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Jim Webster
Posted: Sun Aug 17, 2003 11:49 pm
Guest
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061157097.983600@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Quote:
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:
funny that
tonnes of GM maize have been imported into Europe and no one has noticed
any
difference

perhaps these differences only occur when witnessed by people a long way
away?

Then to see how much discrimination there is does the beef market note any
difference between animals fed on maize silage vs grass silage?

In UK maize is more likely to be fed to beef animals as gluten than silage,
maize silage is more likely to be used for high yielding dairy cows where
any problems would be noticed pretty well instantly

Jim Webster
Jim Webster
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 12:00 am
Guest
<marcus@myrealbox.com> wrote in message
news:9i00kvgis1puo4vpp83rt2vgitfulokfhk@4ax.com...
Quote:

On Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:52:12 +0100, "Jim Webster"
Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

tonnes of GM maize have been imported into Europe and no one has noticed
any
difference

How many tonnes?

no one knows
Quote:

Why are US farmers complaining that they have lost $200-$300 million
per annum in corn exports to Europe because of GMOs?

Unlikely, because last year maize exports fell to the UK because of a crop
shortage, the price for maize gluten went up from about £85 per tonne to
over
£100 per tonne due to lack of availability.
There was a shortage of maize, which meant that for the first time in
history the UK managed to export feed wheat to the US.

In the long term, maize has been displaced by wheat in UK diets purely on
price, the last round of CAP reforms cut the market price of EU produced
feed wheat which made maize comparatively expensive for feed compounders
using 'least cost' formulations. When I was a kid cattle feed was basically
a mixture of maize and soya, which is something the UK industry hasn't been
able to afford for over thirty years. With the MTR it is probable that the
amount of grain grown in the EU will fall, and indeed there looks to be a 15
million tonne shortfall anyway due to drought. Mind you the MTR could
produce a collapse in beef production anyway, which could further reduce EU
imports of maize.
The importation of Maize gluten is dropping more due to the fact that it is
a dried 'wet milling product' and its use is becoming more popular in the US
as a wet product. It is more profitable to sell maize gluten wet within the
US than it is to dry it and ship it.

Jim Webster
Brian Sandle
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 1:04 am
Guest
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

Quote:
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061157097.983600@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:
funny that
tonnes of GM maize have been imported into Europe and no one has noticed
any
difference

perhaps these differences only occur when witnessed by people a long way
away?

Then to see how much discrimination there is does the beef market note any
difference between animals fed on maize silage vs grass silage?

In UK maize is more likely to be fed to beef animals as gluten than silage,
maize silage is more likely to be used for high yielding dairy cows where
any problems would be noticed pretty well instantly

Then how about milk differences between grass-silage and corn-silage fed
cows? Taste and keeping/nutritional qualities?
Jim Webster
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 2:56 am
Guest
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061190941.300504@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Quote:
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061157097.983600@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:
funny that
tonnes of GM maize have been imported into Europe and no one has
noticed
any
difference

perhaps these differences only occur when witnessed by people a long
way
away?

Then to see how much discrimination there is does the beef market note
any
difference between animals fed on maize silage vs grass silage?

In UK maize is more likely to be fed to beef animals as gluten than
silage,
maize silage is more likely to be used for high yielding dairy cows
where
any problems would be noticed pretty well instantly

Then how about milk differences between grass-silage and corn-silage fed
cows? Taste and keeping/nutritional qualities?

by the time milk has been pasturised, homogenised, standardised, you haven't
a cat in hells chance of telling.
Bigger difference between grass and silage, spring and winter than there is
between various winter feeds. Remember that the nutrition of a high
yielding dairy cow is a serious matter and carefully monitored.

Jim Webster
Brian Sandle
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 4:49 am
Guest
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

Quote:
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message

Then how about milk differences between grass-silage and corn-silage fed
cows? Taste and keeping/nutritional qualities?

by the time milk has been pasturised, homogenised, standardised, you haven't
a cat in hells chance of telling.
Bigger difference between grass and silage, spring and winter than there is
between various winter feeds. Remember that the nutrition of a high
yielding dairy cow is a serious matter and carefully monitored.


Linkname: Rapport-skabelon
URL: http://www.agrsci.dk/ark/ARK-arsberetning2002_uk.shtml
size: 213 lines

[...]
Over the last couple of years maize has become increasingly popular in
the Danish silage production at the expense of grass because of a
better profitability. Therefore studies have been initiated to
investigate what consequences it has on different quality parameters
of milk to feed dairy cows maize silage instead of grass silage.

Milk from cows in an experiment with two groups of cows fed maize and
grass silage, respectively, in a cross-over experimental design for 2
x 4 weeks was subsequently analysed for:
* fatty acid composition
* content of carotenoids
* content of vitamin E

Furthermore, we have analysed sensory characteristics in fresh and
stored milk from the cows fed maize and grass silage, respectively.

The results of these investigations show, that feeding with maize
silage reduces the amount of the polyunsaturated fatty acid linolenic
acid in the milk, and at the same time the content of vitamin E and
beta-carotene is reduced with approximately 50% and 62%, respectively,
compared to milk from cows fed grass silage. Both vitamin E and
beta-carotene are important antioxidants that preserve the freshness
of milk, and therefore it should be assumed that a great reduction of
these antioxidants will reduce the shelf-life of milk as well as other
dairy products considerably.

The sensory analyses of the milk showed a significant difference
between the taste of milk from cows fed maize silage compared with the
milk from cows fed grass silage. Thus, the sensory panel described the
milk from cows fed maize silage as creamy, sweet and tasting like corn
flakes, which are all perceived as positive descriptors, whereas the
panel used descriptors about the milk from cows fed grass silage that
usually associate with negative tastes.
[...]

And other studies give grass-silage-fed cows as giving milk higher in the
cancer-protective conjugated linolenic acid, and other matters.

I used to notice the varying tastes in milk when I used it (pasteurised).

A few years ago I noted that full cream non-homogenised bottled milk had
started to have its top milk turned to butter by the time it was
delivered. In earlier years it was possible to pour off the top milk.
Perhaps corn feeding was increasing here?

But my point is that if you don't notice any of those differences then
perhaps your perceptivity might not be trusted as to differences between
cows reactions to GM vs non-GM feed.
Jim Webster
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 5:40 am
Guest
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061204440.642576@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Quote:
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:


But my point is that if you don't notice any of those differences then
perhaps your perceptivity might not be trusted as to differences between
cows reactions to GM vs non-GM feed.

stop being silly

we are not talking about arbitary perceptions but people who are monitoring
high yielding dairy cows so closely that a 5% drop in yield against
predicition is a cause for major investigation. If GM feed had any effect at
all on milk yield as opposed to the conventional feed it would have been
spotted and its effects detailed

As it is all we get is someone in the mid west winding up a reporter telling
them that racoons will not eat it

Wow

Jim Webster
Brian Sandle
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 6:51 am
Guest
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

Quote:
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061204440.642576@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:


But my point is that if you don't notice any of those differences then
perhaps your perceptivity might not be trusted as to differences between
cows reactions to GM vs non-GM feed.

stop being silly

we are not talking about arbitary perceptions but people who are monitoring
high yielding dairy cows so closely that a 5% drop in yield against
predicition is a cause for major investigation.

Yield is one important thing, but some people will pay for qualities,
won't they? When the top milk is butter it can no longer be poured on the
pudding.

If GM feed had any effect at
Quote:
all on milk yield as opposed to the conventional feed it would have been
spotted and its effects detailed

Though I am thinking that large scale importation of maize may have
coincided with the time it became Bt, unwanted or unallowed (Starlink) for
human consumption. Were cows on a similar amount of maize before then? If
not there would be no accurate comparison. Has anything been done to it to
improve palatability?


Quote:
As it is all we get is someone in the mid west winding up a reporter telling
them that racoons will not eat it

So you ignore it and the other animals.

Quote:
Wow

Wow
Jim Webster
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 8:44 am
Guest
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061211761.344990@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Quote:
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061204440.642576@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:


But my point is that if you don't notice any of those differences then
perhaps your perceptivity might not be trusted as to differences
between
cows reactions to GM vs non-GM feed.

stop being silly

we are not talking about arbitary perceptions but people who are
monitoring
high yielding dairy cows so closely that a 5% drop in yield against
predicition is a cause for major investigation.

Yield is one important thing, but some people will pay for qualities,
won't they?

not s noticable proportion of the UK population

When the top milk is butter it can no longer be poured on the
Quote:
pudding.


BF, Protein and Lactose have been measured on a twice weekly basis (at
least) in UK milk for over 20 years. All these things are carefully
monitored

Quote:
If GM feed had any effect at
all on milk yield as opposed to the conventional feed it would have been
spotted and its effects detailed

Though I am thinking that large scale importation of maize may have
coincided with the time it became Bt, unwanted or unallowed (Starlink) for
human consumption.

look at Torstens post, there has been no sudden large importation of maize

Were cows on a similar amount of maize before then?

Yes

If
Quote:
not there would be no accurate comparison. Has anything been done to it to
improve palatability?

