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Science Forum Index » Space - History Forum » Soyuz TMA-11 Comes Home, More or Less...
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| Rand Simberg |
Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 9:43 pm |
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On Fri, 25 Apr 2008 19:36:21 -0500, in a place far, far away, Pat
Flannery <flanner@daktel.com> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in
such a way as to indicate that:
Quote:
Derek Lyons wrote:
Which, in my book, makes the person who thinks that's a condemnation
of the Shuttle... an idiot. Because that was the goal of the Shuttle
from Day One, to work with a space station.
No, no, no... Shuttle was designed to lower the per-pound cost of
getting things and people into LEO for NASA, commercial interests, and
the DOD.
No, it wasn't.
That was the ostensible program goal, but it wasn't actually
*designed* that way.
Please try to keep up. |
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| Derek Lyons |
Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 10:20 pm |
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Pat Flannery <flanner@daktel.com> wrote:
Quote:
Derek Lyons wrote:
Which, in my book, makes the person who thinks that's a condemnation
of the Shuttle... an idiot. Because that was the goal of the Shuttle
from Day One, to work with a space station.
No, no, no... Shuttle was designed to lower the per-pound cost of
getting things and people into LEO for NASA, commercial interests, and
the DOD.
No, that was Day Two.
D.
--
Touch-twice life. Eat. Drink. Laugh.
http://derekl1963.livejournal.com/
-Resolved: To be more temperate in my postings.
Oct 5th, 2004 JDL |
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| Pat Flannery |
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 12:24 am |
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David Lesher wrote:
Quote: Of course, the Soviet Mir gave the Reagan administration to perfect
opportunity to shovel yet more money at the aerospace industry...so that
Socialism's Shining Star wouldn't scare our children as they looked up
at the night sky and realized Commies were up their giving them the
finger and just waiting to bury them. :-)
I worked at LeRC in that era, and that was my impression as well.
Using all the funds set toward building the new space station in
multiple redesigns of it was a "unique" approach to a new manned space
program, to say the least.
What's that work out to in regards to dollars versus artist's concepts,
anyway?
Around a million dollars per crack?
Hell, NASA must have had Michelangelo's ghost working for them. :-D
Pat |
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| Monte Davis |
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 7:21 am |
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fairwater@gmail.com (Derek Lyons) wrote:
Quote: Which, in my book, makes the person who thinks that's a condemnation
of the Shuttle... an idiot. Because that was the goal of the Shuttle
from Day One, to work with a space station.
The seemingly neat circularity emerged after the fact. With cheaper
and more frequent access, the station could have been built soon and
cheap enough, equipped and staffed adequately, to actually *do* the
kinds of research originally promised.
But with the successive delays and downscoping, that has never been
possible. Unfortunately, that has discredited the whole premise and we
get the "all we do is go around in circles in LEO" mindset, and a
vague sense that "they tried all that free-fall science and nothing
panned out" -- when in fact, all but a few token bits of science have
been squeezed out by the demands of just getting it "complete" before
the oldest parts reached the end of safe service life.
(NB: I'm not claiming the most hyped promises -- the giant protein
crystals, perfect ball bearings, breakthroughs in undersatnding
free-fall physiology etc -- would have paid off; I'm saying there's
never been a chance of finding out with the very limited equipment and
even more limited time available for them).
It's as if I'd tried to build a house on a mountaintop using a
Lamborghini to carry materials and workmen. Surprisingly, the house
ends up a lot more expensive, less spacious and well-equipped than I'd
hoped... and I conclude "well, that proves a house on a moiuntaintop
is a dumb idea."
Monte Davis
http://montedavis.livejournal.com/ |
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| Jeff Findley |
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 9:48 am |
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"Pat Flannery" <flanner@daktel.com> wrote in message
news:t8OdnZRp47XB4Y_VnZ2dnUVZ_qCunZ2d@northdakotatelephone...
