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| Hobby Forum Index » Sport - Soccer » Brasileirão 2009 - chances, 5 rounds left... |
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| Jesus Petry... |
 Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2009 5:33 pm |
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Guest
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MySim = my own simulation, 20,000 iterations based on
goals scored and allowed home and away so far.
Chancedegol = chancedegol.com.br
Infobola = www.infobola.com.br
- = not evaluated or ~0.
MySim Chancedegol Infobola
Title
Palmeiras 41.0% 42.1% 35%
São Paulo 32.6% 34.7% 36%
Atlético-MG 21.2% 15.5% 22%
Flamengo 3.5% 3.2% 5%
Internacional 1.1% 3.9% 1%
Cruzeiro .6% .7% 1%
Grêmio .01% .01% -
Libertadores
Corinthians 100% 100% 100%
São Paulo 96.4% 95.4% 96%
Palmeiras 95.8% 95.1% 95%
Atlético-MG 87.1% 76.5% 86%
Flamengo 56.0% 47.6% 62%
Internacional 34.0% 55.5% 29%
Cruzeiro 24.2% 24.5% 26%
Grêmio 3.9% 3.4% 4%
Goiás 1.3% .8% 1%
Avaí 1.2% 1.0% 1%
Barueri .06% .04% -
Vitória .04% .04% -
Sudamericana
(via 5-12 places except Corinthians)
São Paulo 3.6% 4.6% -
Palmeiras 4.2% 4.9% -
Atlético-MG 12.9% 23.5% -
Flamengo 44.0% 52.4% -
Internacional 66.0% 44.5% -
Cruzeiro 75.8% 75.7% -
Grêmio 95.5% 95.9% -
Goiás 95.0% 96.4% -
Avaí 95.9% 96.8% -
Vitória 88.5% 86.9% -
Barueri 85.5% 79.4% -
Santos 55.5% 54.6% -
Coritiba 42.6% 37.6% -
Atlético-PR 25.3% 32.3% -
Botafogo 7.6% 13.6% -
Santo André 1.0% .5% -
Náutico .9% .5% -
Fluminense .2% .2% -
Relegation
Sport Recife 98.7% 99.5% 99%
Fluminense 91.8% 90.8% 89%
Náutico 78.1% 87.0% 83%
Santo André 74.8% 82.8% 78%
Botafogo 37.1% 23.6% 34%
Atlético-PR 12.0% 8.4% 9%
Coritiba 4.4% 5.2% 6%
Santos 2.8% 2.4% 2%
Barueri .2% .4% -
Vitória .08% .09% -
Tchau!
Jesus Petry |
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