No

Quote:


As it is all we get is someone in the mid west winding up a reporter
telling
them that racoons will not eat it

So you ignore it and the other animals.

tales told to wind up a reporter as opposed to measurable facts, yes I
ignore the racoon story

Jim Webster
Brian Sandle
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 4:44 pm
Guest
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

Quote:
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061211761.344990@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061204440.642576@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:


But my point is that if you don't notice any of those differences then
perhaps your perceptivity might not be trusted as to differences
between
cows reactions to GM vs non-GM feed.

stop being silly

we are not talking about arbitary perceptions but people who are
monitoring
high yielding dairy cows so closely that a 5% drop in yield against
predicition is a cause for major investigation.

Yield is one important thing, but some people will pay for qualities,
won't they?

not s noticable proportion of the UK population

So many are trying to coach down the quest for organic quality.

Quote:
When the top milk is butter it can no longer be poured on the
pudding.


BF, Protein and Lactose have been measured on a twice weekly basis (at
least) in UK milk for over 20 years. All these things are carefully
monitored

Measured in quantity.

I used to think that the processing was causing the trouble - that the
milk would be being agitated more in processing so that the journey in the
delivery truck would finish the churning to butter of the top milk.
Now I am thinking of the different fatty acid composition of the BF
because of feed.

Quote:
If GM feed had any effect at
all on milk yield as opposed to the conventional feed it would have been
spotted and its effects detailed

Though I am thinking that large scale importation of maize may have
coincided with the time it became Bt, unwanted or unallowed (Starlink) for
human consumption.

look at Torstens post,

Which post? My server has not had overseas groups for a few days.

Quote:
there has been no sudden large importation of maize

Therefore it should be possible to check.

Again:

Linkname: GM Animal Feed
URL: http://www.btinternet.com/~clairejr/Animal/animal.html
size: 547 lines

Ohio farmer Leon Ridzon does not grow GMOs, but he deals with farmers
who do. He recounted local farmers' experience with Bt corn: "We first
had problems three years ago, when famers planted Bt corn and the cows
refused to eat it. The farmers had to camouflage it to get them to eat
it."

So waht sort of `camouflaging' was done and is it being done to maize
before export to britain?

Maybe these cows are just finicky? Ridzon says not - other animals
won't eat Bt grain either: "The Bt corn was left on the cob and stored
in an open bin. The rabbits would not touch it, the squirrels would
not touch it. The rats and mice didn't go near it. It killed all the
spiders in the bins."

Ridzon has become increasingly suspicious about the possible toxicity
of Bt corn. His testimony is the more remarkable for the fact that the
norm for most Ohio farmers is intensively grown and chemically treated
corn - which the animals apparently prefer to GM Bt corn.

Ridzon confirms Sprinkel's account of reduced weight gain in Bt
corn-fed cattle. He says farmers report that cattle need nine pounds
of Bt corn to make a one pound weight gain as compared with only six
of normal corn.

Then that must not be because they eat less.

Journalist Steven Sprinkel says that a major U.S. seed dealer told him
that there is evidence that earthworms are dying as a result of the
effects of Bt corn. Sprinkel comments, "This is not an activist
promoting the notion that GMO plants have unpredicated results. It's a
midwestern big seed dealer who would have more to gain by keeping
quiet, and much to lose if he got caught in a liability cross-fire. So
my assumption is that there is a big iceberg under these rumours and
chit-chat. Reasonable people are asking reasonable questions."

Waiting for science

These reports from farmers and seed dealers can easily be dismissed as
anecdotal evidence from which no conclusions can be drawn. But if we
wait for the scientists to catch up, it could be too late. Scientific
studies take years to do, and the majority are funded by industry or
governments greased with biotech dollars. Who is going to fund a study
which may find that a GM crop is toxic?

Quote:
Were cows on a similar amount of maize before then?

Yes

Sure?

Quote:
If
not there would be no accurate comparison. Has anything been done to it to
improve palatability?

No

Not before it was imported?

Quote:


As it is all we get is someone in the mid west winding up a reporter
telling
them that racoons will not eat it

So you ignore it and the other animals.

tales told to wind up a reporter as opposed to measurable facts, yes I
ignore the racoon story

And Ridzon?
Jim Webster
Posted: Mon Aug 18, 2003 11:56 pm
Guest
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061247291.561637@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Quote:
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:



Quote:
we are not talking about arbitary perceptions but people who are
monitoring
high yielding dairy cows so closely that a 5% drop in yield against
predicition is a cause for major investigation.

Yield is one important thing, but some people will pay for qualities,
won't they?

not s noticable proportion of the UK population

So many are trying to coach down the quest for organic quality.

I suggest you restrict yourself to talking about things you know about, the
price of organic milk has collapsed in the UK because of over production.
Organic is a very small niche market

Quote:

When the top milk is butter it can no longer be poured on the
pudding.


