands
5.1 M. 2008/05/06. 10:06 -20.3 168.8 Loyalty Islands
5.3 M. 2008/05/05. 21:58 28.4 54.1 Southern Iran

If you take the matched pair out of this equation you get a lapse of
over 24 hours for the next pair:

06. 23:28 -7.9 123.2 Banda Sea
05. 21:58 28.4 54.1 Southern Iran

And a storm in the west (Asian) Pacific:http://www.hurricanezone.net/tcgraphics/wp0308.gif

No hurricane yet (it is classed as a gale on the Beaufort Scale) it
will grow more powerful or the earthquake I said would arrive some
days ago is at last going to avail itself for our edification.

One more axiom for Clueless:

When the classical methods of weather-forecasting show error or
uncertainty and there is something of the same ilk with my efforts
too, then the likelihood (the North Atlantic having a positive NAO
(according to my way of classifying said anomaly (not that I think it
is anomalous, in the true meaning of the word))) is that an earthquake
of Mag 7 or larger is due.

This one is SOOOO due....

You have much to learn and I have much to teach, so go and wipe your
bottom, clean it and report back so I can give your arse another
kicking. Sodue.

Show me the evidence of forecast success.......or go away. Mind you,
your abuse is funny! *>))

Without that evidence. You are a charlatan; no more.

An earthquake of Mag 7, or larger, as has already been explained to
you, by two of us, will occur, on average, every few weeks. You just
completely failed to predict the last one. You'll predict this one,
but so will I.

There will be a Mag 7 earthquake, or larger, somewhere in the world in
the next month. 4/6 your odds. Any takers?

This spell will continue until that large earthquake occurs, unless
there is more than one due -in which case (against the odds) they will
occur within a few days of each other.

Care to give me odds on that? Or if you want to chance ytour pocket
money for the month put a fiver on it, sonny.

http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/,.gif,bracknell+00,bracknell+24,bracknell+36,bracknell+48,bracknell+60,bracknell+72,bracknell+84,bracknell+96,bracknell+108,bracknell+120,bracknell+132

http://www.weather.gov/largemap.php (Kansas and Missouri.)

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.geo.earthquakes/tree/browse_frm/thread/5c049ce57dd48f39/5125725d658b076e?rnum=1&q=weatherlawyer+high+arctic&_done=%2Fgroup%2Fsci.geo.earthquakes%2Fbrowse_frm%2Fthread%2F5c049ce57dd48f39%2F61f97620bf95f91f%3Flnk%3Dgst%26q%3Dweatherlawyer%2Bhigh%2Barctic%26#doc_374a30c804f96ca3

On May 7, 3:10 pm, Dawlish <pjg... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:





On May 7, 3:01 pm, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

On May 7, 8:46 am, Dawkish <pigsn... at (no spam) hotmail.com> wrote:

Back on topic.

Quite right, let us put the past behind us and you can go and boil
your head while I think about editing my posts to make you look even
more bumptious than you are.

low gramur snipped.

Blast!
I was going to reply regardless but I have forgotten what you drooled
and can't be asked to look.

The 7.5 Earthquake that you proposed could happen in the next 2-3
days..... hasn't. Your prediction from 24th April was wrong. To even
achieve a continuing 50% accuracy will now require you to get the next
two predictions correct. I await them with interest.

But in Weather Law a Cat 4 hurricane can be regarded as a stand-in for
an earthquake of from 7.5 M to 7.8 or 9ish.
(Bearing in mind that not only is perturbation considered but the time
at high oscillation is taken into account. If the same was true for
hurricanes, the time interval would put it well into the teens.)

Other outcomes also to be considered are volcanic eruptions with a
large output of matter. Large cells of F 3 and 4 tornadoes covering
many counties even a number of states. Above cloud lightning and
lesser storms in higher latitudes.

Search and see (if you can find someone to show you how) the one thing
all the above have in common is that they occur at a region where the
surface pressure is near 1010 millibars. Usually between two or more
fairly flaccid weather systems.

Generally an hurricane force in the temperate climes is the equivalent
of a Cat 3 or 4 cyclone.

I will not be dictated to by you in the use of English.

Now look at this, you recalcitrant scion of a ne'er do well:

5.3 M.  2008/05/06. 23:28       -7.9    123.2   Banda Sea
5.3 M.  2008/05/06. 12:42       -20.4   168.8   Loyalty Islands
5.1 M.  2008/05/06. 10:06       -20.3   168.8   Loyalty Islands
5.3 M.  2008/05/05. 21:58       28.4    54.1    Southern Iran

If you take the matched pair out of this equation you get a lapse of
over 24 hours for the next pair:

06. 23:28       -7.9    123.2   Banda Sea
05. 21:58       28.4    54.1    Southern Iran

And a storm in the west (Asian) Pacific:http://www.hurricanezone.net/tcgraphics/wp0308.gif

No hurricane yet (it is classed as a gale on the Beaufort Scale) it
will grow more powerful or the earthquake I said would arrive some
days ago is at last going to avail itself for our edification.

One more axiom for Clueless:

When the classical methods of weather-forecasting show error or
uncertainty and there is something of the same ilk with my efforts
too, then the likelihood (the North Atlantic having a positive NAO
(according to my way of classifying said anomaly (not that I think it
is anomalous, in the true meaning of the word))) is that an earthquake
of Mag 7 or larger is due.

This one is SOOOO due....

You have much to learn and I have much to teach, so go and wipe your
bottom, clean it and report back so I can give your arse another
kicking. Sodue.

Show me the evidence of forecast success.......or go away. Mind you,
your abuse is funny! *>))

Without that evidence. You are a charlatan; no more.

An earthquake of Mag 7, or larger, as has already been explained to
you, by two of us, will occur, on average, every few weeks. You just
completely failed to predict the last one. You'll predict this one,
but so will I.

There will be a Mag 7 earthquake, or larger, somewhere in the world in
the next month. 4/6 your odds. Any takers?

This spell will continue until that large earthquake occurs, unless
there is more than one due -in which case (against the odds) they will
occur within a few days of each other.

Care to give me odds on that? Or if you want to chance ytour pocket
money for the month put a fiver on it, sonny.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -