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Author Message
Skywise
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2007 12:43 am
Guest
I quit updating my Earthquake Dart Board back in early March of this
year. The project lasted for just over 16 months with impressive
results.

Magnitude range: 4.00 - 10.00
Distance range: 0 - 1000 kilometers
Predictions: 5489 (total number of predictions made so far)
Prediction Hits: 3688 (number of predictions with at least one hit)
Total candidates: 18952 (total number of quakes within the magnitude
range)
Total hits: 17450 (number of candidate quakes within range of a
prediction)
Candidates missed: 1502 (number of candidate quakes missed)
Hit/Candidate Ratio: 92.075%
Hit/Prediction Ratio: 67.189% (predictions with hits vs total predictions)


To put it simply, 67% of my predictions successfully predicted
92% of the worlds earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or above.

http://www.skywise711.com/quakes/EQDB/index.html

Brian
--
http://www.skywise711.com - Lasers, Seismology, Astronomy, Skepticism
Seismic FAQ: http://www.skywise711.com/SeismicFAQ/SeismicFAQ.html
Quake "predictions": http://www.skywise711.com/quakes/EQDB/index.html
Sed quis custodiet ipsos Custodes?
George
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2007 7:18 am
Guest
"Skywise" <into@oblivion.nothing.com> wrote in message
news:13h8jrltcfqak34@corp.supernews.com...
Quote:
I quit updating my Earthquake Dart Board back in early March of this
year. The project lasted for just over 16 months with impressive
results.

Magnitude range: 4.00 - 10.00
Distance range: 0 - 1000 kilometers
Predictions: 5489 (total number of predictions made so far)
Prediction Hits: 3688 (number of predictions with at least one
hit)
Total candidates: 18952 (total number of quakes within the
magnitude
range)
Total hits: 17450 (number of candidate quakes within range of
a
prediction)
Candidates missed: 1502 (number of candidate quakes missed)
Hit/Candidate Ratio: 92.075%
Hit/Prediction Ratio: 67.189% (predictions with hits vs total
predictions)


To put it simply, 67% of my predictions successfully predicted
92% of the worlds earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or above.

http://www.skywise711.com/quakes/EQDB/index.html

Brian

I wonder how this compares to the weatherguy's predictions (as if I really
have to ask). :-)

George
Skywise
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2007 11:05 pm
Guest
"George" <george@yourservice.com> wrote in news:NZ1Ri.4311$K7.1008
@bignews2.bellsouth.net:

Quote:
I wonder how this compares to the weatherguy's predictions (as if I really
have to ask). Smile

He makes predictions?

Brian
--
http://www.skywise711.com - Lasers, Seismology, Astronomy, Skepticism
Seismic FAQ: http://www.skywise711.com/SeismicFAQ/SeismicFAQ.html
Quake "predictions": http://www.skywise711.com/quakes/EQDB/index.html
Sed quis custodiet ipsos Custodes?
George
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2007 11:43 pm
Guest
"Skywise" <into@oblivion.nothing.com> wrote in message
news:13hb2gq7b2o3ff7@corp.supernews.com...
Quote:
"George" <george@yourservice.com> wrote in news:NZ1Ri.4311$K7.1008
@bignews2.bellsouth.net:

I wonder how this compares to the weatherguy's predictions (as if I
really
have to ask). :-)

He makes predictions?

Brian

Yeah, he tacks the daily Scottish weather map to his wall and throws a
dart. Wherever it land, there will be an Earthquake in Madrid the next day
(or the day before, depending on how much stout he's had).

George
 
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