BF, Protein and Lactose have been measured on a twice weekly basis (at
least) in UK milk for over 20 years. All these things are carefully
monitored

Measured in quantity.

I used to think that the processing was causing the trouble - that the
milk would be being agitated more in processing so that the journey in the
delivery truck would finish the churning to butter of the top milk.
Now I am thinking of the different fatty acid composition of the BF
because of feed.
given the level of your knowledge your thoughts aren't exactly worth a lot.

The feed changes constantly over the year are various feedingstuffs change
in price on the world market. In NZ matters will be different again because
of the predominance of grass in the diet and therefore, as the feed quality
of grass can change on a daily basis depending on the weather or field,
there is little consistancy in feed

Quote:

If GM feed had any effect at
all on milk yield as opposed to the conventional feed it would have
been
spotted and its effects detailed

Though I am thinking that large scale importation of maize may have
coincided with the time it became Bt, unwanted or unallowed (Starlink)
for
human consumption.

look at Torstens post,

Which post? My server has not had overseas groups for a few days.


Well it managed to pick up mine!
Quote:

there has been no sudden large importation of maize

Therefore it should be possible to check.

The checks on results are constant, there is no sign of any effect

Quote:

Again:

Linkname: GM Animal Feed
URL: http://www.btinternet.com/~clairejr/Animal/animal.html
size: 547 lines

Ohio farmer Leon Ridzon does not grow GMOs, but he deals with farmers
who do. He recounted local farmers' experience with Bt corn: "We first
had problems three years ago, when famers planted Bt corn and the cows
refused to eat it. The farmers had to camouflage it to get them to eat
it."

So waht sort of `camouflaging' was done and is it being done to maize
before export to britain?

One guy recounted (or made up) a few tall tales which are not backed by any
evidence whatsoever

Quote:

Maybe these cows are just finicky? Ridzon says not - other animals
won't eat Bt grain either: "The Bt corn was left on the cob and stored
in an open bin. The rabbits would not touch it, the squirrels would
not touch it. The rats and mice didn't go near it. It killed all the
spiders in the bins."

One guy recounts a few tall tales
Quote:

Ridzon has become increasingly suspicious about the possible toxicity
of Bt corn. His testimony is the more remarkable for the fact that the
norm for most Ohio farmers is intensively grown and chemically treated
corn - which the animals apparently prefer to GM Bt corn.

Remarkable testimony but where is the actual evidence, where are the feeding
trials, where are the feed lots who are actively sourcing non-GM Bt? Where
is there any evidence whatsoever other that the word of Ridzon

Quote:

Ridzon confirms Sprinkel's account of reduced weight gain in Bt
corn-fed cattle. He says farmers report that cattle need nine pounds
of Bt corn to make a one pound weight gain as compared with only six
of normal corn.

Then that must not be because they eat less.

And this only happens in Ohio because there have been no reports of it in
any other country in the world
Quote:

Journalist Steven Sprinkel says that a major U.S. seed dealer told him
that there is evidence that earthworms are dying as a result of the
effects of Bt corn.

And no one else has noticed, FOE or Greenpeace have not actually come up
with the evidence?

Quote:
These reports from farmers and seed dealers can easily be dismissed as
anecdotal evidence from which no conclusions can be drawn. But if we
wait for the scientists to catch up, it could be too late. Scientific
studies take years to do, and the majority are funded by industry or
governments greased with biotech dollars. Who is going to fund a study
which may find that a GM crop is toxic?

What a lot of balls. It takes three weeks to note that milk cows are
dropping in yield and switch the diet, it might take slightly longer on a
well run beef unit

Quote:

Were cows on a similar amount of maize before then?

Yes

Sure?

If
not there would be no accurate comparison. Has anything been done to it
to
improve palatability?

No

Not before it was imported?

No,
Quote:



As it is all we get is someone in the mid west winding up a reporter
telling
them that racoons will not eat it

So you ignore it and the other animals.

tales told to wind up a reporter as opposed to measurable facts, yes I
ignore the racoon story

And Ridzon?

You believe one farmer who says what you want to hear, and disbelieve one
farmer who doesn't and tells you what is really going on. That is your
problem not mine

Jim Webster
Torsten Brinch
Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2003 1:23 am
Guest
On 18 Aug 2003 22:44:13 GMT, Brian Sandle
<bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote:
Quote:
[quoting:]
These reports from farmers and seed dealers can easily be dismissed as
anecdotal evidence from which no conclusions can be drawn.

Indeed. And that will remain the case unless anecdotes are followed up
by scientific studies of the matter.