Quote:
Pat Flannery wrote:
Oh, I remember those days.
And speaking of those days, very rosy economic predictions for the
Shuttle, from NASA's history office itself itself:
http://history.nasa.gov/SP-4221/ch6.htm
Those rosy predictions were used to *sell* shuttle to the politicians. It
wasn't actually *designed* to meet those cost goals. In fact, during the
design process, decisions were often made that traded lower development
costs for higher operational costs. Ease of maintenance was clearly not a
primary goal of the design. These design trades did, however, help insure
that the shuttle's development costs were kept close to the initial
predictions. Unfortunately, those decisions also meant that the system is a
real p.i.t.a. to fly and maintain.
Unfortunately, the system, as designed, takes *a lot* of man-hours of work
to turn it around. The TPS and SSME's were really problematic in the
beginning. The toxic OMS, RCS, and APU propellants impact the workflow due
to the need to be wearing environmental suits when working on those systems
(you can't just "gas and go" on the pad). The SRB's are so hard to
refurbish that it's hard to justify refurbishment on cost alone
(refurbishment actually gives you a chance to inspect the things, so it's
justifiable on safety grounds). That and there are lots of safety rules to
follow when stacking SRB's in the VAB. Liquid boosters that are fueled on
the pad would have been easier to deal with from a workflow point of view,
but would have cost a lot more to develop.
Electronics boxes on the orbiter are hard to change out, since things ended
up pretty crammed in areas like the engine compartment, behind storage areas
in the mid-deck, and under the mid-deck floor. Work-flows have to be
carefully planned because so many people need access to the inside of the
shuttle to do so many different jobs.
Payloads ended up to be work intensive to change out. Lots of power, data,
O2, N2, cooling, and etc. connections to demate, mate, and test. The
airlock turned out to be hard to move from internal to external and back, so
that wasn't done often. And so forth and so on.
All of the "little things" you have to insert into the workflow really add
up from the program's point of view.
Jeff
--
A clever person solves a problem.
A wise person avoids it. -- Einstein |
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| Pat Flannery |
Posted: Sun Apr 27, 2008 3:22 am |
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Monte Davis wrote:
Quote: (NB: I'm not claiming the most hyped promises -- the giant protein
crystals, perfect ball bearings, breakthroughs in undersatnding
free-fall physiology etc -- would have paid off; I'm saying there's
never been a chance of finding out with the very limited equipment and
even more limited time available for them).
Don't forget curing AIDS; I once heard a NASA agitprop ISS claim it
could maybe do that also.
Then there were the perfect crystals and ball bearings, and bizarre new
metal alloys impossible to make on Earth.
Not that they are going to be made in usable quantities up on the ISS.
Quote: It's as if I'd tried to build a house on a mountaintop using a
Lamborghini to carry materials and workmen. Surprisingly, the house
ends up a lot more expensive, less spacious and well-equipped than I'd
hoped... and I conclude "well, that proves a house on a moiuntaintop
is a dumb idea."
During a lightning storm it probably is.
You might also want to consider the amount of fuel you are going to us
getting up to that mountain top after going to buy groceries, and what's
going to happen if your brakes fail on the way down from it someday. ;-)
Pat |
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| Pat Flannery |
Posted: Sun Apr 27, 2008 3:29 am |
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Jeff Findley wrote:
Quote: Unfortunately, those decisions also meant that the system is a
real p.i.t.a. to fly and maintain.
Unfortunately, the system, as designed, takes *a lot* of man-hours of work
to turn it around. The TPS and SSME's were really problematic in the
beginning. The toxic OMS, RCS, and APU propellants impact the workflow due
to the need to be wearing environmental suits when working on those systems
(you can't just "gas and go" on the pad).
The original Faget two-component reusable design would have been hell to
turn around also.
In that case you would have had all the complexities of inspecting the
orbiter after every flight, plus the added burden of checking out the
big winged booster stage and its TPS after every flight also.
