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Movies Forum Index » Movie Production Forum » Delusional cooperation
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| OSfllwr |
 Posted: Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:27 am |
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The things in Iraq took yet another wrong turn when Bush forced Maliki
to meet him in Jordan. The meeting did not help Republicans in the
elections, but broke the Iraqi coalition. The faction of Shiite
cleric al-Sadr walked out of the government coalition, as promised,
because of the meeting.
No one in Iraq has a slightest doubt that Maliki is an American
quisling. That’s ok with the people. In Muslims countries, rulers are
not expected to represent population; the US and the Qaeda each tries
to change that. Muslims are very extroversive and value fac,ade and
rituals. Maliki could be a puppet, but he should behave like a tiger
– Iraqi tiger. At least, Maliki managed to skip social meeting with
Bush and Jordanian King Abdullah (Olmert ignored Arab mentality and
met Abdullah several times, a PR disaster).
If that attention to rituals looks silly to rational Americans, it
probably is. But that’s how it works in the region. To reach an
agreement with Iraqis – rather than simply punish the Baathist state
– the US negotiators would have to sit hours and days with various
Iraqis, both bureaucrats and radicals, drinking super-sweet Iranian
tea, chain-smoking on par with their opponents and talking, talking,
and talking. That might or might not bring the desired results, but
no other approach could deliver a stable, moderate, US-friendly Iraq.
To please his American masters, Maliki brought together fictitious
coalition. Its Shiite faction does not include al-Sadr’s group, the
main Shiite organization. It includes only a minor Sunni party, also
non-representative. The coalition is advertised as moderate, but
listen to the names: Sunni Iraqi Islamic Party (sectarians), the
Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution (sic) in Iraq, and
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (separatist organization, as the name
makes clear).
The coalition is meant to squeeze Sadr out of politics. He would
indeed go – into the urban battlefields. Sadr could show himself a
good Muslim, promise to step down the fighting – and use the truce to
train his forces. He needs time to grow the Mahdi gang into an army.
Sistani’s approval won’t cement the coalition. He is merely a
religious authority. Religious power in Islam is very dispersed
because every cleric and theoretically every Muslim could pronounce
fatwas. People go along with famous clerics insofar as they
opportunistically serve the mob’s wishes. Sistani cannot afford to
condemn fighting the Sunnis, thus his blessing of the coalition could
only be half-hearted. Moreover, Shiite militia includes few
fundamentalists who would blindly obey Sistani. They are common
guerrillas who only superficially subscribe to religion or ideology.
They fight for the sake of killing. Their loyalty is with Sadr. Iran
– al-Sadr’s sponsor – does not care about Iraqi Shiite bosses such as
Sistani. Civil war in Iraq suits Iranian national interest: strong and
hostile neighbor turns into protectorate.
Iran, not Sadr is the problem, but Sadr handsomely contributes to the
situation. Oddly, the US loses its soldiers, kills Iraqis and allows
still larger numbers to die in the conflict while al-Sadr, who
orchestrates much of the violence, lives in safety. Why not
assassinate him?
The White House PR people offended the common sense when they staged
Robert Gates’ meeting with a dozen of handpicked soldiers who assured
him that the army is on the right track.
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| OSfllwr |
| Posted: Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:35 am |
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