E.g. Shawn S. Donkin, Ph.D. Animal Sciences Department, Purdue
University, fed corn/cornsilage to 16 dairy cows. 8 cows were fed
from Bt corn, and 8 from a near isogenic line of non Bt corn.

Average dry matter intake was 52.7 and 55.9 lb/d, for Bt and non-Bt
respectivley (SE=1.12, p=0.06), average milk yield was 84.2 and 86.9
lb/d, (SE=1.20, p=0.15). Curiously the author concludes that his
results show no differences.

http://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/forages/rotational/past/Perf_dairy_fed_spec.htm
Brian Sandle
Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2003 4:18 am
Guest
Torsten Brinch <iaotb@inet.uni2.dk> wrote:
Quote:
On 18 Aug 2003 22:44:13 GMT, Brian Sandle
bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote:
[quoting:]
These reports from farmers and seed dealers can easily be dismissed as
anecdotal evidence from which no conclusions can be drawn.

Indeed. And that will remain the case unless anecdotes are followed up
by scientific studies of the matter.

E.g. Shawn S. Donkin, Ph.D. Animal Sciences Department, Purdue
University, fed corn/cornsilage to 16 dairy cows. 8 cows were fed
from Bt corn, and 8 from a near isogenic line of non Bt corn.

Average dry matter intake was 52.7 and 55.9 lb/d, for Bt and non-Bt
respectivley (SE=1.12, p=0.06), average milk yield was 84.2 and 86.9
lb/d, (SE=1.20, p=0.15). Curiously the author concludes that his
results show no differences.

http://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/forages/rotational/past/Perf_dairy_fed_spec.htm

p=0.15 means that there is 15% chance that the result is spurious.

This is really a non-experiment on purpose I would say. The number
of subjects has been kept down to 8 pairs so it is really impossible
to get the p=0.05 needed to conventionally say you have
significance. Once you have set up the experiment I think that would
be the major cost and going to 16 pairs would have allowed the
required significance and not cost much more.
Torsten Brinch
Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2003 5:25 am
Guest
On 19 Aug 2003 10:18:51 GMT, Brian Sandle
<bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote:

Quote:
Torsten Brinch <iaotb@inet.uni2.dk> wrote:
On 18 Aug 2003 22:44:13 GMT, Brian Sandle
bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote:
[quoting:]
These reports from farmers and seed dealers can easily be dismissed as
anecdotal evidence from which no conclusions can be drawn.

Indeed. And that will remain the case unless anecdotes are followed up
by scientific studies of the matter.

E.g. Shawn S. Donkin, Ph.D. Animal Sciences Department, Purdue
University, fed corn/cornsilage to 16 dairy cows. 8 cows were fed
from Bt corn, and 8 from a near isogenic line of non Bt corn.

Average dry matter intake was 52.7 and 55.9 lb/d, for Bt and non-Bt
respectivley (SE=1.12, p=0.06), average milk yield was 84.2 and 86.9
lb/d, (SE=1.20, p=0.15). Curiously the author concludes that his
results show no differences.

http://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/forages/rotational/past/Perf_dairy_fed_spec.htm

p=0.15 means that there is 15% chance that the result is spurious.

No,no, you can't conclude like that. But, it is a common
misunderstanding of p-values. p=15 means there is 15 % chance of
observing a spurious difference of the observed magnitude or larger,
-if- the situation is such that any difference observed will be
spurious, i.e. when reality is that there is no difference.

Quote:
This is really a non-experiment on purpose I would say. The number
of subjects has been kept down to 8 pairs so it is really impossible
to get the p=0.05 needed to conventionally say you have
significance.

I couldn't be harsh as that. But of course, if a relatively few more
animals had been used in the experiment, and the same difference had
been observed in e.g. avg. dry matter intake between groups, that
difference would have been considered significant when tested at the
p=0.05 level.

Quote:
Once you have set up the experiment I think that would
be the major cost and going to 16 pairs would have allowed the
required significance and not cost much more.

I am not sure that is true. Rather I should think the cost of the
present experiment would be very significantly related to the number
of animals. I mean, these are big animals, cows, they are not fed,
kept and housed cheaply. If they were mice or rats, I would tend to
agree.
Brian Sandle
Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2003 5:57 am
Guest
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:

Quote:
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061247291.561637@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:



Quote:
we are not talking about arbitary perceptions but people who are
monitoring
high yielding dairy cows so closely that a 5% drop in yield against
predicition is a cause for major investigation.

Yield is one important thing, but some people will pay for qualities,
won't they?

not s noticable proportion of the UK population

So many are trying to coach down the quest for organic quality.