Pat |
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| spazhoward |
Posted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 5:43 pm |
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Quote: The original Faget two-component reusable design would have been hell to
turn around also.
In that case you would have had all the complexities of inspecting the
orbiter after every flight, plus the added burden of checking out the
big winged booster stage and its TPS after every flight also.
Pat
Somewhere, I still have a copy of "My Weekly Reader" from around 1971
or '72. The cover story was about the design competition for the
future space shuttle, and featured illustrations of 3 different
concepts; all of them huge, and all of them needlessly complex. All
these years later, and I still have the same question that I had in
the 6th grade...
"What happened to project Dyna-Soar?"
Small, reusable lifting bodies mounted on top of Titan-variant
boosters fueled by hypergolic propellants. Get in the truck, push the
START button and "Blast Off!" (well, no, not quite, but a lot closer
than anything we've got now). Leave all of the heavy lifting to the
big, dumb, disposable boosters, that's what they were designed for.
But in order to procure funding, everything was promised to everybody
and we wound up with the beautiful, exquisite mess that is the STS;
not quite the right machine for any mission. And although it sounds
harsh, from an operational standpoint perhaps the worst part is that
no one involved with the STS project seemed to have ever watched any
'50's TV Sci-Fi. If the Space Rangers lost a ship, it was certainly a
tragedy; but there were still 20 (or 50, or 100) more ships in the
fleet. By designing a shuttle large enough to carry IUS boosters into
orbit (oh, and a few passengers, too), we wound up with only a handful
of extremely expensive vehicles, the loss of one of which constituted
1/4 OF THE FLEET in addition to the loss of the crew.
When the X-38 project came along, I thought perhaps some degree of
sanity had prevailed. No such luck. That project apparently made too
much sense, so obviously it had to be cancelled (after all of the
development money was spent, of course). I think maybe you're right,
Pat, the real purpose is just to spend money. After all, they managed
to "downsize" the space station until the redesigns cost more than
building the original concept would have, right? |
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| Pat Flannery |
Posted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 11:35 pm |
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spazhoward wrote:
Quote: Somewhere, I still have a copy of "My Weekly Reader" from around 1971
or '72. The cover story was about the design competition for the
future space shuttle, and featured illustrations of 3 different
concepts; all of them huge, and all of them needlessly complex. All
these years later, and I still have the same question that I had in
the 6th grade...
"What happened to project Dyna-Soar?"
Small, reusable lifting bodies mounted on top of Titan-variant
boosters fueled by hypergolic propellants. Get in the truck, push the
START button and "Blast Off!" (well, no, not quite, but a lot closer
than anything we've got now). Leave all of the heavy lifting to the
big, dumb, disposable boosters, that's what they were designed for.
Small spaceplanes are hard to design, as they always end up being
heavier than you thought they would be.
That means they suffer higher G loads and heating during reentry...which
means more heat-shielding...which means more weight... which means
higher reentry temperatures...which means more heat-shielding...
I wrote a posting about this a few years back:
...."here is the basic problem- any manned
aerodynamic vehicle needs certain systems; for on orbit work it needs: Life
support for it's crew, a means to maneuver itself, a means of radiating the
heat created by it's crew and electronics, and sufficient space to carry a
worthwhile mission payload (cargo, passengers, recon gear, death ray, etc.)
Add to this, for landing: landing gear of some sort, heat shielding,
aerodynamic control surfaces, fuel to decelerate from orbit, and avionics
capable of both orbital and atmospheric control.
