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| Hobby Forum Index » Sport - Soccer » Brasileirão 2009 - chances, 6 rounds left... |
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| Jesus Petry... |
 Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 8:35 am |
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Guest
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MySim = my own simulation, 20,000 iterations based on
goals scored and allowed home and away so far.
Chancedegol = chancedegol.com.br
Infobola = www.infobola.com.br
- = not evaluated or ~0.
MySim Chancedegol Infobola
Title
Palmeiras 55.1% 49.4% 54%
São Paulo 22.7% 22.6% 24%
Atlético-MG 10.2% 5.6% 9%
Internacional 6.1% 15.4% 5%
Cruzeiro 3.7% 5.0% 4%
Flamengo 2.0% 1.6% 4%
Grêmio .2% .2% -
Goiás .05% .05% -
Libertadores
Corinthians 100% 100% 100%
Palmeiras 95.6% 94.5% 95%
São Paulo 86.9% 86.0% 85%
Atlético-MG 63.6% 46.6% 61%
Internacional 59.1% 77.5% 52%
Cruzeiro 44.8% 52.0% 50%
Flamengo 35.6% 30.1% 43%
Grêmio 8.5% 8.6% 7%
Goiás 4.3% 3.8% 4%
Avaí .6% .5% 1%
Vitória .5% .3% 1%
Barueri .5% .1% 1%
Santos .06% .02% -
Sudamericana
(via 5-12 places except Corinthians)
Palmeiras 4.4% 5.5% -
São Paulo 13.1% 14.0% -
Atlético-MG 36.4% 53.4% -
Internacional 40.9% 22.5% -
Cruzeiro 55.2% 48.0% -
Flamengo 64.4% 69.9% -
Grêmio 91.1% 91.0% -
Goiás 94.0% 95.0% -
Avaí 89.0% 91.7% -
Vitória 89.7% 89.8% -
Barueri 88.5% 83.6% -
Santos 64.9% 63.3% -
Atlético-PR 36.7% 43.5% -
Coritiba 28.5% 24.8% -
Botafogo 2.4% 3.5% -
Náutico .5% .2% -
Santo André .3% .1% -
Sport Recife .04% .02% -
Fluminense .01% .02% -
Relegation
Fluminense 94.2% 94.1% 93%
Sport Recife 89.9% 93.0% 93%
Náutico 78.8% 85.3% 77%
Santo André 76.6% 82.3% 77%
Botafogo 50.8% 37.3% 50%
Coritiba 5.6% 5.5% 6%
Atlético-PR 3.4% 1.9% 3%
Santos .7% .5% 1%
Avaí .03% .02% -
Barueri .02% .06% -
Vitória .01% - -
Corinthians .01% - -
Tchau!
Jesus Petry |
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