I suggest you restrict yourself to talking about things you know about, the
price of organic milk has collapsed in the UK because of over production.
Organic is a very small niche market

A lot of farmers converted around 1999 to organic milk, and were
by 2001 able to call their milk organic and get a higher price.
Suddenly there was a lot more on the market. But they were asking
more for it than imported organic milk in the shops. The
disributors sold excess as non-organic, presumably to try to keep
organic label prices up. So really the industry was getting a margin
for organic, but not so much overall because a good proportion of
farmers were doing it.

You are starting to feel the EU competition in milk. I think you are
going to find the price for non-organic dropping, too, and organic
getting some of a premium but being easier to sell. It will be the
protecting factor for the farmers who have gone to it as subsidies
go off.

New Zealand had a guaranteed butter fat and farming in general
market in the UK until UK joined EU. Then we went through a lot of
strife, a lot of farms were sold as subsidies were removed.

For a long time we did not see organic produce in New Zealand shops,
it was all going to Japan. Now some is available.

Organic carrots here sell for over double in shops. Organic milk is
25 to 35% more. I think there will be a race to enter the market as
non-org prices will drop.


Quote:

When the top milk is butter it can no longer be poured on the
pudding.


BF, Protein and Lactose have been measured on a twice weekly basis (at
least) in UK milk for over 20 years. All these things are carefully
monitored

Measured in quantity.

I used to think that the processing was causing the trouble - that the
milk would be being agitated more in processing so that the journey in the
delivery truck would finish the churning to butter of the top milk.
Now I am thinking of the different fatty acid composition of the BF
because of feed.
given the level of your knowledge your thoughts aren't exactly worth a lot.
The feed changes constantly over the year are various feedingstuffs change
in price on the world market.

When above I spoke of the butter fat (BF) composition, I was not
speaking of the proportion of fat in the milk, your usual
measurement, but what constitutes the fat. That latter is not
usually measured. Some taste tests may be done. The butter churners
may notice a difference per batch.

In NZ matters will be different again because
Quote:
of the predominance of grass in the diet and therefore, as the feed quality
of grass can change on a daily basis depending on the weather or field,
there is little consistancy in feed

I used to be a big milk drinker. I noted the turnip sort of taste of
the milk once. I think sometiems curly kale had been fed in winter.
But then there was a move to corn for times of grass shortage. Milk
probably tasted a bit better was only 50% in vitamin E & carotene I
suppose. Especially the homogenised trim milk would go off in
flavour fairly quickly as it spoiled faster. Attempts have been made
to fix that by quicker refrigeration, I think, at the farm, perhaps.


Quote:

If GM feed had any effect at
all on milk yield as opposed to the conventional feed it would have
been
spotted and its effects detailed

Though I am thinking that large scale importation of maize may have
coincided with the time it became Bt, unwanted or unallowed (Starlink)
for
human consumption.

look at Torstens post,

Which post? My server has not had overseas groups for a few days.


Quote:
Well it managed to pick up mine!

Yes because nz.general is on the newsgroups.

Quote:

there has been no sudden large importation of maize

Therefore it should be possible to check.

The checks on results are constant, there is no sign of any effect

Maybe because the effect is within variation between breeds or or
other variations of cows. But set up 15 or 16 pairs of animals
and see what happens.

Quote:

Again:

Linkname: GM Animal Feed
URL: http://www.btinternet.com/~clairejr/Animal/animal.html
size: 547 lines

Ohio farmer Leon Ridzon does not grow GMOs, but he deals with farmers
who do. He recounted local farmers' experience with Bt corn: "We first
had problems three years ago, when famers planted Bt corn and the cows
refused to eat it. The farmers had to camouflage it to get them to eat
it."

So waht sort of `camouflaging' was done and is it being done to maize
before export to britain?

One guy recounted (or made up) a few tall tales which are not backed by any
evidence whatsoever

Now Torsten has shown us something which does not disprove it,
rather shows a trend indicating a bigger experiment than 8 pairs
*is* justified.

Quote:

Maybe these cows are just finicky? Ridzon says not - other animals
won't eat Bt grain either: "The Bt corn was left on the cob and stored
in an open bin. The rabbits would not touch it, the squirrels would
not touch it. The rats and mice didn't go near it. It killed all the
spiders in the bins."

One guy recounts a few tall tales

You always say it is only one, each time we give a different
example. Our examples have added to several.

And note the author of the one Torsten gave gets Monsanto funding.

Quote:

Ridzon has become increasingly suspicious about the possible toxicity
of Bt corn. His testimony is the more remarkable for the fact that the
norm for most Ohio farmers is intensively grown and chemically treated
corn - which the animals apparently prefer to GM Bt corn.