Right from square one, it's obvious that is quite a bit to pack into a small
vehicle- but it gets worse- the avionics for a thirty foot long shuttle will
be about the same weight as a 130 foot long one...same with life support,
control panel, seats, suits, and crew. Propellant storage tanks will be
about the same thickness. Reaction control systems may be smaller, but will
need all of the valves and pumping systems associated with a large system,
and plumbing of equal tubing thickness to a large system. The amount of
insulation to protect it during re-entry stays the same thickness and weight
per square foot- and you have a lot fewer square feet to give you lift, so
the mass of it goes up proportionately to that of the vehicle-the same
applies to the skinning, and structural members of the machine. Then you hit
the next thorny problem- heat dissipation- the material that keeps the heat
out during re-entry tends to keep it in on-orbit; you need big radiators of
some sort to make this work. We (the U.S.) thought this wouldn't be too
difficult when we designed Dyna-Soar, and watched the weight steadily climb
to where a Gemini capable on-orbit vehicle with a single man crew was going
to need a Titan III or Saturn I to make orbit, all for the sake of greater
cross-range on landing, and gliding in horizontally, the way that God, and
the U.S. Air Force intended spacemen to land!
With true Gallic pride, the French tried the same idea twenty-odd years
later with "Hermes"- and hit the same weight snag, as the vehicle got more
and more complex, to the point where the payload had to be put into a
jettisonable mission module on the back end along with the retrorocket and
other vehicle systems- as it's original payload bay had to be given over to
radiators. The Soviets took a crack at the problem with "Spiral"... and ran
into the same weight-to-mission capability problem.
We tried it again with the HL-20... this time it was going to take a Titan
IV to get it into orbit! And all for some increased cross range on landing-
you will notice that the semi-canceled ISS escape vehicle looks like a
lifting body, re-enters like a lifting body, but floats down to earth under
a parachute- which might make one ask... why not a ballistic capsule? The
argument is "Greater Cross Range For Landing"- but a ballistic capsule could
simply stay in orbit for a turn or two, until a suitable emergency landing
site fell under it's orbital track."
Quote: But in order to procure funding, everything was promised to everybody
and we wound up with the beautiful, exquisite mess that is the STS;
not quite the right machine for any mission. And although it sounds
harsh, from an operational standpoint perhaps the worst part is that
no one involved with the STS project seemed to have ever watched any
'50's TV Sci-Fi. If the Space Rangers lost a ship, it was certainly a
tragedy; but there were still 20 (or 50, or 100) more ships in the
fleet. By designing a shuttle large enough to carry IUS boosters into
orbit (oh, and a few passengers, too), we wound up with only a handful
of extremely expensive vehicles, the loss of one of which constituted
1/4 OF THE FLEET in addition to the loss of the crew.
When the X-38 project came along, I thought perhaps some degree of
sanity had prevailed. No such luck. That project apparently made too
much sense, so obviously it had to be cancelled (after all of the
development money was spent, of course). I think maybe you're right,
Pat, the real purpose is just to spend money. After all, they managed
to "downsize" the space station until the redesigns cost more than
building the original concept would have, right?
Yeah, that's how it all ended up.
I've only seen one small spaceplane idea that really impressed me - and
that's the Soviet "Spiral", which is one of the most extraordinary
packaging jobs I've ever laid eyes on...including a escape capsule for
the pilot that separate and do a reentry all on its own. Sort of like a
Dyna-Soar with a Mercury capsule on the front:
http://www.buran.ru/htm/str126.htm
http://www.buran.ru/htm/spiral_5.htm#war
(love the video of it nuking the carrier task force.)
BTW - if Spiral looks a bit familiar:
http://www.cloudster.com/Sets&Vehicles/Doppleganger/DoveTop.htm
It would be fun to know what exactly SAINT II was supposed to have
inside it: http://www.astronautix.com/craft/saintii.htm
Pat |
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| DR SMITH |
Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 2:51 pm |
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The WEEKLY READER. I remember that issue. I think the cover of that issue
showed the shuttle with the pointy nose, that look more like a conventional
rocket but with wings. The SRBs looked like they came strait off a Titan
III. I have not seen that cover since I was 5, but it stuck in my mind. I
wish I had kept mine. |
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