Remarkable testimony but where is the actual evidence, where are the feeding
trials, where are the feed lots who are actively sourcing non-GM Bt? Where
is there any evidence whatsoever other that the word of Ridzon

Torsten has given some, now more has to be done.

Quote:

Ridzon confirms Sprinkel's account of reduced weight gain in Bt
corn-fed cattle. He says farmers report that cattle need nine pounds
of Bt corn to make a one pound weight gain as compared with only six
of normal corn.

Then that must not be because they eat less.

And this only happens in Ohio because there have been no reports of it in
any other country in the world

I think Donkin is Indiana.

Quote:

Journalist Steven Sprinkel says that a major U.S. seed dealer told him
that there is evidence that earthworms are dying as a result of the
effects of Bt corn.

And no one else has noticed, FOE or Greenpeace have not actually come up
with the evidence?

They have a lot to do.

Quote:
These reports from farmers and seed dealers can easily be dismissed as
anecdotal evidence from which no conclusions can be drawn. But if we
wait for the scientists to catch up, it could be too late. Scientific
studies take years to do, and the majority are funded by industry or
governments greased with biotech dollars. Who is going to fund a study
which may find that a GM crop is toxic?

What a lot of balls. It takes three weeks to note that milk cows are
dropping in yield and switch the diet, it might take slightly longer on a
well run beef unit

What percentage do you change at? Donkins result was a 3% drop. That
means say you change feed at 5% you only have 2% more to go.

Quote:

Were cows on a similar amount of maize before then?

Yes

Sure?

If
not there would be no accurate comparison. Has anything been done to it
to
improve palatability?

No

Not before it was imported?

No,

What guarantee?

Quote:



As it is all we get is someone in the mid west winding up a reporter
telling
them that racoons will not eat it

So you ignore it and the other animals.

tales told to wind up a reporter as opposed to measurable facts, yes I
ignore the racoon story

And Ridzon?

You believe one farmer who says what you want to hear, and disbelieve one
farmer who doesn't and tells you what is really going on. That is your
problem not mine

Ridzon isn't a farmer if you read it.
Jim Webster
Posted: Tue Aug 19, 2003 9:05 am
Guest
"Brian Sandle" <bsandle@shell.caverock.net.nz> wrote in message
news:1061294907.374156@cobalt.caverock.co.nz...
Quote:
Jim Webster <Jim@feeswerve.spam.co.uk> wrote:
is a very small niche market

A lot of farmers converted around 1999 to organic milk, and were
by 2001 able to call their milk organic and get a higher price.
Suddenly there was a lot more on the market. But they were asking
more for it than imported organic milk in the shops. The
disributors sold excess as non-organic, presumably to try to keep
organic label prices up.

No, they sold it as conventional because no one was willing to pay organic
price for it, not enough people actually want the damned stuff


So really the industry was getting a margin
Quote:
for organic, but not so much overall because a good proportion of
farmers were doing it.

Rubbish, the proportion of UK output that is organic is very small indeed

Quote:

You are starting to feel the EU competition in milk. I think you are
going to find the price for non-organic dropping, too, and organic
getting some of a premium but being easier to sell. It will be the
protecting factor for the farmers who have gone to it as subsidies
go off.

Total rubbish. People are actively costing out quitting organic production
and going back to conventional dairy production because the costs of organic
are so much higher. The only thing that stops them is that they will have to
pay back the organic conversion grant if they give up within a certain
period. Organic is not easier to sell

Quote:

New Zealand had a guaranteed butter fat and farming in general
market in the UK until UK joined EU. Then we went through a lot of
strife, a lot of farms were sold as subsidies were removed.

For a long time we did not see organic produce in New Zealand shops,
it was all going to Japan. Now some is available.

Organic carrots here sell for over double in shops. Organic milk is
25 to 35% more. I think there will be a race to enter the market as
non-org prices will drop.

And immediately the organic price will drop and it will become uneconomic.
It is a niche market and very sensitive to overproduction. In the EU we saw
it first in Denmark, then we saw it in the UK,

Quote:



When the top milk is butter it can no longer be poured on the
pudding.


BF, Protein and Lactose have been measured on a twice weekly basis
(at
least) in UK milk for over 20 years. All these things are carefully
monitored

Measured in quantity.

I used to think that the processing was causing the trouble - that the
milk would be being agitated more in processing so that the journey in
the
delivery truck would finish the churning to butter of the top milk.
Now I am thinking of the different fatty acid composition of the BF
because of feed.
given the level of your knowledge your thoughts aren't exactly worth a
lot.
The feed changes constantly over the year are various feedingstuffs
change
in price on the world market.

When above I spoke of the butter fat (BF) composition, I was not
speaking of the proportion of fat in the milk, your usual
measurement, but what constitutes the fat. That latter is not
usually measured. Some taste tests may be done. The butter churners
may notice a difference per batch.

As I said, this changes on a daily or weekly basis on cattle that eat grass
alone


Snip

Quote:
look at Torstens post,

Which post? My server has not had overseas groups for a few days.


Well it managed to pick up mine!

Yes because nz.general is on the newsgroups.

Except that I post of sci agric the same as Torsten, I don't post on nz
general.

Quote:


there has been no sudden large importation of maize

Therefore it should be possible to check.

The checks on results are constant, there is no sign of any effect

Maybe because the effect is within variation between breeds or or
other variations of cows. But set up 15 or 16 pairs of animals
and see what happens.

Or even better watch what happens to a herd of a thousand or more dairy cows
as different loads of maize gluten arrive every week. If there is any
difference between them and the proportion of GM/NonGM you will know within
a couple of days.

Quote:


Again:

Linkname: GM Animal Feed
URL: http://www.btinternet.com/~clairejr/Animal/animal.html
size: 547 lines

Ohio farmer Leon Ridzon does not grow GMOs, but he deals with
farmers
who do. He recounted local farmers' experience with Bt corn: "We
first
had problems three years ago, when famers planted Bt corn and the
cows
refused to eat it. The farmers had to camouflage it to get them to
eat
it."

So waht sort of `camouflaging' was done and is it being done to maize
before export to britain?

One guy recounted (or made up) a few tall tales which are not backed by
any
evidence whatsoever

Now Torsten has shown us something which does not disprove it,
rather shows a trend indicating a bigger experiment than 8 pairs
*is* justified.

Why waste time on an experiment when you have thousand cow herds out there
in the real world feeding the damn stuff?

Quote:


Maybe these cows are just finicky? Ridzon says not - other animals
won't eat Bt grain either: "The Bt corn was left on the cob and
stored
in an open bin. The rabbits would not touch it, the squirrels would
not touch it. The rats and mice didn't go near it. It killed all the
spiders in the bins."

One guy recounts a few tall tales

You always say it is only one, each time we give a different
example. Our examples have added to several.

And none of them more than cosy anecdotes, none of them condescend to
provide any hard evidence. Doubtless Gordon could dig out a score of beef
fatteners who will provide pleasant anecdotes about how well beef fattens
off GM maize. Somehow I doubt you will find these at all acceptable

Quote:

And note the author of the one Torsten gave gets Monsanto funding.

So what

Quote:


Ridzon has become increasingly suspicious about the possible
toxicity
of Bt corn. His testimony is the more remarkable for the fact that
the
norm for most Ohio farmers is intensively grown and chemically
treated
corn - which the animals apparently prefer to GM Bt corn.

Remarkable testimony but where is the actual evidence, where are the
feeding
trials, where are the feed lots who are actively sourcing non-GM Bt?
Where
is there any evidence whatsoever other that the word of Ridzon

Torsten has given some, now more has to be done.


Ridzon confirms Sprinkel's account of reduced weight gain in Bt
corn-fed cattle. He says farmers report that cattle need nine pounds
of Bt corn to make a one pound weight gain as compared with only six
of normal corn.

Then that must not be because they eat less.

And this only happens in Ohio because there have been no reports of it
in
any other country in the world

I think Donkin is Indiana.


Journalist Steven Sprinkel says that a major U.S. seed dealer told
him
that there is evidence that earthworms are dying as a result of the
effects of Bt corn.

And no one else has noticed, FOE or Greenpeace have not actually come up
with the evidence?

They have a lot to do.

If there was any mileage in the story they would have been in there pushing
it for all it is worth

Quote:

These reports from farmers and seed dealers can easily be dismissed
as
anecdotal evidence from which no conclusions can be drawn. But if we
wait for the scientists to catch up, it could be too late.
Scientific
studies take years to do, and the majority are funded by industry or
governments greased with biotech dollars. Who is going to fund a
study
which may find that a GM crop is toxic?

What a lot of balls. It takes three weeks to note that milk cows are
dropping in yield and switch the diet, it might take slightly longer on
a
well run beef unit

What percentage do you change at? Donkins result was a 3% drop. That
means say you change feed at 5% you only have 2% more to go.

The result wasn't valid note. Also a beef unit finishing several thousand
head would pick up trends faster
Quote:
If
not there would be no accurate comparison. Has anything been done to
it
to
improve palatability?

No

Not before it was imported?

No,

What guarantee?

don't be silly, to improve palatability would increase cost and would leave
the product different. They would have to charge for it and declare it.
Anyway, how would they improve palatability at no cost, pray tell, the feed
industry has been looking for this magic solution for generations

Jim Webster
 
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